Ether's Bitcoin Beating Rally Not Just Because of Potential ETF Approval: Bernstein - StockCoin.net (2024)

Ether (ETH) has been outperforming Bitcoin (BTC) this year, with a 33% gain, and according to brokerage firm Bernstein, this rally is not solely due to the potential approval of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF). The research report highlights five catalysts contributing to Ether’s recent gains. The report mentions that the deflationary nature of the Ether supply since the transition to a proof-of-stake consensus model in 2022 is underestimated. Additionally, the low amount of Ether held on exchanges, currently at an all-time low of 11%, suggests that more of the cryptocurrency is being locked up for decentralized finance (DeFi) purposes. The growth of ETH transaction fees and increased use of financial smart contracts on Ethereum Layer 2 networks are also driving demand and value accrual to ETH. Furthermore, upcoming upgrades to the Ethereum blockchain and potential revenue sharing with token stakers are expected to further enhance Ether’s rally.

Ether’s Bitcoin Beating Rally

Ether (ETH) has been outperforming its larger rival, bitcoin (BTC), with a 33% gain year-to-date. This rally has been driven by a combination of factors that go beyond the potential approval of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF). This comprehensive article will delve into the catalysts behind Ether’s impressive performance and explore the various factors that have contributed to its rally.

Deflationary Ether Supply

A key factor contributing to Ether’s rally is its deflationary supply. Since the Ethereum blockchain’s shift to a proof-of-stake consensus model in September 2022, the supply of Ether has not increased. This shift has resulted in a decreased number of new Ether being created, leading to a limited supply in the market. Despite this fundamental shift, the deflationary nature of Ether’s supply has been somewhat underappreciated. This scarcity has played a significant role in driving up the value of Ether.

Decreased Ether on Exchanges

Another factor contributing to Ether’s rally is the decrease in the amount of Ether held on exchanges. According to a report by Bernstein, the amount of Ether held on exchanges is at an all-time low of 11%. This decrease indicates that more individuals are locking up their Ether holdings, reducing the available supply on exchanges. The locking up of Ether can be attributed to various factors, including the growing popularity of decentralized finance (DeFi), the staking of Ether in pools, and increased usage of layer-2 solutions.

Locking up Ether in Staking Pools

The rise of staking pools has been another catalyst for Ether’s rally. Staking pools provide incentives for Ether holders to stake their tokens, which involves locking them up in a network to support its operations. Staking allows holders to earn a passive income in the form of additional tokens or rewards. As more individuals recognize the potential returns from staking their Ether, the demand for staking has increased. This increased demand for staking has resulted in more Ether being locked up, further reducing its available supply.

Smart Contracts and Layer-2s

Smart contracts and layer-2 solutions have also played a significant role in driving up the value of Ether. As more Ether gets locked up in smart contracts, the demand for the cryptocurrency increases. Smart contracts enable the creation and execution of self-executing contracts with predefined conditions. The growth of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) has resulted in a higher demand for smart contracts, leading to increased usage and value for Ether.

Layer-2 solutions, such as Arbitrum, Optimism, and Polygon, have brought scalability and lower fees to the Ethereum network. These layer-2 networks help alleviate congestion on the mainnet and reduce transaction costs. The introduction of layer-2 solutions has played a vital role in the revival of decentralized finance on the Ethereum network, driving up the demand for Ether.

Eigen Layer and Restaking Ether

The Eigen layer, a protocol used for restaking Ether, has also contributed to the rally of the cryptocurrency. The Eigen layer incentivizes users to restake their Ether holdings by offering them opportunities to gain from new tokens and services launched on the Eigen layer. This additional incentive has attracted more staking demand, leading to an increase in locked-up Ether and driving up its value.

Scalability and Lower Fees with Layer 2 Networks

Layer-2 networks have been crucial in improving the scalability and reducing the fees associated with transactions on the Ethereum network. The introduction of layer-2 solutions has enabled faster and more affordable transactions, making decentralized finance more accessible and cost-effective. The scalability and lower fees provided by layer-2 networks have resulted in increased usage and adoption of the Ethereum network, driving up the demand for Ether.

This revival of decentralized finance has had a positive impact on the overall Ethereum ecosystem, contributing to the rally of Ether.

Token Economics and Revenue Sharing

In recent years, the emergence of decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens has allowed for revenue sharing with token stakers. DeFi tokens enable users to earn rewards or a share of the platform’s revenue by staking their tokens. This revenue-sharing mechanism has incentivized more individuals to stake their Ether holdings, resulting in increased demand for the cryptocurrency.

A healthy DeFi ecosystem with robust token economics drives higher activity and leads to increased Ethereum fees. As Ethereum fees continue to rise based on higher blockchain activity, more value accrues to Ether. This increased value has contributed to the rally of Ether.

Dencun Upgrade of Ethereum Blockchain

The upcoming Dencun upgrade of the Ethereum blockchain, scheduled for March this year, is expected to have a significant impact on the value and demand for Ether. The upgrade aims to reduce transaction costs on layer-2 networks by 90% and improve the profitability of these networks. By reducing congestion on the mainnet and driving higher volumes to the ecosystem, the Dencun upgrade will further enhance the value of Ether.

Conclusion

Ether’s rally has been driven by multiple catalysts that go beyond the potential approval of a spot ETF. The deflationary nature of Ether’s supply, decreased Ether on exchanges, locking up Ether in staking pools, smart contracts, layer-2 networks, token economics, and the upcoming Dencun upgrade of the Ethereum blockchain are all contributing factors to the rally. It is clear that the demand for Ether is being driven by a combination of technological advancements, increased adoption of decentralized finance, and new revenue-sharing models. The approval of an ETF, while significant, is not the sole reason behind Ether’s impressive performance in the market.

Ether's Bitcoin Beating Rally Not Just Because of Potential ETF Approval: Bernstein - StockCoin.net (2024)

FAQs

What will happen if eth ETF is approved? ›

The Approval Order will stimulate growth in the fledgling United States cryptocurrency retail market. When the ETFs are listed on public exchanges, U.S. investors will be able to buy, sell, and hold ETH in their IRAs, 401Ks, and brokerage accounts.

Why is Ether rallying? ›

Ethereum funds witness net positive inflows

Ether's rally coincided with increased inflows across global Ethereum investment products.

Has Ethereum ETF approval odds been increased to 75? ›

Bloomberg Analyst Raises Spot Ethereum ETF Approval Odds to 75%: Will Approvals Happen This Week? On Monday, May 20th, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X, raising his chances of a spot ETF approval from 25% to 75%. Within an hour, the post received over one million views.

Will Ethereum get approved? ›

As just became known, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) has officially approved the listing of a spot Ethereum ETF from Bitwise. Trading for an ETF on crypto markets' major altcoin is scheduled to commence on Tuesday, July 23.

Will Ethereum go up after ETF approval? ›

Ether could jump 90% following ETF approvals, even if the funds lack popularity of bitcoin. Ether ETFs, which could arrive as soon as next week, are unlikely to see as much demand as their bitcoin counterparts. However, they are still likely to drive ether's price up by 90%.

What does Ethereum ETF approval mean? ›

The SEC just gave final approval to ether ETFs. ( Nikhilesh De/CoinDesk) U.S. regulators have given final approval for spot exchange-traded funds that hold Ethereum's ether {{ETH}}, giving Americans access to a second major cryptocurrency via the easy-to-trade vehicles.

Where will Ether be in 2025? ›

Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2030
YearPrice
2024$ 3,504.54
2025$ 3,679.77
2026$ 3,863.76
2027$ 4,056.95
1 more row

Is ether still a good investment? ›

As to ether's viability as an investment, ether is a cryptocurrency that should continue to garner investor attention. Ethereum is a major platform that operates using ether as its cryptocurrency. Ether's $420 billion market cap was second only to bitcoin's $1.3 trillion market cap as of July 19, 2024.

Why is Ether crashing? ›

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, is trading at $3,732, down by 2.06% in the last seven days. The cryptocurrency market is down today as fear rises among investors after Mt. Gox's $9 billion bitcoin transfer and slowing inflows of the U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs.

Can Ethereum reach $100,000? ›

It's nearly impossible. There is no path for Ethereum to hit 100k before 2030, it's impossible. ETH can realistically hit $10,000 in the coming years, either in 2025 or in 2026.

How high can Ethereum go in 5 years? ›

By the year 2025, Ethereum is expected to reach the maximum level of $6,500 with a minimum of $ 4,500 and an average of $5,500. And by the year 2030, it is expected that it may go up to a maximum of $20,500.

Can Ethereum reach $15,000? ›

Notably, BTC also experienced a decline in the days immediately after spot BTC ETFs began trading. The other two pools suggest that there is a 13% chance that ETH will climb to $10,000 by the end of the year, and an 8% chance that it will reach $15,000 in the same period.

Will Ethereum reach $50,000? ›

Can ethereum reach $50,000? Ethereum prices could surpass $50,000 by 2030 in a best-case scenario, according to VanEck. But that would require a significant rise in activity on the ethereum blockchain over the next six years. When more apps are running on the blockchain, increased fee revenue is generated.

Can Ethereum reach $30,000? ›

In 2025, Ethereum may reach or exceed $10,000, with predictions suggesting a surge to over $30,000 by 2030, and escalating to multi-million dollar valuations by 2040 and 2050.

Is Ethereum the future of finance? ›

By leveraging the power of blockchain technology, Ethereum is driving innovation in fintech, creating new opportunities and challenging the status quo. Whether it's through decentralized finance, tokenization, or improved payment systems, the future of finance is being shaped by these transformative forces.

What does ETH ETF mean for crypto? ›

These ETFs will invest directly in ether, which is the cryptocurrency used in the Ethereum network. There are already ether ETFs that track futures contracts, but these are the first to track spot ether.

Is spot ETH ETF approved? ›

Key Takeaways. The U.S. SEC has approved spot ether ETFs to likely begin trading on Tuesday. Spot ether ETFs have been assumed to begin trading this summer since the SEC first reversed course on the matter in May.

What happens after you buy an ETF? ›

After you've invested in an ETF

After your investment has been confirmed, you'll receive a confirmation, called a trade note, from your online broker. This will be sent to the email address linked to the brokerage account you've used.

What happens to ETH when eth2 comes out? ›

What happens to my old ETH tokens when Ethereum 2 is launched? Your existing ETH tokens will be transferable to the Ethereum 2 chain. The legacy proof-of-work Ethereum chain will continue alongside the new Ethereum 2 chain initially.

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