Does the VWAP Indicator Work? I Backtested It To See! (2024)

Does the VWAP Indicator Work? I Backtested It To See! (1)

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Barry D. Moore Does the VWAP Indicator Work? I Backtested It To See! (2)

Barry D. Moore

Certified Financial Technician, MSTA / IFTA / CMT & Founder & CEO of LiberatedStockTrader.com & GreatWorkLife.com

Published Feb 19, 2024

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The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is an innovative indicator that evaluates a security's price based on both its volume and price. Our analysis reveals that VWAP lacks reliability as an indicator on standard candle or OHLC charts. However, utilizing VWAP on a Heikin Ashi chart has proven to be profitable and offers a distinct trading advantage.

Key Points:

  • Using the best backtesting engine, TrendSpider, I conducted thorough analysis on VWAP
  • VWAP merges price and volume data to generate a weighted average price.
  • It aids in pinpointing potential buying and selling opportunities throughout the trading day.
  • VWAP is not effective on traditional candlestick or OHLC charts.
  • Our findings affirm VWAP's exceptional reliability on Heikin Ashi charts.
  • While VWAP is a valuable tool, it is imperative to consider prevailing market conditions when applying it.

This study delves into the intricacies of the VWAP indicator for swing and day trading, exploring optimal configurations and timeframes.

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To compute the VWAP, the total of the product of traded volume and price is divided by the total shares traded within a specified timeframe, typically standardized to a single trading day. This calculation distinguishes VWAP from other trading indicators as it accounts for both price and volume. Traders often leverage VWAP to assess market conditions, strategize entry and exit points, and validate market trends.

VWAP Backtesting Results

I conducted a VWAP test on the Dow Jones Industrial Average's 30 stocks across 68 days with 400 trades. The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) indicator didn't yield profits for day traders using standard candlestick/OHLC charts, resulting in a 30% win rate. However, TrendSpider showed that when paired with a Heikin Ashi chart, it showed promising results.

Applying VWAP in 5-minute day trading alongside a Heikin Ashi chart delivered outstanding success, outperforming 93% of stocks with a buy-and-hold strategy. Despite a modest 29% win rate, the 4.1 reward/risk ratio translated into success across almost all stocks.

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Does the VWAP Indicator Work? I Backtested It To See! (2024)

FAQs

Does the VWAP Indicator Work? I Backtested It To See!? ›

VWAP Backtesting Results

Do professional traders use VWAP? ›

It looks similar to a moving average line but smoother. VWAP represents a view of price action throughout a single day's trading session. Retail and professional traders may use the VWAP to help them determine intraday price trends. VWAP typically is most useful to short-term traders.

How accurate is the VWAP? ›

Limitations of VWAP

Lagging indicator: As a moving average, VWAP is inherently lagging and may not accurately reflect sudden price changes. Limited predictive value: VWAP is not a predictive tool and should not be solely relied upon for trading decisions.

What is the best indicator to pair with VWAP? ›

There are many ways to trade with the VWAP. Again, it works best when combined with other complementary indicators including momentum indicators like MACD or stochastic.

What is the best execution of VWAP? ›

For intraday trading, the best way to use VWAP is by initiating a buy order when the price falls below it and executing a sell order when the price rises above. Given that prices are subject to fluctuation during the day, vigilant monitoring of these changes is crucial for successful trading.

What is the success rate of the VWAP indicator? ›

The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) indicator didn't yield profits for day traders using standard candlestick/OHLC charts, resulting in a 30% win rate. However, TrendSpider showed that when paired with a Heikin Ashi chart, it showed promising results.

How do I master VWAP? ›

The VWAP is displayed as a line, similar to a moving average. On the chart, it's the purple line that goes through prices. Remember the VWAP is an average, which means it lags. Typically, when VWAP slopes up, it indicates prices might be trending up, and when it slopes down, prices might be trending down.

Should I buy above or below VWAP? ›

General Strategies

If the price is above VWAP, it is a good intraday price to sell. If the price is below VWAP, it is a good intraday price to buy. However, there is a caveat to using this intraday. Prices are dynamic and what appears to be a good price at one point in the day may not be by day's end.

Does price always come back to VWAP? ›

The VWAP indicator shows the stock's equilibrium, and the stock will always come back if it moves too far away from it in either direction.

Is VWAP bullish or bearish? ›

Importance of Volume Weighted Average Price

The market is bearish when the price is below the VWAP and bullish if the price is above the VWAP. During a bullish market, there will be an increase in the buying price, and the trend line on the chart will move upward.

Do swing traders use VWAP? ›

Swing and position traders use the VWAP in the same way as a moving average.

Where should I anchor VWAP? ›

Traders may choose to anchor VWAP to a significant event that is likely to impact the stock's price movement, such as an earnings announcement, product launch, or other news events.

Does VWAP work on tick charts? ›

Note: You cannot apply the VWAP technical indicator to Price Distribution and Tick charts. VWAP applied to a spread chart is based on price updates to the spread chart. Each price update on either leg of a spread chart is assigned a volume value of one.

What time frame is best for VWAP? ›

In the example below, we use the 5-minute time frame and enter if price is at least 1.5% below the VWAP. We're looking to play a very quick bounce here, so we exit 1 candle later and we get a return of 3.52% over the time period tested. This beats all of the 5-minute bullish strategies that we tested above.

Is anchored VWAP better than VWAP? ›

How Do You Interpret the Anchored VWAP? Like traditional VWAP, the Anchored VWAP overlay can confirm trends and identify areas of support and resistance on the price chart. The advantage of using Anchored VWAP is that you can set the starting point to include only relevant data on your chart.

What are the benefits of VWAP indicator? ›

Importance of Volume Weighted Average Price
  • This indicator is better than the moving average.
  • It can indicate a bullish or bearish trend.
  • You can use this indicator for long and short positions.

Does Fidelity Active trader Pro have VWAP? ›

We hear about the V-W-A-P order, volume-weighted average price order, all the time. Here's the way that you can actually trade that the way that you want, when you want, one line, here through Active Trader Pro.

How do institutional traders use VWAP? ›

The VWAP is used by traders to evaluate price and volume to determine entry and exit points. It can also be used to whether there are any trends or overlying sentiments in the market. It isn't bullish or bearish on its own. Rather, it points to a bullish trend if prices and volumes rise and bullish if they drop.

Is trading above VWAP good? ›

If the price is above VWAP, it is a good intraday price to sell. If the price is below VWAP, it is a good intraday price to buy. However, there is a caveat to using this intraday. Prices are dynamic and what appears to be a good price at one point in the day may not be by day's end.

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