10-Year Treasury Yield: What It Is and Why It Matters - NerdWallet (2024)

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The 10-year Treasury yield (ticker: US10Y) describes what 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will pay over 10 years if bought today. Also known as T-notes, Treasury notes are a low-risk fixed-income investment that pays a set rate of interest every six months.

The 10-year Treasury is frequently used in the news as a barometer or proxy for economic factors, including investor sentiment and mortgage rates. The 10-year Treasury yield is currently around 4%.

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What is the 10-year Treasury?

Considered one of the lowest-risk investments on the U.S. market, 10-year Treasurys are a “risk-free” benchmark against which other investments and debt are compared. (Three-month Treasury bills are another.)

While no investment is ever completely risk-free, Treasury notes come close if held to maturity. As a result, some investors and analysts look to demand for T-notes as one way to assess investor confidence in the economy.

Treasury notes are one of four main types of U.S. government debt securities. The others are Treasury bills, Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). They vary in their duration, interest payments and yields.

🤓Nerdy Tip

The “10 year Treasury” describes what 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will pay over 10 years if bought today. The 10-year yield is currently around 4%, following a recent high of 5.2% on October 29, 2023. Learn more about these “risk-free” Treasury or T-notes here.

What is the 10-year treasury yield today?

Here is today's 10-year Treasury note yield, alongside other Treasury securities for reference.

Rates are sourced from Google Finance and may be delayed. Data is solely for informational purposes, not for trading.

» Learn more: What are Treasurys? Government bonds vs. notes vs. bills

Key terms

Competitive bid

When a bidder specifies the conditions of the Treasury (such as rate and yield) that they’re willing to accept.

Non-competitive bid

When a bidder agrees to accept whatever conditions, such as rate and yield, are established at the auction.

Price

The face value of a Treasury note, or what you pay to loan the government money.

Treasury bill

The shortest-term U.S. debt security, Treasury bills mature in less than a year. They’re also known as a zero-coupon bond. T-bills do not pay interest like other Treasurys, and instead are sold at a discount. The difference between the face value of the T-bill and its discount rate is the “interest earned.”

Treasury bond

A long-term U.S. debt security maturing in 20 or 30 years.

Treasury note

A type of U.S. debt security maturing in 2, 3, 5, 7 or 10 years.

US10Y

Market ticker for the 10-year Treasury yield.

Yield

The interest rate the U.S. government pays on its debt, or how much you can earn from investing in a Treasury note.

Price vs. yield

Treasury prices and yields tend to move in opposite directions, and are affected by supply and demand and the health of the economy. The purchase price or face value of a Treasury note is what you pay to buy it. The T-note’s yield is the interest rate you earn for loaning the government money.

Treasury notes are sold at auction through a bidding process. The Treasury first accepts any noncompetitive bids, or bids from investors who accept the current T-note rate and yield. Then, the Treasury accepts the highest competitive bid.

If demand for Treasury notes is high, they may sell for more than their face value. If demand is low, on the other hand, Treasurys can sell for less than their face value.

The Treasury may raise the yield of newly issued 10-year notes if the price of existing 10-year notes starts to fall on secondary bond markets (because of market forces like inflation). If there's high inflation, for example, the potentially higher yield of newly issued 10-year notes will make them more attractive than previously issued T-notes.

This effect is also known as interest rate risk and is most relevant for investors trying to sell T-notes on a secondary market. If held for their full duration, Treasury notes still pay their coupon payments and principal in full. But if a T-note-holder were to sell early, they may have to discount the price.

Longer-term investments tend to offer higher yields to offset any potential price impact from interest rate or other risks.

Why is the 10-year Treasury yield important?

As one of the lowest-risk investments on the market, the 10-year Treasury and its yield are important for several reasons. First, the 10-year Treasury is a baseline against which the risk of other investments is assessed.

Treasury rates also affect interest rates for other types of consumer debt, like real estate and mortgage loans. Consumers often compare the return they could earn on Treasurys to certificates of deposit, money market accounts, corporate bonds and even mortgage-backed securities. So when yields for 10-year T-notes go up, so too do rates for real estate and mortgage debt.

Finally, supply and demand for Treasurys fluctuate with the economic climate. When markets or world events turn tumultuous, investors tend to flock to Treasurys in search of a safe haven. When times are good, though, investors tend to seek out other investments that can provide a more favorable return.

Are 10-year Treasury notes a good investment?

Whether 10-year Treasurys are a good investment for you depends on your investment goal. If your goal is to let your money grow slowly and conservatively over time, Treasury notes are considered a low-risk investment if held to maturity since they’re backed by the U.S. government.

One of the main risks with Treasury notes is what’s known as “opportunity cost”: You could forgo potential profits by investing in T-notes instead of a security with a higher potential return.

» Learn more about long-term investments

How do you buy 10-year Treasury notes?

Treasury notes can be bought in increments of $100 directly from the U.S. government via TreasuryDirect, or through a bank or broker. T-notes can also be purchased bundled together in the form of a Treasury exchange-traded fund.

10-Year Treasury Yield: What It Is and Why It Matters - NerdWallet (4)

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Do you pay tax on T-notes?

Investors pay federal income taxes but no state or local taxes on T-notes and other Treasurys.

Next Steps

  • How to buy Treasurys

  • Best brokers for bond investing

  • What a brokerage account is and how to open one

  • Yield curve: what It is and why it matters

10-Year Treasury Yield: What It Is and Why It Matters - NerdWallet (2024)

FAQs

Why is 10 year Treasury yield so important? ›

The 10-year Treasury yield is closely watched by the Federal Reserve and other central banks as part of their assessment of economic conditions. It helps guide decisions on setting short-term interest rates and other monetary policy measures.

What is the 10 year Treasury yield? ›

Treasurys
TICKERCOMPANYYIELD
US1YU.S. 1 Year Treasury4.841
US2YU.S. 2 Year Treasury4.404
US10YU.S. 10 Year Treasury4.261
US30YU.S. 30 Year Treasury4.524
3 more rows
1 day ago

What is the expectation for 10 year Treasury yield? ›

In April 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was 4.54 percent, forecasted to decrease to reach 3.39 percent by January 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt.

Are Treasury yields worth it? ›

Treasury bonds have lower returns relative to higher-risk securities, like stocks. Yet even during periods of low yields, U.S. Treasury bonds remain sought-after because of their perceived stability, liquidity, or ease of conversion into cash.

Why should we care about the spread between the yield on a 10 year U.S. Treasury and a cap rate? ›

A higher cap rate spread implies greater risk, while a lower cap rate spread indicates less risk. The 10-year Treasury yield is therefore a proxy for risk in many industries, including real estate, to understand the current state of the economy and serve as a minimum rate of return hurdle for risky assets.

How liquid are 10 year treasuries? ›

Liquidity: Ten-year Treasuries are considered highly liquid, meaning they can be bought or sold relatively easily. The U.S. Treasury securities market is one of the most liquid bond markets in the world.

Can you sell a 10 year Treasury note before maturity? ›

We sell Treasury Notes for a term of 2, 3, 5, 7, or 10 years. Notes pay a fixed rate of interest every six months until they mature. You can hold a note until it matures or sell it before it matures.

Are treasury bills better than CDs? ›

Choosing between a CD and Treasuries depends on how long of a term you want. For terms of one to six months, as well as 10 years, rates are close enough that Treasuries are the better pick. For terms of one to five years, CDs are currently paying more, and it's a large enough difference to give them the edge.

Do you pay taxes on Treasury bonds? ›

Interest from Treasuries is generally taxable at the federal level, but not at the state level. Interest from munis is generally exempt from federal taxes, and if you live in the state where the bond was issued, the interest may also be exempt from state taxes.

What is the 10 year Treasury for dummies? ›

The 10-year US Treasury Note is a debt obligation that is issued by the Treasury Department of the United States Government and comes with a maturity of 10 years. It pays interest to the holder every six months at a fixed interest rate that is determined at the initial issuance.

What happens when 10 year Treasury yield goes up? ›

The 10-year note is undoubtedly a highly significant benchmark for global financial markets. A rising yield indicates investor confidence in the economy but also suggests higher borrowing costs, potentially slowing economic growth. Conversely, a falling yield may signal economic uncertainty.

What is the real rate of return for the 10 year Treasury? ›

10 Year Real Treasury Rate is at 1.96%, compared to 1.93% yesterday and 1.49% last year.

Why is the 10 year Treasury so important? ›

Why Is the 10-Year Treasury Yield Important? The 10-year Treasury yield serves as a vital economic benchmark, and it influences many other interest rates. When the 10-year yield goes up, so do mortgage rates and other borrowing rates.

What is the safest investment with the highest return? ›

7 High-Return, Low-Risk Investments for Retirees
  • Money market funds.
  • Dividend stocks.
  • Ultra-short fixed-income ETFs.
  • Certificates of deposit.
  • Annuities.
  • High-yield savings accounts.
  • Treasury bonds.
3 days ago

Do you want a high or low Treasury yield? ›

Treasury yields also show how investors assess the economy's prospects. The higher the yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries, the more confidence investors have in the economic outlook. But high long-term yields can also be a sign of rising inflation expectations.

How does the 10 year Treasury affect mortgage rates? ›

This is because mortgage lenders tie their interest rates closely to Treasury bond rates. When bond interest rates are high, the bond is less valuable on the secondary market. This causes mortgage interest rates to rise. The value of each bond goes up when bond interest rates fall again.

What happens to treasury bonds when interest rates rise? ›

Interest rates and bond prices have an inverse relationship. When interest rates go up, the prices of bonds go down, and when interest rates go down, the prices of bonds go up.

Should you buy bonds when interest rates are high? ›

Should I only buy bonds when interest rates are high? There are advantages to purchasing bonds after interest rates have risen. Along with generating a larger income stream, such bonds may be subject to less interest rate risk, as there may be a reduced chance of rates moving significantly higher from current levels.

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