The box office is buzzing with a diverse range of films this weekend, and the competition is fierce! But will these new releases steal the spotlight from the sophomore outing of 'Black Phone 2'?
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere is poised to rock the box office, with BOT's domestic weekend forecast ranging from $16+ million, surpassing traditional industry tracking estimates of $10-12 million. The film's pre-sales have been impressive, especially in major metro areas in the northeast, where Bruce Springsteen's fan base is strong. However, the film's appeal might be more localized, impacting overall predictions.
Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc is expected to bring in $9.5-13 million, catering to anime enthusiasts. With early access shows and an IMAX presence, it's set to attract dedicated fans.
Regretting You, based on the novel by Colleen Hoover, is the romantic choice, targeting young women. It's forecast to earn $8.5-13.5 million, while industry tracking predicts $10 million. Meanwhile, Shelby Oaks, directed by social media influencer Chris Stuckmann, could surprise us with a top ten finish.
This weekend's top 10 films are predicted to earn 21% less than the same weekend in 2024, with Venom: The Last Dance leading the way. Compared to 2019, they're expected to earn 23% less, with Maleficent: Mistress of Evil's second weekend at the top.
Here's the breakdown of the weekend forecast:
| Film | Distributor | 3-Day Weekend Forecast | Change from Last Weekend | Projected Total | Expected Location Count |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 20th Century Studios | $17,900,000 | NEW | $17,900,000 | ~3,000 |
| Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc | Sony & Crunchyroll | $12,700,000 | NEW | $12,700,000 | ~2,800 |
| Black Phone 2 | Universal | $12,200,000 | -55% | $48,600,000 | ~3,411 |
| Regretting You | Paramount | $10,900,000 | NEW | $10,900,000 | ~3,200 |
| Tron: Ares | Disney | $5,400,000 | -51% | $63,700,000 | ~3,300 |
| Good Fortune | Lionsgate | $3,400,000 | -45% | $12,100,000 | ~2,990 |
| Shelby Oaks | Neon | $2,500,000 | NEW | $2,500,000 | ~1,500 |
| One Battle After Another | Warner Bros. | $2,300,000 | -40% | $65,600,000 | ~1,800 |
| Roofman | Paramount | $2,300,000 | -38% | $19,500,000 | ~2,800 |
| Gabby's Dollhouse | Universal | $1,000,000 | -43% | $31,700,000 | ~2,000 |
| Bugonia | Focus | $700,000 | NEW | $700,000 | ~17 |
And here's where it gets interesting: Will the counter-programming strategy pay off for these studios? With different demographics targeted, will they find success in their respective niches? And what about the impact of word-of-mouth for 'Black Phone 2'?
What are your predictions for this weekend's box office? Do you think any of these films will exceed expectations? Share your thoughts and let's discuss the potential surprises and disappointments of this exciting weekend!
