Canadian (TSX) REITS Industry Analysis (2024)

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Canadian (TSX) REITS Industry Analysis (1)

UpdatedSep 13, 2024

DataAggregated Company Financials

Companies9

  • 7D5.3%
  • 3M20.8%
  • 1Y7.7%
  • YTD13.4%

Over the last 7 days, the REITS industry has risen 5.3%, driven by gains from H&R Real Estate Investment Trust of 5.7%. Meanwhile, Nova Net Lease REIT actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 17% in the last week. This means that the industry has gained 7.7% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 110% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the Canadian REITS Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sat, 14 Sep 2024CA$5.4bCA$1.9b-CA$474,273,724.009.2x-11.5x2.9x
Mon, 12 Aug 2024CA$4.7bCA$1.8b-CA$242,052,459.008.5x-19.5x2.6x
Wed, 10 Jul 2024CA$4.5bCA$1.8b-CA$341,683,846.007.9x-13.3x2.5x
Fri, 07 Jun 2024CA$4.7bCA$1.8b-CA$341,683,846.008.1x-13.6x2.6x
Sun, 05 May 2024CA$4.5bCA$1.8b-CA$259,777,117.007.6x-17.5x2.5x
Tue, 02 Apr 2024CA$4.6bCA$1.8b-CA$236,724,569.007.6x-19.5x2.5x
Thu, 29 Feb 2024CA$4.5bCA$1.9b-CA$282,235,636.009.4x-15.9x2.4x
Sat, 27 Jan 2024CA$9.4bCA$2.2bCA$367.5m7.4x25.5x4.3x
Mon, 25 Dec 2023CA$9.2bCA$2.2bCA$367.5m6.8x25.1x4.2x
Wed, 22 Nov 2023CA$9.0bCA$2.2bCA$370.3m6.7x24.2x4.1x
Fri, 20 Oct 2023CA$8.9bCA$2.0bCA$250.7m6.4x35.6x4.4x
Sun, 17 Sep 2023CA$9.6bCA$2.0bCA$250.7m7.3x38.1x4.7x
Tue, 15 Aug 2023CA$9.5bCA$2.1bCA$247.6m6.6x38.5x4.5x
Thu, 13 Jul 2023CA$9.6bCA$2.2bCA$515.8m5.4x18.5x4.4x
Sat, 10 Jun 2023CA$9.6bCA$2.2bCA$515.8m5.4x18.5x4.4x
Mon, 08 May 2023CA$9.9bCA$2.2bCA$1.7b3.7x5.9x4.6x
Wed, 05 Apr 2023CA$10.3bCA$2.2bCA$1.7b4.1x6.1x4.8x
Fri, 03 Mar 2023CA$85.6bCA$14.1bCA$7.8b6.3x11x6.1x
Sun, 29 Jan 2023CA$86.9bCA$14.4bCA$11.1b5.4x7.8x6x
Tue, 27 Dec 2022CA$79.6bCA$14.4bCA$11.1b5.1x7.2x5.5x
Thu, 24 Nov 2022CA$81.0bCA$14.3bCA$11.1b5.3x7.3x5.6x
Sat, 22 Oct 2022CA$73.8bCA$14.3bCA$13.2b4.4x5.6x5.2x
Mon, 19 Sep 2022CA$80.2bCA$14.3bCA$13.2b4.5x6.1x5.6x
Wed, 17 Aug 2022CA$86.4bCA$14.2bCA$13.2b4.9x6.5x6.1x
Fri, 15 Jul 2022CA$79.0bCA$13.8bCA$14.6b4.7x5.4x5.7x
Sun, 12 Jun 2022CA$85.5bCA$13.7bCA$14.6b5.1x5.9x6.2x
Tue, 10 May 2022CA$88.1bCA$13.6bCA$13.1b6.2x6.7x6.5x
Thu, 07 Apr 2022CA$95.6bCA$13.5bCA$11.7b8.5x8.2x7.1x
Sat, 05 Mar 2022CA$98.2bCA$14.1bCA$11.0b8.3x8.9x7x
Mon, 31 Jan 2022CA$94.7bCA$13.8bCA$9.4b9x10.1x6.9x
Wed, 29 Dec 2021CA$97.2bCA$13.6bCA$9.3b8.9x10.5x7.1x
Fri, 26 Nov 2021CA$97.1bCA$13.6bCA$9.2b8.9x10.5x7.1x
Sun, 24 Oct 2021CA$99.3bCA$13.7bCA$8.0b10.5x12.4x7.2x
Tue, 21 Sep 2021CA$97.0bCA$13.8bCA$8.0b9.9x12.1x7x

Price to Earnings Ratio

12.1x

Current Industry PE

  • Investors are pessimistic on the Canadian REITs industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 5.0x is higher than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.8x.

Past Earnings Growth

  • Total earnings for the REITs industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Revenues have also declined 48% per year, which is driving profits down.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the Canadian Real Estate industry?

CA Market1.99%
Real Estate2.83%
REITS5.27%
Hotel and Resort REITs8.25%
Specialized REITs5.85%
Diversified REITs5.27%
Office REITs5.07%
Healthcare REITs3.95%
Residential REITs3.35%
Industrial REITs3.28%
Retail REITs2.44%

Industry PE

  • Investors are most optimistic about the Residential REITs industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 49.0%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 61.7% per year.

Forecasted Growth

  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Hotel and Resort REITs industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 133% over the next 5 years.
  • In contrast, the Industrial REITs industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 12% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
HR.UN H&R Real Estate Investment TrustCA$11.396.5%
+CA$183.4m
8.1%PB0.6x
AX.UN Artis Real Estate Investment TrustCA$8.016.7%
+CA$52.3m
11.7%PB0.6x
PRV.UN Pro Real Estate Investment TrustCA$5.918.6%
+CA$27.9m
17.0%PB0.7x
MR.UN Melcor Real Estate Investment TrustCA$4.8152.2%
+CA$21.4m
7.4%PB0.3x
BTB.UN BTB Real Estate Investment TrustCA$3.566.3%
+CA$18.4m
9.9%PB0.6x
Canadian (TSX) REITS Industry Analysis (2024)

FAQs

What is the 90% rule for REITs? ›

By law, REITs must distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to shareholders. This means most dividends investors receive are taxed as ordinary income at their marginal tax rates rather than lower qualified dividend rates. Any profit is subject to capital gains tax when investors sell REIT shares.

Which Canadian REITs pay the highest dividend? ›

The top dividend stocks in Canada for 2024
RankSymbolDividend yield
1LIF-T8.89%
2AEM-T2.95%
3ERF-T1.55%
4IMO-T2.56%
36 more rows
Jul 30, 2024

Why are Canadian REITs down? ›

Canadian REITs have lagged the broader S&P/TSX market since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 when Covid-19 lockdowns carved into the office commercial real estate sector and ensuing high interest rates weighed on real estate more broadly.

How is the REIT industry doing? ›

US real estate investment trust share prices continued to fall during the second quarter of 2024, underperforming the broader stock market. The Dow Jones Equity All REIT Index generated a total return of negative 0.9% for the quarter, compared to a 4.3% return for the S&P 500.

What is the REIT 10 year rule? ›

For Group REITs, the consequences of leaving early apply when the principal company of the group gives notice for the group as a whole to leave the regime within ten years of joining or where an exiting company has been a member of the Group REIT for less than ten years.

What is the 5 and 50 rule for REITs? ›

A REIT cannot be closely held. A REIT will be closely held if more than 50 percent of the value of its outstanding stock is owned directly or indirectly by or for five or fewer individuals at any point during the last half of the taxable year, (this is commonly referred to as the 5/50 test).

What is the largest REIT company in Canada? ›

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust, commonly referred to as Choice Properties, is a Canadian unincorporated, open-ended real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Toronto, Ontario. It is the largest real estate investment trust in Canada, with an enterprise value of $16 billion.

What is the highest paying dividend on the TSX? ›

Top 10 Dividend Stocks In Canada
NameDividend YieldDividend Rating
Whitecap Resources (TSX:WCP)6.96%★★★★★★
Power Corporation of Canada (TSX:POW)5.72%★★★★★☆
Enghouse Systems (TSX:ENGH)3.59%★★★★★☆
Secure Energy Services (TSX:SES)3.50%★★★★★☆
6 more rows
May 20, 2024

What are the best dividend stocks to buy and hold forever in Canada? ›

The stocks to consider

When it comes to crafting the perfect TFSA portfolio, having a mix of stability, growth, and income can make all the difference, and that's where Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY), SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN), Sienna Senior Living (TSX:SIA), and Northland Power (TSX:NPI) come into play.

Can REITs go broke? ›

REIT bankruptcies have indeed been a rarity since the REIT debacle of the mid-1970s, when high leverage and highly speculative real estate investments resulted in numerous REIT failures.

Are REITs a good investment in 2024 in Canada? ›

With Canada's population expected to grow by 1.2% annually over the next five years, residential REITs are a good option for investors seeking stable returns.

Are Canadian REITs a good buy? ›

Canadian REITs, on average, offer dividend yields ranging from 4% to 6%, which is higher than many traditional stocks. Beyond the steady income, Canadian REITs are diversified across various sectors, from residential to industrial properties. This reduces your risk and gives you a balanced portfolio.

Does REIT do well in recession? ›

REITs Outperform Stocks During Recessions

The stock market is extremely volatile during recessions. Publicly traded stocks rely heavily on the performance of the companies that are being traded in order to succeed. During a recession, those companies struggle, and their stock value drops.

Why are REITs crashing? ›

Mortgage REITs were affected by the sharp rise in interest rates during 2022 and 2023, and again have been under pressure on the “higher for longer” news.

What is the outlook for a REIT in 2024? ›

After lagging equities the past two years, REITs offer an attractive investment opportunity in 2024. The headwind of higher bond yields and central bank rate hikes is likely to abate and may turn into a tailwind if our view about an impending economic slowdown and decelerating inflation trends is correct.

What is the 75 75 90 rule for REITs? ›

Invest at least 75% of total assets in real estate, cash, or U.S. Treasurys. Derive at least 75% of gross income from rent, interest on mortgages that finance real estate, or real estate sales. Pay a minimum of 90% of their taxable income to their shareholders through dividends.

What is the 80 20 rule for REITs? ›

80-20 Rule: At least 80% of a REIT's asset value must be in completed and income-generating real estate, with the remaining 20% able to be invested in riskier assets such as under construction buildings, equity shares, bonds, cash, or under-construction commercial property.

What are the rules for REIT payout? ›

To qualify as securities, REITs must payout at least 90% of their net earnings to shareholders as dividends. For that, REITs receive special tax treatment; unlike a typical corporation, they pay no corporate taxes on the earnings they payout.

What is the 30% rule for REITs? ›

30% Rule. This rule was introduced with the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) and is part of Section 163(j) of the IRS Code. It states that a REIT may not deduct business interest expenses that exceed 30% of adjusted taxable income. REITs use debt financing, where the business interest expense comes in.

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