Breakout Trading in All Market Condition Trading System (2024)

Submit by Joy22 (Written by Alan Hull) 06/01/2012

Finding a trading system that will operate well in all market conditions is the stuff of dreams for many traders. But break out trading, as described here, comes very close to being a system that does exactly that.

You see, many trading systems, such as trend trading systems, are designed to identify a trend and then stay with it until its end. This is a very powerful way to trade – except, of course, when the market is not trending. In difficult market conditions a trend trader often finds few opportunities and can have many false starts. Sometimes they may find themselves sitting on the sidelines trying hard to exercise some patience.

I’ve had some experience with this because I like trend trading and have several very successful trend trading systems . Following the rules of these systems means that I will never lose much money but without a trending market it can sometimes be very difficult to move ahead – but this is where break out trading comes to the fore.

Break out trading is essentially momentum trading following a break out from a Point of Agreement; where a Point of Agreement (POA) is a momentary balance in forces on a share price, see chart below.


This works well in all market conditions because of 2 important factors; the entry and exit signals are not based on trending attributes. Rather, the entry for a break out trade is a break out from a Point of Agreement (POA); where a POA is a period of diminishing consolidation or a triangle. Triangles occur in most market conditions but are particularly prevalent in sideways markets – being of a sideways nature themselves.


The exit for a break out trade is based on momentum. This is relevant to break out trading because after a period of consolidation share prices tend to rally; sometimes quite strongly. This increase in the rate of change in price (or momentum) can be monitored using a momentum indicator such as the MACD . Any weakness in the momentum would signal a slowing of the price and an end of the break out rally.

Breakout Trading in All Market Condition Trading System (1)

Thus, putting together a break out trade would look something like that shown in the chart below; where the arrows indicate the entry and exit signals. It is interesting to note that overall the share price in this chart was sideways; no trend developed yet a profitable trade was extracted. This illustrates the beauty of a break out trading strategy and how it can work well in difficult market conditions.

Of course share prices can also consolidate and break out during trends as well. The chart below shows a trending share that had two breakout trades within it. The rallies within the trend were captured. So you can see how break out trading can operate in either a trending or a sideways market. Identify the break out – get into the market quickly and capture profits – and then lock them in with a tight stop loss.

There are other advantages of break out trading besides being an all-terrain trading system. For example, a break out from a Point of Agreement is a high probability trade set up. Recent back testing, based on the break out trading strategy described on my website (www.alanhull.com) showed over 60% of trades were profitable. The strategy also has a high profit ratio with an average profit to loss ratio in recent back testing being about 2.3:1.

Furthermore, break outs can be up or down which means that both Long and Short trading opportunities can arise. However, the majority of trades tend to be Long; about 80% in recent back testing, so Short trading opportunities are available but can be overlooked depending on a Trader’s preference.

Break out trades exist in many time frames but a weekly time frame is quite robust for trading. This timeframe irons out daily volatility and allows some rallies to develop to very profitable levels. Recent back testing indicates that the average length of a trade using a weekly approach is about 9 weeks. Hence the system is a relatively short term, medium risk strategy.

Share your opinion, can help everyone to understand the forex strategy.

Comments: 5

  • #5

    zishan (Tuesday, 19 January 2021 08:55)

    hello

  • #4

    Abhijit (Sunday, 29 March 2020 13:37)

    HI

  • #3

    MARIO (Sunday, 16 February 2020 15:35)

    possibile averlo ? ciao grazie

  • #2

    Tahlil (Friday, 09 August 2019 20:42)

    It seems to be profitable trading system but i can't find the download link.

  • #1

    Ranjith (Friday, 09 November 2018 15:23)

    Like to try this breakout

Breakout Trading in All Market Condition Trading System (2024)

FAQs

Breakout Trading in All Market Condition Trading System? ›

A breakout trader enters a long position after the stock price breaks above resistance or enters a short position after the stock breaks below support. Once the stock trades beyond the price barrier, volatility tends to increase and prices usually trend in the breakout's direction.

What is the rule of breakout trading? ›

Breakout trading entails entering a trade in the early stages of a trend. You should go long if the stock price breaks above a resistance level. If it falls below support, you should go short. Trading breakouts may be lucrative as they allow an asset's price to move quickly once it breaks through the breakout.

What is the best indicator for breakout trading? ›

Indicators such as Moving Averages, RSI and MACD can be used to measure the strength of the breakout. Volume: An important factor to identify a breakout is the trading volumes of the stock. It is essential that the volumes traded should be high on the day of the breakout.

What is the best time frame for breakout trading? ›

This trade is taken usually on the 5-minute, 15-minute or 30-minute time frame and generally resolves very quickly. For scalpers the most popular time frame is 5-minutes and for intra-day swing traders they will most likely use the 15-minute of the 30-minute time frames.

What is the breakout rule? ›

Breaking out is when a racer manages to cross the finish line in less time than the one he dialed-in beforehand. If only one car "breaks out", it is disqualified and the other one wins by default. If both cars break out, the one closer to the dial-in time wins.

How profitable is breakout trading? ›

Does breakout trading work? Trading breakouts can be a profitable trading strategy. The risk of a false breakout is high though, which is why having a sound risk management plan is important. Furthermore, you should aim for a reasonable risk/reward ratio - at least 1:2.

How to trade breakouts like a pro? ›

Summary
  1. Identify the Candidate: Find stocks that have built strong support or resistance levels and watch them. ...
  2. Wait for the Breakout: Finding a good candidate does not mean a trade should be taken prematurely. ...
  3. Set a Reasonable Objective: If you are going to take a trade, set an expectation of where it is going.

Which breakout strategy is best? ›

The Continuation Breakout Strategy

Executing their position as soon as the price escapes its consolidative state and steps beyond a key threshold. This approach thrives in turbulent markets where pronounced price movements can translate into potentially successful trades.

What is the 3 minute breakout strategy? ›

The 3 minute chart trading strategy allows traders to capture more opportunities in a shorter amount of time. With each candle representing just three minutes of market activity, traders can quickly spot trends and price action changes.

How do you find the perfect breakout? ›

Here are seven ways to identify and profit from potential breakout stocks.
  1. Look for companies with a competitive advantage. ...
  2. Watch for key market trends. ...
  3. Monitor volume and price. ...
  4. Identify companies with strong fundamentals. ...
  5. Track a stock's relative strength. ...
  6. Keep an eye out for catalysts. ...
  7. Exit at your target price.
Mar 5, 2024

What are the best pairs for breakout trading? ›

👉 Currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD perform exceptionally well during this time. The overlap period is marked by high volatility and significant price movements, making breakout strategies particularly effective.

What is the win rate of breakout trading? ›

Usually, traders use stop orders to enter such breakouts. Check the example below. Traders can catch a big move without even being at the desk. Although, depending on your stop-loss tactic, the win rate tends to be around 30% or lower.

What is the best indicator for breakout? ›

Moving Averages: A popular indicator that can be used to confirm breakouts is the moving average. By putting a moving average on a chart, traders can see the overall direction of the trend and know when a breakout has happened when the price breaks above or below the moving average.

When should you exit a breakout trade? ›

Before taking a long position on an apparent breakout, for example, a trader should typically define a price target. Once that target is reached, it's generally time to exit (though other variables, such as a breaking development that's having a significant impact on an asset's price, may require a target to be reset).

What is the daily breakout strategy? ›

The intraday breakout strategy involves identifying and capitalizing on these price breakouts within a single trading day. The goal is to enter the trade as soon as the breakout occurs. Traders look to ride the price momentum to maximize gains while minimizing risk.

What is the range breakout rule in trading? ›

The Range Break-out strategy detects when a market is in a range. Once a range has been detected, a signal will indicate when the market breaks out of its range. A break-out in the direction of the trend is called a trend resumption. A break-out in the opposite direction of the trend is called a trend reversal.

How to confirm breakout trading? ›

Monitor trend lines and moving averages: On the trading chart, trend lines and moving averages should be observed since they can offer further confirmation of breakout signals. Strong volume and a distinct upward or downward trend support the breakout indicator's validity.

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