How to Analyze REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) (2024)

A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company that owns, operates, or finances income-producing properties. By law, 90% of an REIT’s profits must be distributed as dividends to shareholders.

Here, we take a look at REITs, their characteristics, and how to evaluate an REIT.

Key Takeaways

  • Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are required to pay out at least 90% of income as shareholder dividends.
  • Book value ratios are useless for REITs. Instead, calculations such as net asset value are better metrics.
  • Top-down and bottom-up analyses should be used for REITs. Top-down factors include population and job growth. Bottom-up aspects include rental income and funds from operations.

What Qualifies as an REIT?

Most REITs lease space and collect rents, then distribute that income as dividends to shareholders. Mortgage REITs (also called mREITs) don’t own real estate; instead, they finance real estate. These REITs earn income from the interest on their investments, which include mortgages, mortgage-backed securities (MBSs), and other related assets.

To qualify as a REIT, a company must comply with certain Internal Revenue Code (IRC) provisions. Specifically, a companymust meet the following requirements to qualify as a REIT:

  • Invest at least 75%of total assets in real estate, cash, or U.S. Treasuries
  • Earn at least 75%of gross income from rents, interest on mortgages that finance real property, or real estate sales
  • Pay a minimum of 90% of taxable income in the form of shareholder dividends each year
  • Be an entity that’s taxable as a corporation
  • Be managed by a board of directors or trustees
  • Have at least 100 shareholders after its first year of existence
  • Have no more than 50% of its shares held by five or fewer individuals

By having REIT status, a company avoids corporate income tax. A regular corporation makes a profit and pays taxes on its entire profit, then decides how to allocate its after-tax profits between dividends and reinvestment. A REIT simply distributes all or almost all of its profits and gets to skip the taxation.

Types of REITs

There are a number of different types of REITs. Equity REITs tend to specialize in owning certain building types such as apartments, regional malls, office buildings, or lodging/resort facilities. Some are diversified and some defy classification—for example, an REIT that invests only in golf courses.

The other main type of REIT is a mortgage REIT. These REITs make loans secured by real estate, but they do not generally own or operate real estate. Mortgage REITs require special analysis. They are finance companies that use several hedging instruments to manage their interest rate exposure.

While a handful of hybrid REITs run real estate operations and transact in mortgage loans, most REITs are the equity type—the REITs that focus on the “hard asset” business of real estate operations. When you read about REITs, you are usually reading about equity REITs. As such, we’ll focus our analysis on equity REITs.

How to Analyze REITs

REITs are dividend-paying stocks that focus on real estate. If you seek income, you would consider them along with high-yield bond funds and dividend-paying stocks. As dividend-paying stocks, REITs are analyzed much like other stocks. But there are some big differences due to the accounting treatment of property.

Traditional metrics like earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio aren’t reliable ways to evaluate REITs. Funds from operations (FFO) and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) are better metrics.

Let’s illustrate with a simplified example. Suppose that an REIT buys a building for $1 million. Accounting rules require our REIT to charge depreciation against the asset. Let’s assume that we spread the depreciation over 20 years in a straight line. Each year, we deduct $50,000 in depreciation expense ($50,000 per year × 20 years = $1 million).

How to Analyze REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) (1)

Let’s look at the simplified balance sheet and income statement above. In year 10, our balance sheet carries the value of the building at $500,000 (i.e., the book value), which is the original cost of $1 million minus $500,000 accumulated depreciation (10 years × $50,000 per year). Our income statement deducts $190,000 of expenses from $200,000 in revenues, but $50,000 of the expense is a depreciation charge.

FFO

However, our REIT doesn’t actually spend this money in year 10—depreciation is a non-cash charge. Therefore, we add back the depreciation charge to the net income to produce funds from operations (FFO). The idea is that depreciation unfairly reduces our net income because our building probably didn’t lose half its value over the last 10 years. FFO fixes this presumed distortion by excluding the depreciation charge. FFO includes a few other adjustments, too.

AFFO

We should note that FFO gets closer to cash flow than net income, but it does not capture cash flow. Mainly, notice in the example above that we never counted the $1 million spent to acquire the building (the capital expenditure). A more accurate analysis would incorporate capital expenditures. Counting capital expenditures gives a figure known as adjusted funds from operations (AFFO).

Net Asset Value

Our hypothetical balance sheet can help us understand the other common REIT metric: net asset value (NAV). In year 10, the book value of our building was only $500,000 because half of the original cost was depreciated. So, book value and related ratios like price-to-book—often dubious in regard to general equities analysis—are pretty much useless for REITs. NAV attempts to replace the book value of a property with a better estimate of market value.

Calculating NAV requires a somewhat subjective appraisal of the REIT’s holdings. In the above example, we see the building generates $100,000 in operating income ($200,000 in revenues minus $100,000 in operating expenses). One method would be to capitalize on the operating income based on a market rate. If we think that the market’s present capitalization rate (cap rate) for this type of building is 8%, then our estimate of the building’s value becomes $1.25 million ($100,000 in operating income ÷ 8% cap rate = $1,250,000).

This market value estimate replaces the book value of the building. We then would deduct the mortgage debt (not shown) to get NAV. Assets minus debt will equal equity, where the “net” in NAV means net of debt. The final step is to divide NAV into common shares to get NAV per share, which is an estimate of intrinsic value. In theory, the quoted share price should not stray too far from the NAV per share.

Top-Down vs. Bottom-Up Analysis

When picking stocks, you sometimes hear of top-down vs. bottom-up analysis. Top-down starts with an economic perspective and bets on themes or sectors (for example, an aging demographic may favor drug companies). Bottom-up focuses on the fundamentals of specific companies. REIT stocks clearly require both top-down and bottom-up analysis.

From a top-down perspective, REITs can be affected by anything that impacts the supply of, and demand for, property. Population and job growth tend to be favorable for all REIT types. Interest rates are, in brief, a mixed bag.

A rise in interest rates usually signifies an improving economy, which is good for REITs as people are spending and businesses are renting more space. Rising interest rates tend to be good for apartment REITs, as people prefer to remain as renters rather than purchase new homes. On the other hand, REITs can often take advantage of lower interest rates by reducing their interest expenses and thereby increasing their profitability.

Since REITs buy real estate, you may see higher levels of debt than for other types of companies. Be sure to compare an REIT’s debt level to industry averages or debt ratios for competitors.

Capital market conditions are also important, namely the institutional demand for REIT equities. In the short run, this demand can overwhelm fundamentals. For example, REIT stocks did quite well in 2001 and the first half of 2002 despite lackluster fundamentals, because money was flowing into the entire asset class.

At the individual REIT level, you want to see strong prospects for growth in revenue, such as rental income, related service income, and FFO. You want to see if the REIT has a unique strategy for improving occupancy and raising its rents.

Economies of Scale

REITs typically seek growth through acquisitions and further aim to realize economies of scale by assimilating inefficiently run properties. Economies of scale would be realized by a reduction in operating expenses as a percentage of revenue. But acquisitions are a double-edged sword. If an REIT cannot improve occupancy rates and/or raise rents, it may be forced into ill-considered acquisitions to fuel growth.

As mortgage debt plays a big role in equity value, it is worth looking at the balance sheet. Some recommend looking at leverage, such as the debt-to-equity ratio. But in practice, it is difficult to tell when leverage has become excessive. It is more important to weigh the proportion of fixed-rate vs. floating-rate debt. In the current low-interest-rate environment, an REIT that uses only floating-rate debt will be hurt if interest rates rise.

REIT Taxes

Most REIT dividends aren’t what the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) considers qualified dividends, so they are generally taxed at a higher rate. Depending on your tax bracket, qualified dividends are taxed at 0%, 15%, or 20%. However, with REITs, most dividends are taxed as ordinary income—up to 37% for 2021.

In general, REIT dividends are taxed as ordinary income. As such, it’s recommended that you hold REITs in a tax-advantaged account such as an individual retirement account (IRA) or a 401(k).

However, there may be some good news here. Since REITs are pass-through businesses, any dividends that don’t count as qualified dividends may be eligible for the 20% qualified business income (QBI) deduction. For example, if you have $1,000 in ordinary REIT dividends, you might owe taxes on only $800 of that.

Why are funds from operations (FFO) or adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) preferred when analyzing real estate investment trusts (REITs)?

Traditional per-share measures of stocks, like earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, are not often a reliable way to estimate the value of a real estate investment trust (REIT). Instead, REIT investors use funds from operations (FFO) or adjusted funds from operations (AFFO), both of which make adjustments for depreciation and required dividend distributions.

Why are REITs subject to depreciation?

REITs hold real estate investments, which are depreciated over time for tax purposes. Depreciation serves to reduce taxable income in a given year, but is also an accounting figure only. That’s because an old property can be purchased several times over its existence, each time with a new depreciation schedule.

Why don’t REITs tend to appreciate as fast as traditional stocks?

REITs must consistently pay out at least 90% of their taxable income as dividends to shareholders, so they have fewer resources to reinvest into new growth opportunities compared with traditional companies. When dividends are paid, stock prices additionally tend to fall by the amount of the dividend, so constant and relatively high dividends can constantly take a bite out of the market price as they are paid.

The Bottom Line

REITs are real estate companies that must pay out high dividends to enjoy the tax benefits of REIT status. Some REITS have begun to offer the reinvestment of shareholder's dividends through the purchase of additional shares of the trust.

Stable income that can exceed Treasury yields combines with price volatility to offer a total return potential that rivals small-capitalization stocks. Analyzing a REIT requires investors to understand the accounting distortions caused by depreciation and pay careful attention to macroeconomic influences.

How to Analyze REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) (2024)

FAQs

How to do REIT analysis? ›

To project a REIT's statements, you start by projecting its “same-store” (existing) properties by assuming rental growth and margins. Then, assume acquisition, development/redevelopment spending, a yield on spending, and margins there, and assume something for dispositions and the lost revenue and operating income.

What is the 90% rule for REITs? ›

To qualify as a REIT, a company must have the bulk of its assets and income connected to real estate investment and must distribute at least 90 percent of its taxable income to shareholders annually in the form of dividends.

What is the 90% REIT test? ›

A REIT is an entity that would be taxed as a corporation were it not for its special REIT status. To meet the definition of a REIT, the bulk of its assets and income must come from real estate. In addition, it must pay 90% of its taxable income to shareholders.

How to determine if a REIT is undervalued? ›

Net Asset Value (NAV) is associated with the value of its underlying real estate assets, minus by the value of its liabilities. It is frequently calculated and compared to Mark to Market, this ratio gives an indication of whether the REIT is currently overvalued or undervalued with respect to its intrinsic value.

What is the formula for REIT valuation? ›

Price/FFO per Share

The most popular REIT valuation method is P/FFO. P/FFO (or Current market Price/Funds From Operations) per share is very common amongst retail and institutional investors alike.

What is the REIT 10 year rule? ›

For Group REITs, the consequences of leaving early apply when the principal company of the group gives notice for the group as a whole to leave the regime within ten years of joining or where an exiting company has been a member of the Group REIT for less than ten years.

What is the 5 and 50 rule for REITs? ›

A REIT cannot be closely held. A REIT will be closely held if more than 50 percent of the value of its outstanding stock is owned directly or indirectly by or for five or fewer individuals at any point during the last half of the taxable year, (this is commonly referred to as the 5/50 test).

What is the 80 20 rule for REITs? ›

In situations where all investors submit cash election forms, the dividend payout formula will result in all shareholders receiving their distribution as 20% cash and 80% stock, which means that the cash/stock dividend strategy functions analogously to a pro rata cash dividend coupled with a pro rata stock split.

What is the 75 75 90 rule for REITs? ›

Invest at least 75% of its total assets in real estate. Derive at least 75% of its gross income from rents from real property, interest on mortgages financing real property or from sales of real estate. Pay at least 90% of its taxable income in the form of shareholder dividends each year.

How long should you hold a REIT? ›

In many cases, this can take around 10 years to occur. And with publicly traded REITs that fluctuate with the stock market, Jhangiani recommends holding onto them for at least three years.

What is the bad income test for REITs? ›

If less than 75% of the REIT's income for the taxable year is real estate related (known as the 75% gross income test, IRCаза856(c)(3)), it can lose REIT status and cannot elect again to be treated as a REIT for five years (IRCаза856(g)).

What's a good FFO for a REIT? ›

The standard FFO for REIT is 70-80%, higher than average.

How to pick a good REIT? ›

When you're ready to invest in a REIT, look for growth in earnings, which stems from higher revenues (higher occupancy rates and increasing rents), lower costs, and new business opportunities. It's also imperative that you research the management team that oversees the REIT's properties.

Which REITs have the highest return? ›

Best REITs by total return
Company (ticker)5-year total return5-year dividend growth
Prologis (PLD)121.8%12.4%
Eastgroup Properties (EGP)107.9%13.3%
Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI)99.7%1.1%
Extra Space Storage (EXR)98.5%14.0%
4 more rows
Jan 16, 2024

How to analyze mortgage REITs? ›

Investors can evaluate mortgage REITs by looking at their market price to book value per share. Mortgage REITs are more attractive when the common stock share price sells at a discount to the book value. Another metric to consider is the mortgage REITs' return on equity and its relation to the dividend yield.

What is the 75 income test for REITs? ›

In order to meet the 75% test, at least 75% of a REIT's gross income must be derived from the following: Rents from real property. Interest on obligations secured by mortgages on real property or on interests in real property. Gain from the sale or other disposition of real property.

What is a good ratio for a REIT? ›

Thus, the AFFO payout ratio is the best measure of defining whether a REITs distribution is sustainable. An AFFO Payout Ratio of less than 1.0X is ideal, as it implies that the company is distributing not more than it generates in annual cash flows.

How to calculate WACC for a REIT? ›

Subscribe
  1. The WACC Formula: (% Debt Financing * Cost of Debt) + (% of Equity Financing * Cost of Equity) = WACC. ...
  2. Example #1: (60% * 5%) + (40% * 20%) = WACC. ...
  3. Example #2: (80% * 6%) + (20% * x) = 11%
Mar 22, 2018

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