Exchange Rates: What They Are, How They Work, Why They Fluctuate (2024)

What Is an Exchange Rate?

An exchange rate is a rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another currency and affects trade and the movement of money between countries.

Exchange rates are impacted by both the domestic currency value and the foreign currency value. In July 2022, the exchange rate from U.S. Dollars to the Euro was 1.02, meaning it takes $1.02 to buy €1.

Key Takeaways

  • An exchange rate is a rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another currency.
  • Most exchange rates are defined as floating and will rise or fall based on the supply and demand in the market.
  • Some exchange rates are pegged or fixed to the value of a specific country's currency.
  • Exchange rate changes affect businesses by changing the cost of supplies that are purchased from a different country, and by changing the demand for their products from overseas customers.

Understanding Exchange Rates

The exchange rate between two currencies is commonly determined by the economic activity, market interest rates, gross domestic product, and unemployment rate in each of the countries. Commonly called market exchange rates, they are set in the global financial marketplace, where banks and other financial institutions trade currencies around the clock based on these factors. Changes in rates can occur hourly or daily with small changes or in large incremental shifts.

An exchange rate is commonly quoted using an acronym for the national currency it represents. For example, the acronym USD represents the U.S. dollar, while EUR represents the euro.To quote the currency pair for the dollar and the euro, it would be EUR/USD. In the case of the Japanese yen, it's USD/JPY or dollar to yen. An exchange rate of 100 means that 1 dollar equals 100 yen.

How Exchange Rates Fluctuate

Exchange rates can be free-floating or fixed. A free-floating exchange rate rises and falls due to changes in the foreign exchange market.A fixed exchange rate is pegged to the value of another currency. The Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the U.S. dollar in a range of 7.75 to 7.85. This means the value of the Hong Kong dollar to the U.S. dollar will remain within this range.

Exchange rates have what is called a spot rate, or cash value, which is the current market value. Alternatively, an exchange rate may have a forward value, which is based on expectations for the currency to rise or fall versus its spot price.

Forward rate values may fluctuate due to changes in expectations for future interest rates in one country versus another. If traders speculate that the eurozone will ease monetary policy versus the U.S., they may buy the dollar versus the euro, resulting in a downward trend in the value of the euro.

Exchange Rate Example

A traveler to Germany from the U.S. wants 200 USD worth of EUR when arriving in Germany. The sell rate is the rate at which a traveler sells foreign currency in exchange for local currency. The buy rate is the rate at which one buys foreign currency back from travelers to exchange it for local currency.

If the current exchange rate is 1.05, $200 will net €190.48 in return.

In this case, the equation is: dollars ÷ exchange rate = euro

$200 ÷ 1.05 = €190.48


After the trip, suppose €66 is remaining. If the exchange rate has dropped to 1.02, the change from euros to dollars will be $67.32.

€66 x 1.02 = $67.32


The Japanese yen is calculated differently. In this case, the dollar is placed in front of the yen, as in USD/JPY.

The equation for USD/JPY is: dollars x exchange rate = yen

If a traveler to Japan wants to convert $100 into yen and the exchange rate is 110, the traveler would get¥11,000. To convert the yen back into dollars one needs to divide the amount of the currency by the exchange rate.

$100 x 110 = ¥11,000.00

-or-

¥11,000.00/110= $100

How Do Exchange Rates Affect the Supply and Demand of Goods?

Changes in exchange rates affect businesses by changing the cost of supplies that are purchased from a different country, and by changing the demand for their products from overseas customers.

What Is the FOREX?

The forex market, or foreign exchange market, allows banks, funds, and individuals to buy, sell or exchange currencies. The market operates 24 hours, 5.5 days a week, and is responsible for trillions of dollars in daily trading activity as traders look to profit by betting that a currency's value will either appreciate or depreciate against another currency.

What Is a Restricted Currency?

Exchange rates can differ within the same country. Some countries have restricted currencies, limiting their exchange to within the countries' borders and often there is an onshore rate and an offshore rate. A more favorable exchange rate can often be found within a country's borders versus outside its borders and a restricted currency has its value set by the government. China is an example of a country that has this rate structure and a currency that is controlled by the government. Every day, the Chinese government sets a midpoint value for the currency, allowing the yuan to trade in a band of 2% from the midpoint.

The Bottom Line

An exchange rate is a rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another currency. While most exchange rates are floating and will rise or fall based on the supply and demand in the market, some exchange rates are pegged or fixed to the value of a specific country's currency. Exchange rate changes affect businesses and the cost of supplies and demand for their products in the international marketplace.

Exchange Rates: What They Are, How They Work, Why They Fluctuate (2024)

FAQs

Exchange Rates: What They Are, How They Work, Why They Fluctuate? ›

An exchange rate is the rate at which one currency can be exchanged for another currency. Most exchange rates are defined as floating

floating
In the modern world, most of the world's currencies are floating, and include the most widely traded currencies: the United States dollar, the euro, the Swiss franc, the Indian rupee, the pound sterling, the Japanese yen, and the Australian dollar.
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Floating_exchange_rate
. Their values rise or fall based on supply and demand in the foreign exchange market.

How does the exchange rate fluctuate? ›

Currency fluctuations are a natural outcome of floating exchange rates, which is the norm for most major economies. Numerous factors influence exchange rates, including a country's economic performance, the outlook for inflation, interest rate differentials, capital flows and so on.

How does the exchange rate work? ›

The exchange rate gives the relative value of one currency against another currency. An exchange rate GBP/USD of two, for example, indicates that one pound will buy two U.S. dollars.

What are the main causes of changes in exchange rates? ›

9 common causes of exchange rate fluctuations
  • Inflation. Inflation occurs when the cost of goods and services increases, decreasing the purchasing power (and actual value) of a currency. ...
  • Interest rates. ...
  • Recession. ...
  • Speculation. ...
  • Stock markets. ...
  • Political instability. ...
  • Current account deficits. ...
  • Terms of trade.
Apr 22, 2024

Are currency exchange rates constantly fluctuating? ›

Currencies constantly fluctuate in value as they are traded on the international market known as the forex or FX. Currency trading is dominated by banks and institutional investors that are exchanging money for their business customers or making a profit from fluctuations in currency prices.

What is the strongest currency in the world? ›

The Kuwaiti Dinar is renowned as the strongest currency in the world. Introduced in 1961, it has maintained a commanding presence due to Kuwait's substantial oil reserves, which account for a significant portion of its economic output.

Why do exchange rates rise and fall? ›

Most exchange rates are floating and rise or fall based on the supply and demand in the foreign exchange market but some are pegged to another country's currency or are fixed in value.

Is it better for exchange rate to go up or down? ›

Overview of Exchange Rates

A rise in the value of its currency makes a nation's imports less expensive for its citizens to buy and its exports more expensive for consumers in foreign markets. 1 A decrease in the value of its currency makes its imports more expensive and its exports less expensive in foreign markets.

Who sets currency exchange rates? ›

A fixed or pegged rate is determined by the government through its central bank. The rate is set against another major world currency (such as the U.S. dollar, euro, or yen). To maintain its exchange rate, the government will buy and sell its own currency against the currency to which it is pegged.

How does exchange rate go up? ›

Exchange rates are affected by numerous factors including the perception of stability of the financial system of the issuing currency, the interest rate set by the host country's central bank and the demand for the goods and services (exports) the country produces.

How to know which currency is stronger? ›

A currency's strength is determined by the interaction of a variety of local and international factors such as the demand and supply in the foreign exchange markets; the interest rates of the central bank; the inflation and growth in the domestic economy; and the country's balance of trade.

Why do rates fluctuate? ›

Interest rate movements are based on the simple concept of supply and demand. If the demand for credit (loans) increases, so do interest rates. This is because there are more buyers, so sellers can command a better price, i.e. higher rates.

What drives the exchange rate? ›

Price, productivity, labour wedge, government spending and mark-up shocks all impact output or consumption and the exchange rate.

Why does the US dollar fluctuate? ›

Currency valuations fluctuate constantly, driven by the flow of funds between markets. The two biggest drivers are central bank policies (interest rates set by the U.S. Federal Reserve and its counterparts in Europe, England, Japan and elsewhere); and economic growth relative to inflation.

What causes real exchange rate to increase? ›

Technology changes that cause productivity increases in goods commonly traded between countries, called tradables, are thought to be one of those factors. Because productivity increases lead to lower production costs, the REERs would rise to maintain equilibrium.

What currency fluctuates the most? ›

The 10 most volatile forex pairs (USD)
  • NZD/USD - Volatility: 9.5% ...
  • USD/MXN - Volatility: 9.2% ...
  • GBP/USD - Volatility: 7.7% ...
  • USD/JPY - Volatility: 7.6% ...
  • USD/CHF - Volatility: 6.7% ...
  • EUR/USD - Volatility: 6.6% ...
  • USD/CAD - Volatility: 6.1% ...
  • USD/SGD - Volatility: 3.9%
Dec 12, 2023

How does exchange rate increase or decrease? ›

Currencies increase in value when lots of people want to buy them (meaning there is high demand for those currencies), and they decrease in value when fewer people want to buy them (i.e., the demand is low).

What might cause the exchange rate to rise? ›

1. Economic indicators: Inflation and government debt. Inflation rates impact a country's currency value. A low inflation rate typically leads to a rising currency value, as its purchasing power increases relative to other currencies.

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