GBTC: Why is it Trading at a Lower Price Than BTC? (2024)

GBTC: Why is it Trading at a Lower Price Than BTC?

GBTC, or Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, is a digital asset released by Grayscale Investment to help investors gain exposure to Bitcoin without getting into the crypto market. But what makes GBTC trades lower than the current BTC price today?

January 11, 2023

GBTC: Why is it Trading at a Lower Price Than BTC? (1)

Key Takeaways:
  • Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is a digital asset that has Bitcoin value without investing in real Bitcoin. This investment is similar to an exchange-traded fund (ETF).
  • GBTC have their value from
  • Since 2021, GBTC has been lowering their trades. At the time of writing, GBTC has been discounted near 50%.

What Is GBTC?

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) is a digital asset investment product offered to investors in the form of shares in a trust whose value is close to the price of Bitcoin. GBTC helps investors gain exposure to Bitcoin without getting into the crypto market.

Not only Bitcoin, but Grayscale also offers several other cryptocurrencies as part of its products, such as Grayscale Ethereum Trust, Grayscale Bitcoin Cash Trust, and Grayscale Litecoin Trust.

How does GBTC Works?

Now you are wondering how GBTC got its value. The price of the trust or fund fluctuates based on the underlying net asset value (NAV), which is affected by the asset's demand. An investor can buy a portion of the asset by purchasing shares in the fund. The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust pools funds in US dollars (USD) raised from institutional investors and used them to buy BTC outright. This supply of BTC is then stored in Grayscale funds, essentially making Grayscale institutions the actual owners of BTC. You can then buy GBTC shares and indirectly own BTC.

Since Grayscale became a publicly traded fund in 2015, various investors have poured large sums of money into GBTC by purchasing Grayscale shares during bull market cycles. Grayscale has used that capital to buy more BTC.

How Does GBTC Get Its Value?

Similar to Bitcoin, the value of GBTC is determined by the supply and demand for it on the market. The price will rise when demand for GBTC is high, and there are more buyers than sellers. The price will tend to fall when there is low demand and more sellers than buyers. The performance and adoption of Bitcoin, general market conditions, and investor sentiment also influence the value of GBTC.

GBTC: Why is it Trading at a Lower Price Than BTC? (2)

Why is GBTC Price Currently Lower Than BTC?

As we know, the GBTC price is decided by the BTC's current price. But since 2021, GBTC has kept discounting their trades, and currently, they are at a 43% discount to Bitcoin due to uncertainty over its holdings and the fact that investors have been selling. More importantly, the fact that GBTC is not an ETF means it can't arbitrage this discount in the open market. This steep discount represents a possible opportunity for those who want to gain exposure to Bitcoin.

Risk of Investing in GBTC

Different from investing in real Bitcoin, from investing in GBTC, you will be charged a 2% annual fee. On top of that, you have to pay a premium to buy shares when demand is high. Of this fact, we assume that there are better choices than GBTC for smaller investors because you need a minimum investment of US$ 50,000 to buy into Grayscale Bitcoin Trust.

Compared to investing in real BTC, GBTC might not be as profitable as Bitcoin because the value of GBTC shares doesn't accurately match the value of Bitcoin. The GBTC shares have been trading at a discount since early March 2021, and they're now trading at a record low 45.08% discount to Bitcoin's net asset value.

So, if you buy GBTC shares today, you'll receive less BTC than you'll get through buying BTC directly with the same amount you spent.

GBTC vs Bitcoin ETF: Which One is Better to Invest

The Bitcoin ETF is similar to GBTC. GBTC is benefitted from the absence of a Bitcoin ETF.

GBTC and Bitcoin ETF are similar. Both are selling stocks – their value is 1:1 with Bitcoin. The goal is to let investors invest in Bitcoin without jumping into the crypto market.

An ETF sells its shares to investors through the open market and uses the proceeds to build a portfolio of assets based on a market index, a stock market sector, or other asset class like crypto.

GBTC has always been a viable option for only a small group of wealthy investors. Moreover, it not only faces hurdles in becoming a spot Bitcoin ETF but has also faced serious criticism over its refusal to share its proof of reserves. Given these risks in investing with GBTC, it may be cheaper and safer for retail investors to own Bitcoin directly, despite the current volatility of the crypto market.

GBTC: Why is it Trading at a Lower Price Than BTC? (2024)

FAQs

Why GBTC instead of BTC? ›

Traded on the OTCQX stock market since 2013, GBTC is suitable for investors preferring not to manage their crypto, unlike Bitcoin, which is traded on various exchanges and held in wallets or centralized exchanges.

Why GBTC is going down? ›

Market commentators argue that the bankruptcy of crypto giant FTX has played a significant role in the selloff of GBTC. FTX was a major holder of GBTC before it filed for insolvency in November 2022, holding about 22 million shares as of Oct.

Why won't GBTC lower their fees? ›

Bianco said two possible reasons why Grayscale doesn't drop the fee. Firstly, it could be a bet that GBTC holders won't leave as the asset manager “analyzed its holders' tax bill [...] And concluded they are 'stuck' as it is too costly to leave until they need the money.”

Why Grayscale dump BTC? ›

Grayscale's high management fees led investors to flock to other ETF issuers, according to a crypto trader. Grayscale reportedly had to sell Bitcoin holdings to pay back investors. The initial days of Bitcoin ETF trading saw Grayscale facing a $579 million loss.

Does GBTC follow bitcoin price? ›

GBTC tracks the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index (XBX), which provides a USD-denominated reference rate for the price of spot Bitcoin.

Can GBTC be redeemed for bitcoin? ›

Investors had to sell their shares on the secondary market because GBTC had historically prohibited the redemption of shares for Bitcoin. This restriction played a part in the share price premium or discount to NAV.

Can GBTC go to zero? ›

Grayscale's GBTC Discount Closes to Zero After ETF Conversion for First Time Since February 2021.

Is Grayscale in trouble? ›

Grayscale Bitcoin's risk of distress is under 10% at the present time. It has tiny likelihood of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions.

What is the future price prediction for GBTC? ›

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust price prediction 2025

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust price prediction for 2025 is currently between $ 59.19 on the lower end and $ 280.20 on the high end. Compared to today's price, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust could gain 372.91% by 2025 if GBTC reaches the upper price target.

What is the reason for the outflow of GBTC? ›

The reasons for GBTC's outflows were plenty. Many traders had piled into the ETF ahead of its conversion into an ETF in January to profit from the reduction in its discount to net asset value. After the conversion, they took their profits, fueling outflows from the fund.

Why is Grayscale selling all their Bitcoin? ›

The reason for the Grayscale exodus is largely due to investors rebalancing their portfolios and entering funds with lower fees for better returns.

Why is Grayscale Ethereum Trust trading at a discount? ›

The “discount” indicates when ETHE shares trade below their net asset value (NAV). ETHE began trading at a discount in early 2021 after Grayscale halted redemptions, reaching nearly 60% in late 2022.

Why buy GBTC instead of Bitcoin? ›

What Makes GBTC Different from Directly Owning Bitcoin? GBTC offers a way to invest indirectly in bitcoin through an exchange-traded fund and gain exposure to bitcoin price movements. Owning bitcoins directly means you actually own the individual tokens.

Should I sell my GBTC shares? ›

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is 'Sell'.

What are the disadvantages of GBTC? ›

Cons. Higher Fees: GBTC typically has a higher fee structure due to the costs of securely holding physical Bitcoin. Grayscale has BY FAR the highest Bitcoin ETF fee (1.50%) of any Bitcoin ETF that was approved.

What is the advantage of GBTC? ›

GBTC offers investors a traditional investment vehicle to gain exposure to Bitcoin's price movements without the challenges of buying, storing, and safekeeping Bitcoin directly. GBTC holds actual Bitcoin as a trust and its shares trade over the counter.

How is GBTC different from other bitcoin ETFs? ›

Grayscale's GBTC fee is 1.5%, whereas other spot Bitcoin ETFs have waived fees.

How many GBTC equals 1 bitcoin? ›

Convert Bitcoin to Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
GBTCBTC
1 BTC1,139.46 GBTC
5 BTC5,697.30 GBTC
10 BTC11,395 GBTC
25 BTC28,486 GBTC
5 more rows

Why selling GBTC? ›

Causes of the Sell-Off

Another contributing factor is the fee structure of GBTC. With a management fee of 1.5%, GBTC stands as the most expensive ETF among its counterparts. This high fee has made some investors seek alternatives with lower fees, further exacerbating the outflows from GBTC.

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