A New Bull Market Is Here: According to History, This Is How Long It Could Last (2024)

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e=r.searchBoxForm.querySelector("[name=fr]"),n=r.searchBoxForm.querySelector("[name=fr2]");e&&r.config.searchBox&&r.config.searchBox.params&&r.config.searchBox.params.fr&&(e.value=i.searchBox.params.fr,e.disabled=!1),n&&r.config.searchBox&&r.config.searchBox.params&&r.config.searchBox.params.fr2&&(n.value=i.searchBox.params.fr2,n.disabled=!1),r.searchBoxForm.submit()}}),1e3)},r.recognition.onspeechstart=function(){},r.recognition.onspeechend=function(){r.recognition.stop()},r.recognition.onerror=function(){r.speechText&&(r.speechText.innerText=r.i18n.t("search.voice.recognition_error")),r.hideTrending(r),r.showRetryLink(r),r.errorAudio.play()},r.recognition.onaudiostart=function(){r.speechButtonContainer&&r.speechButtonContainer.classList.add("listening")},r.recognition.onaudioend=function(){r.speechButtonContainer&&r.speechButtonContainer.classList.remove("listening")},r.recognition.onsoundstart=function(){r.hideTrending(r),r.noSpeech=!1,r.speechButtonContainer&&(r.speechButtonContainer.classList.remove("listening"),r.speechButtonContainer.classList.add("speaking"))},r.recognition.onsoundend=function(){r.speechButtonContainer&&r.speechButtonContainer.classList.remove("speaking")},r.recognition.onstart=function(){r.recognitionInit(r),r.startRecognition(r)},r.recognition.onend=function(){r.isRecognitionStart=!1,0==r.noSpeech&&""==r.speechResult&&(r.speechText&&(r.speechText.innerText=r.i18n.t("search.voice.recognition_nomatch")),r.hideTrending(r),r.showRetryLink(r),r.errorAudio.play())},document&&document.dispatchEvent&&document.dispatchEvent(new Event("VOICE_JS_READY"))}}o.I18n=m,o.prototype.renderPermissionGuide=function(e){var n='\n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    '.concat(e.i18n.t("search.voice.permission_title"),'

    \n

    ').concat(e.i18n.t("search.voice.permission_text"),"

    \n

    \n

    \n

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    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n \n \n \n \n \n \n

    \n

    \n

    \n \n \n '.concat(e.i18n.t("search.voice.recognition_retry"),'\n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n

    \n ').concat(e.i18n.t("search.voice.trending_title"),'\n \n

    \n

    \n

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e)&&("SpeechGrammarList"in e||"webkitSpeechGrammarList"in e)}}],d=0;d0){var n=e.speechResult.charAt(e.speechResult.length-1);"."!==n&&"?"!==n&&"。"!==n&&"?"!==n||(e.speechResult=e.speechResult.slice(0,-1))}},o.prototype.sendBeacon=function(n,t){var o=e.YAHOO.ULT||{},i=e.YAHOO.SB||{};if(o.beacon_click){var r={_S:i.config.i13n.spaceid,_I:i.config.i13n.pvid,actn:n,sec:"search",slk:t};e.YAHOO.ULT.beacon_click(r)}},o.prototype.ajaxReq=function(t,o){var i,r,a=XMLHttpRequest.DONE||4,s=new XMLHttpRequest;if(n.documentMode&&n.documentMode<10)return(new e.XDomainRequest).onload=function(){try{r=JSON.parse(i),o(r)}catch(e){return}},s.open("GET",t),void s.send();s.onreadystatechange=function(){if(s.readyState===a)if(200===s.status){i=s.responseText;try{r=JSON.parse(i),o(r)}catch(e){return}}else o(r)},s.open("GET",t,!0),s.timeout=1e4,s.send()},e.YAHOO||(e.YAHOO={}),e.YAHOO.Util||(e.YAHOO.Util={}),e.YAHOO.Util.VoiceSearch=o}(window,document)}();var Wn={containerClass:Un.tooltip,textClass:Un.tooltip__text,showClass:Un["tooltip--show"]},Jn=["zh-hant-tw","zh-hant-hk"];ye("ybar-mod-searchbox",(function(e){var n={ybar:document.getElementById("ybar"),searchInput:document.getElementById("ybar-sbq"),buttonBar:document.querySelector(".".concat(Un["sa-btn-bar"])),voiceSearchBtn:document.getElementById("ybar-sbq-voice"),searchForm:document.getElementById("ybar-sf"),searchBoxIcon:document.querySelector(".".concat(Un["searchbox-icon-uh3"])),searchBoxPlaceholder:document.getElementById("ybar-smartphone-searchbox-placeholder"),searchBoxBackButton:document.getElementById("ybar-search-back-btn"),shopsButtonsWrap:document.querySelector(".".concat(Un["shops-buttons"])),categorySelect:document.getElementById("shops-category-select"),selectedMerchantInput:document.getElementById("selected-merchant-input"),selectedMerchantClearButton:document.querySelector(".".concat(Un["selected-merchant-clear-button"])),submitSearchBtn:document.getElementById("ybar-search"),clearSearchBtn:document.getElementById("ybar-sbq-x")};!function(e,n){var t,o,i,r=e.getConfig();if(n.ybar&&"desktop"===r.device&&(null===(t=r.bucketConfig)||void 0===t?void 0:t.highlight_searchassist)&&(null===(o=r.bucketConfig)||void 0===o?void 0:o.overlay_class)){n.ybar.setAttribute("data-ovrly-bkt",r.bucketConfig.overlay_class),null===(i=n.searchForm)||void 0===i||i.classList.add(Un[r.bucketConfig.overlay_class]);var a=document.createElement("div");a.classList.add(Un.overlay,Un[r.bucketConfig.overlay_class]),document.body.appendChild(a),e.onDestroy((function(){document.body.removeChild(a)})),e.addElementListener(n.searchForm,"focusout",(function(e){if(n.searchForm&&n.searchInput){var t=e.relatedTarget;t&&!n.searchForm.contains(t)&&window.YAHOO.SA&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps[0]&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps[0].view.shown&&window.YAHOO.SA.apps[0].view.hide()}}))}}(e,n),zn(e,n),n.voiceSearchBtn&&function(e,n){var t=e.getConfig(),o=t.locale,i=function(){var e,t;(null===(t=null===(e=window.YAHOO)||void 0===e?void 0:e.Util)||void 0===t?void 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    A New Bull Market Is Here: According to History, This Is How Long It Could Last (2024)

    FAQs

    How long does a bull market last? ›

    Bull markets can last for a long time.

    The median bull market lasts 46 months (about three times longer than the average bear market). The S&P 500's current bull run is only 21 months old. Time is one thing; returns are another. The median bull market total return is 110%.

    Will 2024 be a bull market? ›

    The S&P 500 generated an impressive 26.29% total return in 2023, rebounding from an 18.11% setback in 2022. Heading into 2024, investors are optimistic the same macroeconomic tailwinds that fueled the stock market's 2023 rally will propel the S&P 500 to new all-time highs in 2024.

    Have we been in a bull market for the past 20 years? ›

    The current bull market started around 2012-2013. Over the past 100 years, there have been three significant bull markets and three bear markets. The averages of these cycles suggest this bull could last until 2028 or 2029. However, this does not mean that stocks will be immune to pullbacks.

    Are we in a bull market right now? ›

    The current bull market started in October 2022, which means it is now just less than 19 months old. If it ended now, it would be the shortest bull market ever. Most bull markets last much longer. The last 12 bull markets have averaged more than five years.

    How long is this bull run expected to last? ›

    As the U.S. stock market looks to mark a historically long run, investors see reason to think the bull market will extend at least a decade on the strength of a strong economy, even as they look for signs of any looming downturn.

    Will 2025 be a bull or bear market? ›

    Veteran investor David Roche expects a bear market in 2025, caused by smaller-than-expected rate cuts, a slowing U.S. economy and an AI bubble. Those factors could cause a bear market of minus 20% in 2025, maybe starting at the end of this year, but the Fed will have room to adjust, he added.

    What is the stock market prediction for the next 5 years? ›

    Overall, Yardeni Research forecasts S&P 500 operating earnings at $250 in 2024, up 12% vs 2023. He puts them at $270 in 2025 (up 8%) and $300 in 2026 (up 11.1%). These figures compare with analysts' consensus forecasts of $244.70 in 2024, $279.70 in 2025 and $314.80 in 2026.

    Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

    Key Takeaways. While holding or moving to cash might feel good mentally and help avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be wise over the long term. Once you cash out a stock that's dropped in price, you move from a paper loss to an actual loss.

    What is the expected return of the stock market in the next 10 years? ›

    Other long-term forecasts, compiled by Morningstar, show U.S. equities returning between 4-7% on average over the next 10-15 years, with higher expectations for international stocks. In most cases, these predictions still see U.S. stocks outperforming U.S. corporate bonds.

    What is the shortest bull market in history? ›

    The S&P 500 compound annual growth rate from 1992 through December 2023 was 10.07%. The shortest bull market was the 1932 Rebound, which lasted two months as the S&P 500 gained 92%. On average, S&P 500 bull markets lasted for 3.7 years and had a 150% gain.

    What is the longest bear market? ›

    The longest bear market lingered for three years, from 1946 to 1949. Taking the past 12 bear markets into consideration, the average length of a bear market is about 14 months. How bad has the average bear been? The shallowest bear market loss took place in 1990, when the S&P 500 lost around 20%.

    What is the average return of the stock market in the last 100 years? ›

    The average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 10.628% over the last 100 years, as of the end of July 2024. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Dividends account for about 40% of the total gain over this period. Adjusted for inflation, the 100-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 7.454%.

    Is a market crash coming in 2024? ›

    While many experts are making predictions about whether the market will crash in 2024 or how severe the next downturn will be, it's impossible to say with certainty where stock prices will be in the short term. However, the market's long-term performance is all but guaranteed to be positive.

    How do you know if a bull market is coming? ›

    Bull markets generally start when the economy is strengthening or is already strong. They tend to coincide with a strong gross domestic product (GDP), a drop in unemployment, and a rise in corporate profits. Growing investor confidence can keep bull markets moving.

    What is the market prediction for 2024? ›

    2024 stock market outlook

    Next year, investors can expect declining inflation, reasonable economic growth, and potentially, interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, according to Niladri Mukherjee, Chief Investment Officer for TIAA Wealth Management.

    How many years is a bull good for? ›

    Bulls, much like cows, can live ten to twelve years. Most bulls will remain active in the herd for closer to four or five years due to feet and leg, structural, and fertility problems, temperament concerns, or injuries. The decision to cull many bulls happens in the spring after failing a breeding soundness exam.

    Do bull markets last longer than bear? ›

    Bear markets lasted a median of 19 months (less than 2 years) with a median drop of -33% and durations ranging from 1 month to 113 months (nearly 9.5 years). Bull markets lasted a median of 42 months (3.5 years) with a median spike of 87% and durations ranging from 14 months to 98 months (about 8 years).

    What comes after a bull market? ›

    While bull markets are fueled by optimism, bear markets — which occur when stock prices fall 20% or more for a sustained period of time — are just the opposite. Bull markets are generally powered by economic strength, whereas bear markets often occur in periods of economic slowdown and higher unemployment.

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