Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (2024)

In this article, we will explain how to use Optimum Chart to perform pairs trading with correlation and cointegration analysis for Forex Trading. Optimum chart provides the automatic correlation and spread analysis in just one or two button clicks providing you good potential entry and exit. Pairs Trading or statistical arbritage is known as the cutting edge trading strategies among the Forex and Stock market trader. Pair trading strategy is one of the built in trading strategy inside Optimum Chart. Here is a step by step guide on how to use this advanced pair trading analysis for your benefit.

We provide Pair Trading strategy as scanner. This means that our Pair trading strategy scanner will scan across all symbols in your symbol list. Then it will automatically apply statistical test and product the results you need for your trading.

First step is of course to open one chart. You can open any chart.

Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (1)

In this example, we are opening AUDCAD H1 chart. Now go to Panel and expand it. You will see Panel called “Pair Trading Analyzer”. Attach the Pair Trading Analyzer to AUDCAD H1 chart we have just opened.

Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (2)

Once it is attached to chart, it will look pretty empty because we have not asked to perform any analysis yet. To ask the panel to perform analysis, click “Analyze Pair” button. Note that the analysis is fully automatic but it can take few minutes to few hours. While it is doing analysis, do not disturb.

Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (3)

The Panel will product the results for pairs analysis. It looks like below. Pairs trading is basically the analysis on two correlated and cointegrated pairs.Now to find out the strongest spread, just click the column header of Absolute spread.

Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (4)

Note that our spread is standardized one. This means that spread displayed is in fact Z score. As you know, Z score will be fluctuating between 4 and -4 in its extreme. Most of time, it would stay inside 2 and -2. You can apply the similar intuition as you learnt from normal distribution as below.

Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (5)

Now, to get more catch analysis, just open Chart. This will give you even better analysis. When you open chart, it will show you the histogram of Pair spread. At the same time, it draws the moving average of spread in the same window. This helps you to check any pull back in the spread. In addition, it also provides the 1 to 1 scaled chart between two correlated symbols. Hence, it helps which symbol is acting more dominant bullish which symbol is acting more dominant bearish.

Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (6)

When the spread is in its extreme (i.e. Z score > 2.5), we can expect that the spread will be eventually converging. This means that you can long on one position and you can short on the other position to create a pair of hedging positions.

Good news is that we do provide other powerful techniques like Harmonic Patterns and Elliott Wave pattern and advanced support and resistance tools to decide which currency is likely to get bullish reaction and which currency is likely to get bearish reaction.

Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (7)

Let us say thatyou had your analysis in H1 timeframe and then you want to see the analysis D1 timeframe. In that case, you have to close your H1 timeframe analysis first, and then open new D1 chart and then apply Pair Trading Spread Analyzer from Panel again. This is the recommended approach instead of just switching the timeframe from the same chart. We recommend to use fresh chart for fresh recalculation of everything.

We do not allow the simultaneous viewing of the H1 timeframe and D1 timeframe analysis at the same time for Pair Trading Analysis Panels because it would impose a lot of computation on your CPU and Memory. However, for Forex, the calculation should be quick and fast. For other panels like Harmonic Pattern Scanner and Correlation Ranking Heat Map, you do not need to worry about this because they will scan across multiple timeframe. Do understand each algorithm takes different CPU and Memory usage.

https://algotrading-investment.com/2019/07/23/optimum-chart/

In addition, we provide the standalone pairs trading analyzer in MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5. Although the user interface is different from Optimum chart, Pairs Trading Station in MetaTrader provides the robust correlation and spread analysis tool kit for your trading. You can also use the Pairs Trading Station to accomplish the Correlation and Spread Analysis in MetaTrader. Here is the landing page for Pairs Trading Station in MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader5.

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/pair-trading-station/

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/3303

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/3304

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Optimum Chart – Pair Trading Analysis with Correlation (2024)

FAQs

What is the correlation of pairs trade? ›

One is that the pairs trade relies on a high statistical correlation between two securities. Most pairs trades will require a correlation of 0.80, which can be challenging to identify. Second, while historical trends can be accurate, past prices are not always indicative of future trends.

How do you use correlation in options trading? ›

Correlation Trading and Volatility

Commonly, a long volatility correlation trade, also known as a dispersion trade, is achieved by selling at-the-money (ATM) index option straddles and simultaneously buying at-the-money straddles in the options of the index components on a weighted basis.

Does pair trading still work? ›

Despite confirming the continuing downward trend in profitability of pairs trading, this study found that the strategy performs strongly during periods of prolonged turbulence, including the recent global financial crisis.

Is pair trading risky? ›

Pairs trading has the potential to achieve profits through simple and relatively low-risk positions. The pairs trade is market-neutral, meaning the direction of the overall market does not affect its win or loss.

How do you trade correlated pairs? ›

You can trade on forex pair correlations by identifying which currency pairs have a positive or negative correlation to each other. In the conventional sense, you would open two of the same positions if the correlation was positive, or two opposing positions if the correlation was negative.

Which chart to use for correlation? ›

The most useful graph for displaying the relationship between two quantitative variables is a scatterplot. Many research projects are correlational studies because they investigate the relationships that may exist between variables.

What trading strategies are based on correlation? ›

Six correlation strategies are discussed: 1) empirical correlation trading, 2) pairs trading, 3) multiasset options, 4) structured products, 5) correlation swaps, and 6) dispersion trading.

What correlation is best to use? ›

In summary, correlation coefficients are used to assess the strength and direction of the linear relationships between pairs of variables. When both variables are normally distributed use Pearson's correlation coefficient, otherwise use Spearman's correlation coefficient.

How do you identify pairs for pair trading? ›

Correlation analysis can be used to identify interesting potential pairs, but beware of spurious correlation. Competing companies in the same sector make natural potential pairs. Certain companies have several classes of shares trading simultaneously (e.g. common and preferred) which should move largely in unison.

What is the spread formula for pairs trading? ›

Spread = log(a) - nlog(b), where 'a' and 'b' are prices of stocks A and B respectively. The 'n' is the hedge ratio which is constant. We used the machine learning to calculate the spread instead of the log.

How many pairs is best to trade? ›

While there are many pairs you could trade for most traders, it is best to stick to one to five pairs and become an expert. There is always a temptation to change markets when making losses. Other forex pairs can appear to have stronger trends, higher volatility, and easier-to-make profits.

What is the most predictable trading pair? ›

EUR/CHF. EUR/CHF is the most predictable pair in forex trading among the technical traders because the market always keeps moving depend on some technical analysis or forex trading chart patterns. This is one of the very slow-moving currency pair out there with low volatile and liquidity.

What is the meaning of pair correlation? ›

The pair correlation function quantifies how the particle of interest is surrounded by other particles. For example, the pair correlation function or radial distribution function has a constant value for all radial distances for a rarefied gas in which there is no internal structure.

Why do forex pairs correlate? ›

The forex pairs increase and decrease are often viewed as equals. They correlate so well because of their relationship with the US dollar, the pound, and the Euro. All three currencies are intertwined by their strong economic ties.

What is the correlation coefficient of pairs of assets? ›

A high positive correlation between two assets indicates that they tend to move in the same direction. For traders, this can be a valuable tool for identifying trends. If Asset A consistently rises when Asset B does, it may be a signal to enter a trade on Asset A when conditions are favourable.

What is the difference between cointegration and correlation pairs trading? ›

1 In the financial context: Cointegration of (log-)prices yt refers to long-term co-movements. Correlation of (log-)returns ∆yt = yt − yt−1 characterizes short-term co-movements in (log-)prices yt.

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