Bitcoin: Is the crypto-currency doomed? (2024)

  • Published

Bitcoin: Is the crypto-currency doomed? (1)Image source, Getty Images

By Chris Baraniuk

Technology reporter

A high-profile Bitcoin developer has said the crypto-currency has failed and he will no longer take part in its development.

Mike Hearn, a Zurich-based developer and long-time proponent of Bitcoin, surprised many this weekend when he published a blog calling Bitcoin a "failed" project.

Mr Hearn, who had until recently been working on new software for the currency, says he has now sold all of his own bitcoins and will no longer take part in the crypto-currency's development.

So, is Bitcoin doomed?

What is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is a crypto-currency - a system of digitally created and traded tokens to which value is assigned.

Computers have to solve cryptographic problems in order to add blocks to the blockchain - a ledger that records every transaction that has ever occurred with Bitcoin.

In return, those computers receive bitcoins in a process known as bitcoin "mining".

Users have a "bitcoin address", to which bitcoins may be sent or from which they may be used.

Addresses are stored online in wallets that function like bank accounts.

Although most people refer to Bitcoin as a currency, it is worth noting that for regulatory reasons many countries - including the United States - have decided to define it as a commodity instead.

What are the problems?

Image source, Getty Images

The biggest issue most bitcoin users acknowledge is how quickly new transactions can be processed.

The size of blocks being added to the blockchain has been increasing steadily with the rise of Bitcoin.

As a result, the rate at which transactions can be processed has been slowing.

Indeed, some transactions face significant delays, hampering payments.

Who is Mike Hearn?

Image source, Mike Hearn

Mike Hearn is a software developer who has worked on Bitcoin technologies for over five years.

In 2014, he left his job at Google to focus on Bitcoin full time.

He has worked closely with Bitcoin chief scientist Gavin Andresen on alternative software for Bitcoin called Bitcoin XT, which aims to address capacity issues facing the network.

Mr Andresen is generally thought of as next in the chain of influence over the currency's development after Bitcoin's mysterious founder, Satoshi Nakamoto.

How might the capacity of the network be increased?

Image source, Getty Images

Currently, each block can be no more than 1MB.

But in May last year, Mr Andresen said bigger ones should be adopted.

He later wrote, "It is more likely people [will] just stop using Bitcoin because transaction confirmation becomes increasingly unreliable."

The Bitcoin XT version developed by Mr Hearn, Mr Andresen and others offers to increase the block size limit to 8MB

There are alternatives, however.

Nic Cary, co-founder of Bitcoin start-up Blockchain, points to BitcoinClassic, which would increase the block size limit to 2MB.

Why is there a dispute over this?

Image source, Getty Images

Bitcoin's history as a "decentralised" currency has led to much hesitation over decisions that might change its fundamental nature.

Any proposal relating to Bitcoin is likely to encourage fierce debate and, in some cases, stagnation.

Some have argued vehemently against Bitcoin XT, causing a deep divide in the community. The New York Times has reported that death threats had even been made against some Bitcoin developers.

Mr Cary says the need to update the block size limit is not as urgent as some say.

"This is a matter of perspective," he told the BBC.

"The Bitcoin network has been updated safely dozens of times and will continue to be the most reliable, affordable, and efficient way to send value around the world."

However, there are some who feel that Bitcoin's potential as a currency has already been exhausted.

"I'm sure there are smart people right now working out what the next generation [of Bitcoin] should look like but I have to say I'm not convinced that money or payments is the optimum [use] of the technology," Dave Birch, a director at consultancy firm Consult Hyperion, told the BBC.

Part of the problem was the lack of consensus over what Bitcoin was and how it should be used, he added.

How 'healthy' is Bitcoin?

Image source, Getty Images

Bitcoin's price fell quite sharply over the weekend, following the publication of Mr Hearn's blog.

One bitcoin is now worth $380 (£265), down from about $430 on Thursday.

However, the price of Bitcoin is notoriously volatile.

It has been classed as the best performing currency in the world in 2015.

But authors of that analysis, The Money Project, also noted it was the worst performing currency the previous year.

Besides price, Bitcoin has also suffered from a litany of cases in which bitcoins have been stolen from online exchanges in which they were stored, in some cases due to negligence or poor security.

Such incidents generally result in a complete loss of funds for the victims, since it is very difficult to trace where stolen bitcoins have been transferred.

Meanwhile, the currency continues to grow - a sign of good things to come, say many.

What will happen next?

Image source, Getty Images

Bitcoin remains popular.

There is still huge interest in developing both the currency and technologies based on the blockchain idea of recording data.

It seems unlikely the currency will collapse overnight.

But it certainly look as though fundamental questions over how Bitcoin works are now coming to a head.

Whether the community that uses and supports Bitcoin will be able to come to a consensus on these matters remains to be seen.

Mr Hearn has lost faith in the project, of that there is no doubt.

But many others are refusing to throw in the towel just yet.

Update: This report was changed on 19 January 2016 to clarify that some payments can take a considerable time to be processed rather than not going through at all.

More on this story

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  • Big banks consider basic Bitcoin tech

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      17 September 2015

  • Bitcoin could split, say developers

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      18 August 2015

  • 'Light touch' Bitcoin regulation

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      23 October 2015

  • What is Bitcoin?

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      3 October 2013

Bitcoin: Is the crypto-currency doomed? (2024)

FAQs

Does Bitcoin have a future? ›

Bitcoin is most likely to remain popular with cryptocurrency speculators over the next decade. Bitcoin the blockchain will probably continue to be developed to address long-standing issues like scalability and security.

Why is Bitcoin doomed to fail? ›

Cryptocurrencies exhibit extreme price fluctuations, rendering them unreliable as stores of value or mediums of exchange. This volatility undermines confidence in their stability and inhibits the widespread adoption of everyday transactions. Regulatory ambiguity poses another significant threat.

What if Bitcoin collapses? ›

It is quite likely that a bitcoin price crash will result in a correction in their prices as well. It is also certain that the vast majority of cryptocurrencies that populate the current listings will disappear.

What does Warren Buffett say about Bitcoin? ›

Perhaps the most famous value investor of all time, Warren Buffett is strongly against Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, saying, "You can't value Bitcoin because it's not a value-producing asset." Buffett and his holding company Berkshire Hathaway Inc. have been well-known for their investments in stable and ...

How much will $100 in Bitcoin be worth in 2030? ›

If this pattern continues into 2030, the price could peak around 2029 or 2030, potentially aligning with Wood's price prediction. If Wood is correct and Bitcoin reaches $3.8 million, a $100 investment in Bitcoin today would be worth $5,510 in 2030. This translates to a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 95%.

How much will $1 Bitcoin be worth in 2025? ›

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2030
YearPrice
2024$ 54,285.77
2025$ 57,000.06
2026$ 59,850.06
2027$ 62,842.56
1 more row

Is all Bitcoin worthless now? ›

Is All Bitcoin Worthless Now? Bitcoin hasn't been worthless since it was first introduced—but it is still in its discovery phase. This means investors, consumers, businesses, scientists, and governments are still exploring its uses and value.

Can Bitcoin go to zero? ›

A reasonable assumption that Bitcoin could hypothetically reach the null state of it's value is worth the thought. Even-though such an event is very less likely to take place, there are some factors that could theoretically lead to Bitcoin price crashing to zero.

Who owns the most Bitcoin? ›

So, who are the top holders of BTC? According to the Bitcoin research and analysis firm River Intelligence, Satoshi Nakamoto, the anonymous creator behind Bitcoin, is listed as the top BTC holder as of 2024. The company notes that Satoshi Nakamoto holds about 1.1m BTC tokens in about 22,000 different addresses.

Is it smart to invest in Bitcoin? ›

There are several risks associated with investing in cryptocurrency: loss of capital, government regulations, fraud and hacks. Loss of capital. Mark Hastings, partner at Quillon Law, warns that investors must tread carefully in crypto's unique financial environment or risk significant losses.

Is it safe to invest in Bitcoin today? ›

While it was difficult to safely buy and store Bitcoin early in its history, investing in BTC is now safer than ever. Exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken are trusted by millions of investors and institutions around the world.

Can Bitcoin really reach 1 million? ›

Experts Forecast Bitcoin To Hit $1 Million Within A Decade Amid Crypto Boom. Great SpeculationsContributor Group. Bitcoin could be headed for the stratosphere, according to a new report by Bernstein.

Does Elon Musk own Bitcoin? ›

"I still own a bunch of dogecoin, and SpaceX owns a bunch of bitcoin," Musk said during an X Spaces broadcast, referring to his rocket company. Musk's electric car company Tesla also holds just over 10,000 bitcoin worth almost $500 million.

Has anyone gotten rich from Bitcoin? ›

Bitcoin has made many millionaires already, and you could be one, too. Over the course of its 15-year history, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has made plenty of millionaires.

Will Bitcoin be worth anything in 10 years? ›

In its 2023 Big Ideas report, Ark Invest laid out several price targets for Bitcoin. The report sees Bitcoin hitting price targets in 2030 of $257,500 in the bearish forecast, $682,000 in an average market and $1.48 million in a bullish market.

How many years will Bitcoin last? ›

After all bitcoins are mined, miners will no longer receive block rewards for verifying transactions but will instead earn transaction fees. It's estimated that all bitcoins will be mined by the year 2140, at which point the last block reward will be released.

How much will Bitcoin be worth in 5 years? ›

We predict that Bitcoin will hold an average price of $60,000 in 2024, thanks to the Halving event, and settle more in 2025 with an average of $65,000. In 2026, we see Bitcoin trading as high as $90,000 by the end of the year. By 2030, we predict that Bitcoin could reach a high of $160,000.

Will Bitcoin survive in 2050? ›

“By 2050, we see bitcoin (BTC) solidifying its position as a key international medium of exchange, ultimately becoming one of the world's reserve currencies,” they explained, adding: “It is conceivable that by 2050 bitcoin could be used to settle 10% of the globe's international trade and 5% of the world's domestic ...

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