Is Rithm Capital Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

Dividend stocks can be an excellent source of passive income, and Rithm Capital (RITM 0.55%) is one of the highest-yielding dividend stocks you can buy today. Its 9.1% dividend yield makes it an appealing stock for investors looking to generate income from their portfolios, and the stock trades at a reasonable valuation. However, it is undergoing a transformation that could affect its high dividend yield. Here's what you need to know if you're considering buying Rithm Capital today.

Rithm Capital has struggled due to higher interest rates

Rithm Capital is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on mortgage servicing rights. As a REIT, Rithm Capital enjoys a pass-through tax structure, meaning it doesn't pay taxes at a corporate level. Instead, it must pay out 90% of its taxable income to shareholders through dividends, which is why REITs can be quite attractive for income-focused investors.

Rithm differs from mortgage REITs because its portfolio includes businesses in the real estate sector to complement its mortgage-backed securities and loans portfolio. Its holdings include the Newrez residential mortgage origination unit and business lending specialist Genesis, along with mortgage servicing rights, single-family rentals, and loans.

Mortgage REITs are sensitive to changes in interest rates. For example, over the past few years, mREITs have struggled as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates several times. As a result, mortgage-backed securities have underperformed as interest rate volatility rose, leading to declining book value per share in the short term.

The company is making a big push into alternative asset management

Rithm Capital is making significant changes to its underlying business model. In 2022, the company rebranded from New Residential to Rithm Capital to reflect its shifting business model as it pursues becoming an alternative asset manager instead of a pure mortgage REIT company.

Rithm is working toward becoming an alternative asset manager, which it believes will create more value for its shareholders in the long term. The company sees itself being structured more like Blackstone or Ares Management, which means it may eventually convert from a REIT to a traditional corporation.

The alternative asset space has exploded in popularity as wealthier investors and institutions seek assets outside traditional finance to boost returns. According to the investment data company Preqin, global alternative assets under management (AUM) are expected to reach $24 trillion by 2028, representing an 8.4% annual growth rate.

As part of its transformation, Rithm acquired Sculptor Capital Management for $630 million last year. The acquisition accelerates Rithm's capabilities in the asset management sector by giving it nearly $33 billion in assets under management across credit, real estate, and multi-strategy platforms. It also acquired Computershare's mortgage servicing business for $720 million, which gives it another $136 billion in unpaid principal balance of mortgage servicing rights.

Its dividend could eventually get cut

Rithm Capital is transforming, which could be a good thing for the company. After all, mortgage REITs have struggled, and over the past five years, Rithm's total return (including reinvested dividends) was a measly 9%.

By diversifying into alternative asset management, Rithm is entering a fast-growing industry with a solid runway for further growth. However, this transformation means that there may be more big changes coming. For example, it could convert from a REIT to a traditional corporation, which would be bad news for investors drawn to the stock for its high dividend payout.

Today, the stock trades at a slight discount to book value, and the company recently announced a $300 million share repurchase plan to buy back what management sees as an undervalued stock.

Is Rithm Capital Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (1)

RITM Price to Book Value data by YCharts

Is it a buy?

Rithm is an intriguing company, and I'm interested in seeing how it can progress in the alternative asset space. If it changes its business structure, its big dividend yield could be a thing of the past, so income investors may want to avoid the stock if that's their goal.

However, if Rithm successfully builds up its alternative assets business, it'll open up a new steady stream of fee-based cash flow, which will help it grow its earnings in the long term. If you're OK with a potentially lower dividend payout in the future, you can take a chance on Rithm's transformation at a pretty reasonable valuation today.

Courtney Carlsen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Is Rithm Capital Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is Rithm Capital Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool? ›

Rithm offers a big dividend, but there's more to the business that investors should be aware of. Dividend stocks can be an excellent source of passive income, and Rithm Capital

Rithm Capital
Rithm Capital (Rithm) is an American investment management company headquartered in New York that focuses on real estate and alternative investments. Rithm Capital Corp. Headquarters at 799 Broadway. Formerly. New Residential Investment Corp.
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Rithm_Capital
(RITM -0.31%) is one of the highest-yielding dividend stocks you can buy today.

Is Rithm Capital a good stock to buy? ›

Rithm Capital has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 7 buy ratings, 1 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Rithm Capital is $13.00.

What are the 5 stocks recommended by Motley Fool? ›

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, MercadoLibre, Meta Platforms, Salesforce, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.

What is the stock price prediction for Rithm Capital? ›

Rithm Capital Stock Forecast

The 10 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for Rithm Capital stock have an average target of 12.5, with a low estimate of 12 and a high estimate of 14. The average target predicts an increase of 12.41% from the current stock price of 11.12.

Is Ritm a good long-term investment? ›

Over time, Rithm has proven it can generate long-term shareholder wealth by focusing on the U.S. mortgage market. Returns on equity have averaged 12.2% since 2013.

What is the stock price prediction for Rithm in 2025? ›

According to our Rithm Capital Corp. stock prediction for 2025, RITM stock will be priced at $ 11.57 in 2025. This forecast is based on the stock's average growth over the past 10 years.

What is the target price for Rithm stock? ›

Stock Price Target RITM
High$14.00
Median$13.00
Low$12.50
Average$13.05
Current Price$10.77

What is the rule of 72 Motley Fool? ›

Let's say that you start with the time frame in mind, hoping an investment will double in value over the next 10 years. Applying the Rule of 72, you simply divide 72 by 10. This says the investment will need to go up 7.2% annually to double in 10 years. You could also start with your expected rate of return in mind.

What is The Motley Fool top 10 stocks in 2024? ›

See the 10 stocks »

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Chewy, Fiverr International, Nvidia, PayPal, Salesforce, and Uber Technologies.

What are Motley Fool's double down stocks? ›

"Double down buy alerts" from The Motley Fool signal strong confidence in a stock, urging investors to increase their holdings.

How often does rithm capital pay dividends? ›

Rithm Capital Dividend Information

Rithm Capital has an annual dividend of $1.00 per share, with a yield of 8.95%. The dividend is paid every three months and the last ex-dividend date was Jul 1, 2024.

What is the best algorithm for predicting stock prices? ›

In particular, the LSTM algorithm (Long Short- Term Memory) confirms the stability and efficiency in short-term stock price forecasting.

How do you predict if a stock will rise or fall? ›

If more people want to buy a stock (demand) than sell it (supply), then the price moves up. Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock than buy it, there would be greater supply than demand, and the price would fall. Understanding supply and demand is easy.

Is rithm capital a reit? ›

Rithm Capital is a real estate investment trust with a dividend yield of 9.2%.

What is the safest long-term stocks to invest? ›

Best Long-Term Stocks of August 2024
Company (ticker)Market Capitalization
Kroger (KR)$37.8 billion
Discover Financial (DFS)$30.3 billion
Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG)$30.0 billion
FirstEnergy (FE)$22.7 billion
5 more rows
Jul 1, 2024

What is RITM stock forecast 2024? ›

Consensus Price Target

The highest price target for RITM is $14.00, while the lowest price target for RITM is $12.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 11.60% from the current price of $11.16.

Is Ritm a good reit? ›

As of August 02, 2024, Rithm Capital Corp had a $5.6 billion market capitalization, putting it in the 80th percentile of companies in the REITs - Specialized industry. Currently, Rithm Capital Corp's price-earnings ratio is 9.4. Rithm Capital Corp's trailing 12-month revenue is $4.3 billion with a 16.9% profit margin.

What is the future of Annaly Capital? ›

NLY Stock 12 Month Forecast

Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Annaly Capital in the last 3 months. The average price target is $20.94 with a high forecast of $23.50 and a low forecast of $19.00.

What is the target price for Lway stock? ›

Stock Price Targets
High$28.00
Median$24.00
Low$20.00
Average$24.00
Current Price$11.34

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