Grayscale’s GBTC Discount Closes to Zero for First Time Since February 2021 (2024)

Grayscale’s bitcoin fund (GBTC), the largest bitcoin investment vehicle, has seen its discount to net asset value (NAV) shrink to 0% for the first time since February 2021.

This comes as the company got the all clear from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday to convert the fund into a spot bitcoin exchange traded-fund (ETF), which began trading on Thursday morning (alongside 10 other ETFs).

The fund had traded at a discount to the price of the Bitcoin it held since February 2021 and hit record lows of nearly 50% in December 2022. GBTC’s discount to NAV began to narrow significantly as the expectations of an ETF approval surfaced last summer and also on rising bitcoin sentiment.

Prior to the SEC’s approval to convert the fund into an ETF, the discount had fallen to as low as 5.6% on Monday.

“GBTC converging to NAV is a huge relief for the space and a symbol of the industry's move into a new stage of maturation,” said Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at FundStrat.

“This product [GBTC] caused a lot of unnecessary pain over the past few years for obvious reasons,” said Farrell.

The reason behind the discount was due to the nature of the fund. GBTC acted similar to a closed-end fund, which meant it lacked the inherent arbitrage mechanism that enables market makers to create or redeem shares at their discretion.

“The bitcoin always existed in the trust but the lack of a redemption mechanism led to the massive discount to the underlying asset value,” explained Farrell. “Most importantly this hurt a lot of individual investors as they underperformed the benchmark but also led to massive credit blowups since the product was used as collateral throughout the space.”

Previously, liquidity was only available over-the-counter in the secondary market, but now that the fund has been converted to an ETF, Authorized Participants are able to create and redeem ETF shares at NAV, tethering the market price of the ETF to its NAV, said Matt Kunke, crypto research analyst at GSR, in an interview with CoinDesk.

“As a result, the premium/discount will likely only vary by a few basis points from par moving forward,” added Kunke.

Looking forward, Farrell noted that it will be interesting to see how the discounts to NAV on Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) performs now that the probability of an eventual spot ether ETF approval has risen.

“Chances are the discount closes quickly,” said Farrell.

Edited by Nikhilesh De.

Grayscale’s GBTC Discount Closes to Zero for First Time Since February 2021 (2024)

FAQs

Is the GBTC discount gone? ›

“With spot bitcoin ETFs approved, Grayscale investors have now been simply freed to realize gains,” Stoychev told Bitcoin.com News. “Fortunately, that selling pressure has been absorbed by newer market participants and investors, as evident from the disappearance of the GBTC discount.

Will GBTC go to zero? ›

Grayscale's bitcoin fund (GBTC), the largest bitcoin investment vehicle, has seen its discount to net asset value (NAV) shrink to 0% for the first time since February 2021.

Why is Grayscale selling at a discount? ›

Fund Structure

The reason behind the discount was due to the nature of the fund. GBTC acted similar to a closed-end fund, which meant it lacked the inherent arbitrage mechanism that enables market makers to create or redeem shares at their discretion.

Do you have to hold GBTC for 6 months? ›

Accredited investors can create shares of GBTC at Net Asset Value (NAV) by giving USD or BTC to Grayscale. After a 6-month lock-up period, the investors can convert the trust shares into GBTC shares, which are then freely tradeable on the open market.

What happens to GBTC discount if it becomes an ETF? ›

Ed: That's right. Importantly, in an​​ ETF format, shares of GBTC are expected to more closely track the price of Bitcoin, which means that any premium or discount on GBTC's share price is expected to disappear.

Why is GBTC discount so large? ›

The GBTC discount or premium is driven by supply and demand dynamics in the market. A premium occurs when more investors are buying GBTC shares than there are shares available for sale, pushing the market price above the value of the underlying bitcoin held by the trust.

Why are people leaving GBTC? ›

“Investors have been wanting to either take gains on their portfolio, or arbitragers coming out of the fund, or people unwinding positions that were part of bankruptcies through forced liquidation.” Market commentators argue that the bankruptcy of crypto giant FTX has played a significant role in the selloff of GBTC.

Why buy GBTC instead of Bitcoin? ›

What Makes GBTC Different From Directly Owning Bitcoin? GBTC offers a way to invest indirectly in bitcoin through an exchange-traded fund and gain exposure to bitcoin price movements. Owning bitcoins directly means you actually own the individual tokens.

Should I hold GBTC? ›

Bitcoin, in particular, has been known for wild fluctuations in price and volatility, making the decision as to whether to HODL it more challenging. Bitcoin Spot ETF approvals in January 2024 and following price increases make a strong case for holding.

Will GBTC ever become an ETF? ›

GBTC - which in January received approval to convert from a trust to an ETF - currently has higher fees than its peers, one of the key factors in drawing investors to rival ETFs, Reuters has reported.

Why is GBTC down 10%? ›

Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), the second-largest spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by assets, lost 11% of its value Tuesday. But investors shouldn't worry, Grayscale said. The decline was largely expected, as 10% of the bitcoin held by the fund was spun off to create the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust.

Is grayscale reputable? ›

Grayscale has a proven track record in our industry, designing and creating invesment products for the digital economy. Grayscale's products operate within existing regulatory frameworks, and its hallmark products are the first SEC reporting funds in the industry.

Should I sell my grayscale bitcoin trust? ›

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Etf Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation. Etfs . USA . Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is 'Strong Buy'.

Who is behind GBTC? ›

GBTC is sponsored by Grayscale, one of the the world's leading crypto asset managers with over a decade of experience operating crypto investment products.

How many shares of GBTC equal 1 Bitcoin? ›

It's the first cryptocurrency investment instrument to receive the status of an SEC reporting company. Each share in the GBTC corresponds to 0.001 BTC, i.e., 1 BTC is equivalent to 1000 shares in GBTC.

Is it a good time to buy GBTC? ›

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -19.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $33.74 and $43.09 at the end of this 3-month period.

What is the future prediction for GBTC? ›

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust price prediction for next week is between $ 75.48 on the lower end and $ 87.48 on the high end. Based on our GBTC price prediction chart, the price of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust will increase by 15.91% and reach $ 87.48 by Jul 08, 2024 if it reaches the upper price target.

What is the discount on GBTC shares? ›

10, 2024.

How many shares of GBTC equal 1 bitcoin? ›

It's the first cryptocurrency investment instrument to receive the status of an SEC reporting company. Each share in the GBTC corresponds to 0.001 BTC, i.e., 1 BTC is equivalent to 1000 shares in GBTC.

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