Energy Transfer's Monster Passive Income Stream Is a Lot Safer Than It Seems | The Motley Fool (2024)

Energy Transfer(ET 2.00%) offers a prodigious income stream. The master limited partnership (MLP) currently yields over 9%.

At first glance, that big-time payout might not seem sustainable. A quick peek at the energy midstream company's second-quarter results shows that its monster distribution significantly exceeded its reported net income.

However, a deeper look at the company's financial results tells a much different story. Here's why the MLP's big-time payout is much safer than it seems.

Drilling down into Energy Transfer's second-quarter results

Energy Transfer reported $1.2 million innet incomeduring the second quarter. That was down 24% from the prior-year period. Here's a snapshot of Energy Transfer'sincome statementshowing what drove the decline:

As that graphic shows, lower revenue and some higher expenses weighed on Energy Transfer's earnings in the second quarter.

The final number was even worse. After stripping out net income attributable to non-controlling interests, its actual reported net income was even lower at $911 million, or $0.25 per unit. This result might initially have income-focused investors a bit unnerved, considering that the MLP's current quarterly distribution rate is $0.31 per unit. It suggests the company is paying out more than 100% of its net income. While that's technically true, there's much more to the story here.

Energy midstream companies like Energy Transfer areasset-heavy. They own large networks ofpipelines, processing plants, export terminals, and storage complexes to support their operations. As assets age, companiesdepreciatetheir value, which reduces their current taxable net income.

However, depreciation is a non-cash expense. Because of that, the actual cash flows the company's vast asset base produces are much higher than its reported net income.

After adding back depreciation and subtracting maintenance and a few other expenses, Energy Transfer generated $1.6 billion of distributable cash flow during the second quarter. That's free cash flow the company could distribute to investors.

Energy Transfer only paid $975 million to investors in the period. That gave it a distribution coverage ratio of 1.6 times, enabling it to retain $579 million in excess cash after funding its distribution. It reinvested $387 million of this money into expansion projects while keeping the rest to strengthen its balance sheet. That allowed the MLP to maintain aleverage ratio toward the lower end of its 4.0 to 4.5 times target range.

With Energy Transfer generating more cash than it needs to fund its distribution and expansion projects, its high-yielding payout is on a very firm foundation.

The big-time payout is not only safe but also heading higher

Energy Transfer's ability to produce excess cash after paying distributions gives it lots of financial flexibility. It allows the company to continue expanding its asset base, which it did during the second quarter. In addition to investing $387 million across several organic expansion projects, Energy Transfer also spent $1.5 billion to acquire Lotus Midstream. That deal closed in early May and should be immediately accretive to its distributable and free cash flow.

The company plans to continue spending money to expand its asset base. It anticipates investing $2 billion to $3 billion into organic growth capital projects each year, including $2 billion in 2022. The MLP has several projects underway and more in the pipeline. For example, it's in discussions with customers to expand its Gulf Run Pipeline. It alsorecently secured several customersto support its proposed Lake CharlesLNG export terminal. These investments would give it more fuel to grow cash flow in the future. Meanwhile, it can continue making acquisitions as opportunities arise.

The company's expectations that cash flow will grow over the long term support its plan to continue increasing its distribution. Energy Transfer recently raised its quarterly distribution by another $0.0025 per unit (its second such raise at that rate this year), a pace it plans to continue. That puts it on track to grow its already high-yielding payout by 3% to 5% per year.

This cash flow machine has plenty of fuel to support its payout

Pipeline companies are a bit more complicated to understand. Investors need to shift their attention from more familiar metrics like reported net income to the actual cash flow their assets produce.

In Energy Transfer's case, it generates plenty of cash to cover its monster distribution with room to spare. That gives it some excess money to reinvest into expanding its asset base, which should grow its cash flow in the future. These growing cash flows support the MLP's plan to continue increasing its already massive payout. That makes it a great option for income-seeking investors to consider.

Matthew DiLallo has positions in Energy Transfer. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Energy Transfer's Monster Passive Income Stream Is a Lot Safer Than It Seems | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is an energy transfer LP unit a good investment? ›

Energy Transfer LP Unit (NYSE:ET) has an over 7% dividend yield. During the first quarter, the company saw revenue growth of a whopping 13.9% year-over-year. Gross margin increased from 17.7% to 18% year-over-year, while the operating margin expanded from 10.86% to 11%.

Is Energy Transfer a good stock to buy now? ›

Energy Transfer LP has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 8 buy ratings, 1 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Energy Transfer LP is $19.50. This is based on 9 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

How safe is energy transfer? ›

Energy Transfer has a comprehensive pipeline integrity program that enables us to monitor our assets 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. We also spend hundreds of millions of dollars each year maintaining and improving our assets as part of our Integrity Management Program.

Is energy transfer a profitable company? ›

Absolutely. That's because this company has a durable, structural advantage when it comes to generating profits. At its core, Energy Transfer is considered a midstream energy business.

How often does Energy Transfer LP pay dividends? ›

Typically MLPs make distributions to their limited partners on a quarterly basis. Energy Transfer follows this standard. For Distribution History information, please see our Distribution History. Energy Transfer, L.P. (ET) distributions are typically paid approximately 50 days after the end of each quarter.

What is the price prediction for Energy Transfer LP stock? ›

Based on short-term price targets offered by 13 analysts, the average price target for Energy Transfer LP comes to $18.92. The forecasts range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $24.00.

Who owns the most energy transfer stock? ›

Largest shareholders include Blackstone Group Inc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, AMLP - ALERIAN MLP ETF, Alps Advisors Inc, Invesco Ltd., Morgan Stanley, Bank Of America Corp /de/, MLPRX - Invesco Oppenheimer SteelPath MLP Income Fund Class C, UBS Group AG, and Tortoise Capital Advisors, L.l.c. .

Where will energy transfer stock be in 5 years? ›

Energy Transfer stock price stood at $15.95

According to the latest long-term forecast, Energy Transfer price will hit $17 by the end of 2025 and then $20 by the middle of 2027. Energy Transfer will rise to $25 within the year of 2029, $30 in 2031 and $35 in 2035.

What is Energy Transfer's credit rating? ›

Fitch Ratings - New York - 07 Feb 2024: Fitch Ratings has upgraded Energy Transfer LP's (ET) Long-Term (LT) Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BBB' from 'BBB-' and senior unsecured rating to 'BBB' from 'BBB-'. Fitch has also upgraded ET's subordinated debt rating and preferred equity rating to 'BB+' from 'BB.

Who is behind energy transfer? ›

Kelcy Warren is Executive Chairman and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Energy Transfer LP. Mr. Warren has been a recognized leader in the energy industry for nearly 40 years. He co-founded Energy Transfer in 1996 as a small intrastate natural gas pipeline operator.

Is energy transfer is real? ›

The energy of all systems in the universe is constant but not fixed in a single form. It can transform from one form to another and relocate itself from one system to another. The three major types of energy transfer are the following: energy transferred as light, as sound, and as heat.

Is ET dividend safe to buy? ›

Energy Transfer has a reliable, monopoly-like business model that produces consistent free cash flow. This free cash flow will support the current dividend, with growth likely over the coming years.

What is energy transfer ranked on fortune? ›

Energy Transfer is featured on Fortune's website in a special article, “Leading the way for energy logistics in Texas and beyond.” We're proud to be one of the top largest corporations in the United States, ranked #51 on the Fortune 500 list by revenue for the 2023 fiscal year.

Who are the top investors in energy transfer? ›

Top Mutual Fund Holders
HolderSharesDate Reported
Alps ETF Tr-Alerian MLP ETF68.88MFeb 29, 2024
Invesco Steelpath MLP Income Fund35.57MFeb 29, 2024
Kayne Anderson Energy Infrastructure Fund, Inc.17.06MMay 31, 2024
Global X Fds-Global X MLP ETF13.09MJun 30, 2024
6 more rows

How long has energy transfer been in business? ›

On April 17, 1996, Kelcy Warren and Ray Davis set out to build the premier midstream infrastructure company from the ground up.

Is ET a good dividend stock? ›

Energy Transfer is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 7.96%.

Is it good to invest in Energy Storage? ›

Economic Benefits on Energy Storage

A side benefit of investing in energy-storage, is it allows you to get tax breaks and credits which is very rare in the investing world. Second, energy storage can also provide stability to power grids by helping to balance supply and demand.

What is the best energy source to invest in? ›

Best energy stocks as of August 2024
Company and ticker symbolPerformance in 2024
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)19.3%
ONEOK (OKE)18.7%
Exxon Mobil (XOM)18.6%
Marathon Oil (MRO)16.1%
6 more rows

What happened to Energy Transfer Partners LP? ›

Energy Transfer LP and Crestwood Equity Partners, LP Merger

On November 3, 2023, Energy Transfer LP (ET) and Crestwood Equity Partners, LP (CEQP) completed their previously announced merger, in which ET acquired CEQP.

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