Markets set for turmoil as Greece hurtles towards financial collapse and capital controls (2024)

Markets were poised for their worst period of turmoil since the height of the eurozone crisis four years ago, after Greece temporarily shut down its banks and suspended trading on its stock market, putting the country on the perilous path of a banking collapse and the issuance of a parallel currency.

The Greek government announced it would be imposing capital controls and enforced bank holidays following a drastic decision by the European Central Bank to freeze the life support it had been drip feeding banks for the last five months.

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Athens main stock index will also remain closed from Monday, as Greece hurtles towards the final stages of a traumatic five-year euro crisis.

The euro tumbled by more than 1.5pc against the dollar in early Asian trading and futures markets pointed towards heavy falls on Wall Street on Monday.

Perceived "safe havens" such as government bonds and the Swiss franc are set to see fresh inflows as investors fret over what may result in a fatal rupture of monetary union.

The Greek government is now all but certain to default on a €1.6bn loan to the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday and will also see its €240bn bail-out expire at the end of the day.

In his second televised address in three days, Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras said he had taken the measures after the country's lenders had attempted "to stifle the will of the Greek people."

"It is clear that the objective of the Eurogroup’s and ECB’s decisions is to attempt to blackmail the will of the Greek people and to hinder democratic processes, namely holding the referendum," said the prime minister."

"They will not succeed."

Greece has been in the throes of a slow moving bank run after snap referendum was called for Sunday July 5.

More two-thirds of the the country's cash machines ran dry this weekend after Greeks rushed to withdraw their savings. Bank deposits have now fallen to an 11-year-low.

The bank holiday should allow the financial system to stay afloat at least until the vote is held and are likely to re-open on July 7. Cash machine withdrawal limits are set to stand at €60, according to Greek media.

Markets set for turmoil as Greece hurtles towards financial collapse and capital controls (1)

In a sign of the contagion fears that will now ripple across Europe, Macedonia's central bank ordered all of its banks to pull their deposits from the country.

Greece is now careering down a path of a disorderly exit of the eurozone, which could result in the issuance of an alternative currency as early July, said Chris Scicluna, head of economic research at Daiwa Capital Markets.

With the government all but bankrupt, "public sector workers and pensioners might well have to be paid with IOUs as soon as end-July," said Mr Scicluna. "That would likely represent the first steps to issuing a parallel currency."

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The decision to impose the draconian measures came after the European Central Bank froze the level of emergency liquidity (ELA) it is providing to keep the financial system afloat on Sunday.

This funding, which is the last remaining financial link between Greece's banks and the eurozone, stands at around €89bn, but has been burnt through at record rates as Greeks have amassed outside ATMs.

The ECB could go further on Tuesday and announce it will withdraw ELA all-together as the country's bail-out programme officially expires.

Should the ECB take the nuclear option, it would be evidence that "Europe has failed,” said Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis.

"It has failed in its duty to preserve in parallel a democratic process and a monetary union. It should be a union whose banks are guaranteed by a central bank doing what it can to keep people’s deposits accessible to them."

Mr Tsipras said on Sunday he had requested once again that the Troika extend the bail-out for another month.

Capital controls would not effect tourists or foreigners using cash machines in the country, said the government.

The recent decisions of the Eurogroup & ECB have only one objective: to attempt to stifle the will of the Greek people. #Greece

— Alexis Tsipras (@tsipras_eu) June 28, 2015

Mr Varoufakis said before the decision, he was fundamentally opposed to carrying out draconian Cypriot-style controls.

"Capital controls within a monetary union are a contradiction in terms. The Greek government opposes the very concept," Mr Varoufakis said on Twitter.

Capital controls within a monetary union are a contradiction in terms. The Greek government opposes the very concept.

— Yanis Varoufakis (@yanisvaroufakis) June 28, 2015

The Greek government declared the controls after meeting with the Bank of Greece and the country's financial stability board. Greece's central bank governor will now spend the night with the heads of the country's banks to begin implementation from Monday morning.

With events having spiralled out of control this weekend, Washington again intervened to urge Greece’s creditors to finally provide the country with some form of debt relief as part of any new rescue package.

Treasury secretary Jack Lew echoed the IMF’s Christine Lagarde, saying it was "important for all parties to continue to work to reach a solution, including a discussion of potential debt relief for Greece.”

The question of an alleviation of Greece’s 180pc debt mountain has been absent from the country’s current negotiations, with European creditors insisting it was a matter only to be addressed once Greece signs up to a package to cut spending and hike taxes.

Markets set for turmoil as Greece hurtles towards financial collapse and capital controls (2)

Mr Varoufakis said he was thrown out of talks with finance ministers on Saturday

The ECB said it stood "ready to reconsider its decision" on ELA. "The ECB will work closely with Bank of Greece to maintain financial stability," said a statement.

Mario Draghi, ECB president, said: “We continue to work closely with the Bank of Greece and we strongly endorse the commitment of Member States in pledging to take action to address the fragilities of euro area economies.”

Capital controls were last seen in the eurozone in Cyprus in 2013. The move came after the ECB threatened to pull the plug on the country's banks unless the government submitted to a bail-out package.

Once implemented, capital controls are difficult to remove. Cyprus only began shaking off its control measures last month, while Iceland is only returning to free capital movement seven years from its crisis.

The introduction of capital controls could now harden Greeks against European authorities, pushing them towards a ‘No’ vote in next weekend’s referendum.

It “would likely mark a first step towards Grexit as there is no indication that the Troika stands ready to offer Greece a better deal,” said Michala Marcussen of Societe Generale.

Markets set for turmoil as Greece hurtles towards financial collapse and capital controls (2024)

FAQs

What caused Greece economic collapse? ›

Greece defaulted on a debt of €1.6 billion to the IMF in 2015. 1. The financial crisis was largely the result of structural problems that ignored the loss of tax revenues due to systematic tax evasion.

What economic problems is Greece facing? ›

Falling birthrates and labour shortages threaten the long-term outlook, and the spread of climate-related disasters like wildfires and floods have strained government finances. Many ordinary Greeks reeling from the crisis say they see little difference as economists say the wider benefits of the rebound will take time.

Why does Greece struggle economically? ›

The Greek debt crisis originated from heavy government spending and problems escalated over the years due to slowdown in global economic growth. When Greece became the 10th member of the European Union (EU) on January 1, 1981, the country's economy and finances were in good shape.

How was Greece affected by the 2008 financial crisis? ›

The global financial crisis had a particularly large negative impact on GDP growth rates in Greece. Two of the country's largest earners, tourism and shipping were badly affected by the downturn, with revenues falling 15% in 2009.

What were 3 causes of Greece's fall? ›

However, despite its many developments, ancient Greece ultimately fell, and historians have identified several reasons for its decline, which included: war, economics, political instability, and the rise of Rome.

Which country has no debt? ›

1) Switzerland

Switzerland is a country that, in practically all economic and social metrics, is an example to follow. With a population of almost 9 million people, Switzerland has no natural resources of its own, no access to the sea, and virtually no public debt.

What is Greece's biggest issue? ›

Since 2009, Greece has experienced a long-lasting socioeconomic crisis that has had substantial consequences on the health and mental health of the population. Unemployment, financial hardship and income loss constitute the hallmarks of the socioeconomic landscape.

Is Greece still in financial crisis? ›

In 2018, Greece successfully exited its third and final bailout program, after having been forced to demand an astronomical €289 billion in financial assistance from the EU, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund, known as the troika. This marked the beginning of a return to financial normalcy.

Who does Greece owe money to? ›

In total, Greece now owes the EU and IMF roughly 290 billion euros ($330 billion), part of a public debt that has climbed to 180 percent of GDP. To finance this debt, Athens commits to running a budget surplus through 2060, accepts continued EU financial supervision, and imposes additional austerity measures.

What is causing poverty in Greece? ›

In the case of Greece, the main factors that have kept in-work poverty rates high (double the respective EU average rate)in Greece, since even before the outbreak of the crisis, are the following: the residual character of the social protection system; low employment rates (particularly of women); a relatively large ...

How to fix Greece's economy? ›

Second, Greece can do more to support growth and social inclusion by improving the fiscal policy mix. For example, through the planned broadening of the personal income tax next year and stronger tax compliance, Greece can lower tax rates and still boost revenues to increase investment and targeted social spending.

Is Greece cheap to visit? ›

Greece is a uniquely beautiful and welcoming country to explore - and while the Eurozone can often be more expensive than other areas, Greece can still be a budget-friendly travel destination. With good advice and a bit of planning, you can have a fabulous trip without spending a fortune.

What are the most serious economic problems in Greece? ›

The banking system has remained resilient with improving balance sheets. However, the economy is facing macro-financial challenges amid the significant monetary policy tightening, persistent core inflation, and rising real estate prices.

Is Greece's economy improving? ›

Overall, GDP is expected to grow by 2.2% in 2024. In 2025, economic growth is projected at 2.3%. Investment is expected to gain further momentum, and become a key contributor to output growth, while household spending is likely to be further supported by a rise in real income.

What are the effects of the Greek economic crisis? ›

The transfer of debt from the private sector to European official creditors changed the political dynamics of the Greek crisis. Nationalist sentiments stirred in many European countries. At the same time, public opinion in Greece turned against Europe and its forced retrenchment of the Greek economy.

What caused the crash in Greece? ›

It is the deadliest rail disaster in Greek history. It was discovered that the IC62 passenger train had been allowed to proceed on the wrong track and pass signals at danger despite the presence of the freight train on the same stretch of track.

What event led to the decline of Greece? ›

There were many reasons for the decline of ancient Greece. One primary reason was the fighting between the various city-states and the inability to form alliances with each other during a time of invasion by a stronger opponent like ancient Rome.

What caused hyperinflation in Greece? ›

The Greek hyperinflation started during the Axis occupation and was the result of an excessive reliance by the puppet government on the inflation tax. The inflation reached a peak in November 1944 after liberation.

Who is Greece in debt to? ›

Greece receives its final loan from European creditors, completing a bailout program begun in 2015, the country's third since 2010. In total, Greece now owes the EU and IMF roughly 290 billion euros ($330 billion), part of a public debt that has climbed to 180 percent of GDP.

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