Is Bitcoin Safe For Australian Investors? (2024)

Understanding whether bitcoin is a safe investment depends on how you define security.

There’s no question that bitcoin prices can be extremely volatile. In 2022, the price of BTC dropped from almost $US48,000 to around $US19,300. Fast-forward two years, and with the helping of institutional backing by fund manager BlackRock via its spot ETFs, bitcoin shot up to near-record highs of over $US66,000 or more than $100,000 AUD per coin.

If you define security as an investment with a relatively stable price, then bitcoin may not be a safe bet for your investment portfolio.

That said, bitcoin’s mercurial nature may be changing, with the SEC approval of BlackRock ETFs marking a watershed moment in the history of bitcoin and lending an air of legitimacy to crypto more broadly.

“Bitcoin is becoming more integrated with traditional financial markets and is seeing significant participation from retail and increasingly from institutional investors,” says Ryan Burke, general manager at US financial services firm, Invest at M1.

“Historically, BTC has been more volatile, but it has become a de facto mainstream alternative asset more recently correlated to large-cap tech.”

If you think of bitcoin as digital gold, similar to a commodity rather than an investment security, you can add another dimension to the security question.

“Bitcoin technology is relatively safe, but it isn’t anonymous and relies on passwords,” says Daniel Rodriguez, chief operating officer at US firm, Hill Wealth Strategies.

While bitcoin disguises your personal information, the address of your crypto wallet is publicly available.

“Hackers could use web trackers and cookies to find more information about the transactions that could lead to your private information and data,” Rodriguez says. If anonymity is part of your definition of security, bitcoin might not be entirely secure.

Similarly, your cryptocurrency is only as secure as the crypto wallet you keep it in. If you lose your wallet password or someone else gets ahold of it, you lose your bitcoin. It’s the reason why many successful BTC investors keep their bitcoin on hardware wallets, or cold storage, rather than exchanges.

It’s worth noting that none of these concerns relate to the security of the bitcoin network itself, according to Gil Luria, US technology strategist at D.A. Davidson Co. “It has survived unscathed for the 13 years of its existence and has yet to be hacked.”

Given bitcoin’s high volatility and security risks, it’s important to consider your reasons for buying before you trade any dollars for BTC.

Cryptocurrency is a highly speculative investment, says Luria. “The risk/reward profile of investing in bitcoin differs from investing in most stocks or bonds. We tend to recommend investors only consider investing capital they are willing to lose,” he says.

Are you buying bitcoin as an investment to fund your retirement? In that case, it’s probably best to keep your exposure to a minimum because no one can predict where the market will go.

You should brace yourself for an unreliable narrator if you think bitcoin is a currency. You could easily log off the computer one day with $US60,000 in BTC and log on with only $US45,000 the next morning.

Then there’s the uncertainty around the crypto regulatory environment. The Australian Government has announced plans to regulate cryptocurrencies, in a bid to offer better protections to consumers, but is also keen to not stifle investment in the space.

Consumer group CHOICE and the financial regulator ASIC, meanwhile, urge people to exercise extreme caution and not invest what they cannot afford to lose.

There are many risks to cryptocurrency, from market risks to regulatory risks and cybersecurity risks, as we have seen in Australia in recent years.

“Market risk is one of the biggest risks associated with bitcoin,” Rodriguez says. Just look at any price history chart and see what kind of a wild ride bitcoin investors are in for.

“Historically, bitcoin also reacts inversely to interest rates,” he says. “So, when the US Fed raises rates, bitcoin typically takes a dip because investors start leaning toward more safe and stable investments.”

Regulatory uncertainty also poses a risk. “In 2021, China, the world’s second-biggest economy, effectively made it illegal for citizens to mine or hold any cryptocurrency,” Rodriguez says.

If other countries follow suit, bitcoin holders could be in hot water. (It’s worth noting, however, that recent signs suggest BTC is heading towards increased legitimacy and mainstream adoption.)

Cybersecurity is another chief concern for all holders of digital assets. Remember that your transactions are only as anonymous and secure as your wallet information and passwords.

In 2022, the US Department of Justice proved blockchain transactions are not immune to tracing when it followed the trail left by a couple attempting to launder $4.5 billion in cryptocurrency stolen in the 2016 Bitfinex hack.

There’s also the rising threat of cryptocurrency crime, which Australia’s federal law enforcement agency lists as an “emerging threat” that it’s struggling to keep ahead of. Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones has spoken of his concerns around the huge problem of tackling crypto scams.

“Financial losses via bank transfers remain the main form of scams,” he noted in a speech last year. “And bank transfers are a core part of our financial system.”

Your bitcoin’s safety depends largely on how you store it. Your choice of crypto wallet and the level of encryption it uses play a big part in keeping your coins safe.

“Security and convenience do not always go hand-in-hand,” Burke says.

He says that offline “cold” wallets that are not connected to the internet are secure from hacking but less convenient than hot wallets. Cold wallets are also subject to theft or loss. “Lose a device or drive or misplace your private key, you have a problem,” says Burke.

Hot wallets are more convenient because you can access your cryptocurrency from anywhere you have an internet connection or cell service, but they are more vulnerable to hacking.

“A prudent strategy is to use a combination of hot and cold storage, with most assets being held in cold storage,” Burke says.

Burke adds whatever storage method you choose, make sure you know if your crypto is being loaned, staked or pledged as collateral.

Experts say it’s important to read the terms and conditions before signing up for a wallet or service, lest your cryptocurrency inadvertently ends up as another victim of the crypto liquidity crisis.

As with any investment, research whether investing in bitcoin is right for your investment portfolio. If you buy BTC as part of your investment strategy, prepare for highs and lows.

This article is not an endorsem*nt of any particular cryptocurrency, broker or exchange nor does it constitute a recommendation of cryptocurrency or CFDs as an investment class. Cryptocurrency is unregulated in Australia and your capital is at risk. Trading in contracts for difference (CFDs) is riskier than conventional share trading, not suitable for the majority of investors, and includes the potential for partial or total loss of capital. You should always consider whether you can afford to lose your money before deciding to trade in CFDs or cryptocurrency, and seek advice from an authorised financial advisor.