Here's why it could be better to buy Series I bonds before May, experts say (2024)

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While the annual rate for newly purchased Series I bonds could fall below 5% in May, the assets may still appeal to long-term investors, experts say.

Investors currently earn 5.27% annual intereston new I bonds purchased before May 1. Some experts predict the new rate could drop to around 4.27% based on inflation and other factors.

But there's still a chance to lock in six months of the 5.27% yearly rate for new I bonds before May 1, assuming you haven't exceeded the purchase limit for 2024.

Based on the last six months of inflation data, the variable portion will fall from 3.94% to 2.96% in May. The fixed-rate portion is harder to predict, but experts say it could stay close to 1.3%.

The 1.3% fixed rate makes I bonds "very attractive" for long-term investors because the rate stays the same after purchase, said Ken Tumin, founder of DepositAccounts.com, which closelytracks these assets.

By contrast, the variable rate stays the same for six months after purchase, regardless of when the Treasury announces new rates. After that, the variable yield changes to the next announced rate.

It's a 'better bet' to buy I bonds now

If you want more I bonds, "it's probably a better bet to buy before the end of April and lock in that higher rate for six months," according to David Enna, founder of Tipswatch.com, a website thattracks Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TIPS,andI bond rates.

If you buy I bonds now, you'll receive 5.27% annual interest for six months and the new May rate for the following six months. He suggests buying a few days before April 30.

Enna expects the fixed rate will be 1.2% or 1.3% in May, based on the half-year average of real yields for 5- and 10-year TIPS.

However, long-term investors could be disappointed if they purchase in April and the Treasury announces a higher fixed interest rate in May.

I bonds no longer a 'slam dunk' for short-term investors

While long-term investors may be eyeing the I bond fixed rate, short-term investors may have better options for cash elsewhere, experts say.

"They're not a slam dunk anymore compared to an online [certificate of deposit] or compared to an online savings account," Tumin said.

They're not a slam dunk anymore compared to an online [certificate of deposit] or compared to an online savings account.

Ken Tumin

Founder of DepositAccounts.com

As of April 19, the top 1% average one-year CDs were paying about 5.5%, and the top high-yield savings accounts were paying around 5%, according to DepositAccounts.

Experts say short-term investors may also consider U.S. Treasurys or a money market fund.

As of April 19, most Treasury bills were paying well over 5%, and two-year Treasury notes were around 5%. Meanwhile, some of the largest money market funds were paying close to 5.4% as of April 19, according to Crane Data.

"You just don't know where short-term rates are going to go," Enna said. "That's why I like the idea of locking in a year if you're going to buy a short-term investment.

Here's why it could be better to buy Series I bonds before May, experts say (1)

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Here's why it could be better to buy Series I bonds before May, experts say (2024)

FAQs

Here's why it could be better to buy Series I bonds before May, experts say? ›

If you buy I bonds now, you'll receive 5.27% annual interest for six months and the new May rate for the following six months. He suggests buying a few days before April 30. Enna expects the fixed rate will be 1.2% or 1.3% in May, based on the half-year average of real yields for 5- and 10-year TIPS.

What is the downside to an I bond? ›

The cons of investing in I-bonds

There's actually a limit on how much you can invest in I-bonds per year. The annual maximum in purchases is $10,000 worth of electronic I-bonds, although in some cases, you may be able to purchase an additional $5,000 worth of paper I-bonds using your tax refund.

Are I bonds still a good investment in 2024? ›

For I bonds issued between May 1, 2024 and Oct. 31, 2024, the fixed interest rate is 1.3%. A second interest component is based on inflation rates, and it resets every six months. It most recently reset in May and is currently 2.96%, down from 3.94% last November.

Is it still a good idea to invest in I bonds? ›

I bonds are a safe investment backed by the U.S. government that protects against inflation with a combination of fixed and variable interest rates. While I bonds offer tax advantages and low minimum investment amounts, they have downsides, including a penalty for early redemption and fixed rates that can be low.

Why don t people invest in Series I bonds? ›

The initial yield is only good for the first six months you own the bond. After that, the investment acts like any other variable vehicle, meaning rates could go down and you have no control over it. And if you wait until, say, 2026 to buy an I bond, the initial rate could be well below current levels.

Can you ever lose money on an I bond? ›

You can count on a Series I bond to hold its value; that is, the bond's redemption value will not decline.

Is there anything better than I bonds? ›

Note that I bonds must be held for at least 12 months before they can be sold. If you hold them for less than five years, you will forfeit three months of interest. You can buy more in TIPS, and their liquidity is an attractive option for some investors. Plus, TIPS pay a fixed interest rate semiannually.

Is 2024 a good time to buy bonds? ›

Starting yields, potential rate cuts and a return to contrasting performance for stocks and bonds could mean an attractive environment for fixed income in 2024.

Do you pay taxes on I bonds? ›

Interest earned on I bonds is exempt from state and local tax but subject to federal tax. The interest is taxed in the year the bond is redeemed or reaches maturity, whichever comes first.

How long should you hold series I bonds? ›

Can I cash it in before 30 years? You can cash in (redeem) your I bond after 12 months. However, if you cash in the bond in less than 5 years, you lose the last 3 months of interest. For example, if you cash in the bond after 18 months, you get the first 15 months of interest.

What are the disadvantages of TreasuryDirect? ›

Securities purchased through TreasuryDirect cannot be sold in the secondary market before they mature. This lack of liquidity could be a disadvantage for investors who may need to access their investment capital before the securities' maturity.

Why is bond not a good investment? ›

You could lose out on major returns by only investing in bonds. While assuming less risk may seem like a great idea in theory, you could miss out on some major earnings. “A bondholder can only receive what is promised—nothing more,” says Robert R.

Which is better, I bonds or EE-bonds? ›

Bottom line. I bonds, with their inflation-adjusted return, safeguard the investor's purchasing power during periods of high inflation. On the other hand, EE Bonds offer predictable returns with a fixed-interest rate and a guaranteed doubling of value if held for 20 years.

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