Commercial Real Estate - Europe | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

Analyst Opinion

Commercial Real Estate market in Europe is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circ*mstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors are all contributing to this positive trajectory. Customer preferences in the Commercial Real Estate market in Europe are shifting towards modern and sustainable properties. With an increasing focus on environmental sustainability and energy efficiency, customers are seeking commercial properties that align with these values. This has led to a rise in demand for green buildings and properties with LEED or BREEAM certifications. Additionally, customers are also looking for flexible and adaptable spaces that can accommodate changing business needs and trends. This has resulted in a growing demand for co-working spaces and mixed-use developments that offer a variety of amenities and services. Trends in the market indicate a strong demand for commercial properties in major European cities. Cities like London, Paris, Berlin, and Amsterdam are experiencing a surge in demand for office spaces, retail properties, and industrial spaces. This is driven by factors such as urbanization, population growth, and the concentration of businesses in these cities. Additionally, the rise of e-commerce has also fueled demand for logistics and warehousing spaces, particularly in strategic locations with good transport infrastructure. Local special circ*mstances also play a role in the development of the Commercial Real Estate market in Europe. For example, Brexit has had a significant impact on the real estate market in the United Kingdom. Uncertainty surrounding the UK's exit from the European Union has led to a slowdown in investment and a cautious approach from both domestic and international investors. However, other European cities have benefited from this uncertainty, as businesses and investors seek alternative locations within the EU. Underlying macroeconomic factors are also driving the growth of the Commercial Real Estate market in Europe. Favorable interest rates and low borrowing costs have made it easier for businesses and investors to finance real estate projects. Additionally, economic growth and stability in the region have attracted foreign investors looking for attractive returns and diversification opportunities. The European Union's commitment to economic integration and the free movement of goods and services has also facilitated cross-border investment and increased market liquidity. In conclusion, the Commercial Real Estate market in Europe is experiencing positive growth and development due to customer preferences, market trends, local special circ*mstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards sustainable and flexible properties, the concentration of businesses in major cities, local factors such as Brexit, and favorable macroeconomic conditions are all contributing to the growth of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of commercial real estate.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach. As a basis for evaluating this market, we use national statistical offices. Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as share of industry, manufacturing, and services of the GPD, price level index, GDP. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the market, for example, exponential trend smoothing.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Commercial Real Estate - Europe | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

FAQs

What is the outlook for Real Estate in Europe? ›

We forecast European all-property total returns of 1.5% over the year to December 2024. This is before a healthy recovery kicks in, with three- and five-year annualised total returns of 7.5% and 8.3%, respectively.

Where are Real Estate prices dropping in Europe? ›

Notable exceptions at year-end 2023 included Germany and Italy, where the prices for new and existing homes are falling, and the Netherlands and Portugal, where the prices for new and existing home prices are rising.

How is the housing market in Europe in 2024? ›

In the first quarter of 2024, house prices in the EU increased by 0.4% and rents by 0.9% compared with the fourth quarter of 2023. Compared with the first quarter of 2023, house prices in the EU went up by 1.3%, while rents increased by 3.0%.

What are the top commercial real estate companies in Europe? ›

Europe Commercial Real Estate Company List
  • Blackstone Inc.
  • Hines.
  • Strabag Group.
  • Tishman Speyer.
  • HB Reavis Group.
  • AG Real Estate.
  • Futureal Management Szolgaltato Kft.
  • Skanska*

What is the CBRE forecast for Europe? ›

Against this background, we see an improving landscape for property investment. Values look set to bottom out in 2024, and stabilising values will gradually bring some convergence in buyers' and sellers' price expectations. We expect investment volumes to rise by about 10% compared with 2023.

What is the outlook for the real estate market in Spain in 2024? ›

In 2024, the Spanish real estate market is expected to remain stable, with property prices projected to increase by an average of 2 to 5% due to ongoing inflation. This modest price rise reflects the resilience of the market despite economic fluctuations.

What are the trends in real estate prices in Europe? ›

Since the fourth quarter of 2022, house prices fell for two quarters in a row (-1.5% and -0.7%) before rising again in the second and third quarters of 2023 (+0.4 % and +0.7 %). A slight decrease followed in the fourth quarter of 2023 (-0.2 %) before another rise in the first quarter of 2024 (+0.4 %).

Where is real estate declining the most? ›

10 US cities where home prices are getting worse — and 5 where they're dropping
RankMetro1-year price change
1Wichita, Kansas21.20%
2Toledo, Ohio16.40%
3Madison, Wisconsin15.30%
4San Jose, California12.90%
6 more rows
Jun 20, 2024

Is Europe in a housing crisis? ›

The housing crisis is a growing concern across Europe, marked by shortages and escalating rents. Approximately 70% of EU residents own their homes, while the remaining 30% rent. About 17% of the EU population lives in overcrowded conditions.

Which country is best for Real Estate investment in 2024? ›

Best Countries to Invest in Real Estate in 2024
CountriesPopulation (2022)Nominal GDP
UAE (Dubai)3,331 million$527.80 billion
Spain47,78 million$1.65 trillion
Portugal10,41 million$298.949 billion
Germany83,8 million$4.59 trillion
6 more rows
Jul 17, 2024

What is the outlook for the German Real Estate market in 2024? ›

The outlook for 2024 also remains modest, and the first half of the year is likely to be characterized by a perpetuation of the current stagnation. As from mid-year, Germany's economy is likely to return to its growth trajectory and gradually pick up steam.

What is the Real Estate market in Italy in 2024? ›

Italy's Real Estate market market is expected to reach a staggering value of US$10.08tn in 2024. Within this market, Residential Real Estate takes the lead, with a projected market volume of US$8.03tn in the same year.

What is the most profitable commercial real estate? ›

✨ Key Points from the Article:
  • Properties with a high number of tenants, such as multi-tenant retail spaces, office buildings, and storage facilities, are considered among the most profitable.
  • Each property type has its own set of advantages and challenges, necessitating thorough research and analysis.
Mar 19, 2024

Who is the wealthiest commercial real estate broker? ›

While Ross' wealth declined, it's been a good year for Orange County, California-based Donald Bren, who remains the wealthiest real estate billionaire in the U.S. Bren's net worth is now estimated at $18 billion, up from $17.4 billion in 2022.

Who is the largest commercial property owner in the world? ›

Blackstone, the biggest owner of commercial real estate in the world, is placing its bets on the student housing rental market as demand surges worldwide.

What is the outlook for European REITs in 2024? ›

Key Takeaways. We assume that rated European real estate investment trusts' (REITs') property valuations will decline by a further 4% on average by mid-2024, bottoming out thereafter as interest rates have stabilized.

Which country has the fastest growing Real Estate? ›

Which country has the highest real estate growth? Turkey has registered the biggest nominal growth in real estate prices. However, it has to do with high inflation, and the real increase in value is modest. Out of other countries, the UAE stands out after prices increased by 18% between 2022 and 2023.

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