Pros and cons of Fed raising interest rates in today's economic conditions—and how you can benefit (2024)

The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 0.75 percentage point on Wednesday — the biggest hike since 1994 — to try to curtail today's record-high inflation.

While the Fed is expected to continue raising rates throughout the rest of 2022, the larger conundrum still remains: continue raising rates, potentially causing an economic slowdown and recession, or don't raise rates and therefore don't prevent taming rampant inflation.

Interest rates affect our bigger macroeconomic picture, but they also have a tangible effect on our personal finances, including student loans, car loans, mortgages, savings accounts and more.

Below, Select further explains the pros and cons of the Fed raising interest rates, plus how everyday consumers can take advantage.

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Pros of Fed raising rates

The larger goal of the Fed raising interest rates is to slow economic activity, but not by too much. When rates increase, meaning it becomes more expensive to borrow money, consumers react by refraining from making large purchases and pulling back their spending. The idea is that in today's high inflationary environment, this decrease in consumer demand can help bring prices back down to "normal."

We've seen this scenario already play out a bit in the housing market. In the last six months, average 30-year fixed mortgage rates have gone from 3.22% on Jan. 6 up to 6.28% on June 14. This rate increase has caused a notable slowdown in mortgage demand, hitting a 22-year low in mortgage applications last week. And with consumers facing higher mortgage rates to pay for a house, home prices are starting to soften. Nearly one in five sellers have dropped their home price during the four-week period ending May 22, according to Redfin.

How you can benefit

For everyday consumers, this housing market could offer some good news. Laurence Kotlikoff, an economics professor at Boston University, tells Select that mortgage rates are still at historic lows (for now). In fact, a low fixed-rate mortgage may serve as a good hedge against inflation.

Not looking to buy a home? Consumers can still benefit from the expectation of more rate hikes in the coming months by refinancing any high, variable-interest debt that is likely to become even more expensive. While the Fed just recently announced a rate hike, it takes some time to "bake" into the market, so you should refinance any high-interest debt now before rates get even higher. For example, private student loan borrowers paying a high variable interest rate may want to refinance to a fixed rate to lock in what will ideally be a lower rate today than in the future. SoFi offers fixed-rate loans with loan terms of five, seven, 10, 15 and 20 years, plus no origination fees to refinance.

SoFi

  • Eligible borrowers

    Undergraduate and graduate students, parents, health professionals

  • Loan amounts

    $5,000 minimum (or up to state); maximum up to cost of attendance

  • Loan terms

    Range from 5 to 15 years; up to 20 years for refinancing loans

  • Loan types

    Variable and fixed

  • Co-signer required?

    No

  • Offer student loan refinancing?

    Yes - click here for details

Terms apply.

Kotlikoff even suggests that it may also be a good time to start investing in a tax-advantaged 401(k) or Roth IRA retirement account because of the stock market pullback — putting many stocks at a discounted price. Tara Falcone, CFP and founder of investing app Reason, agrees, telling Select that it's a good idea to "take advantage of low entry points into certain stocks or other investments as the market adjusts to higher interest rates."

Cons of Fed raising rates

By raising interest rates, the Fed is signaling there are economic factors that aren't on course with their objectives. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated numerous times the goal is to bring inflation down to 2%, now from the current 8.6%.

Yet the con of raising interest rates is running the risk of sending the economy into a recession; it's a delicate dance. Experts from the World Economic Forum predict there's a strong chance for a recession in the next couple of years largely based on two factors: increases in unemployment and continuous high inflation. Bloomberg Economics models show the odds of a downturn by the start of 2024 at 72%.

How you can benefit

If you're worried about a potential recession, now's the time to make sure you have backup savings should any sudden event happen like a job layoff. As the Fed raises interest rates, banks are responding by paying out higher APYs to consumers. You can take advantage by putting any extra cash into a bank account with these increased savings rates. This way, you get some return on your savings to avoid the value of it dissolving from inflation.

A high-yield savings accountlike the Marcus by Goldman Sachs High Yield Online Savings currently offers a 4.50% APY, with no monthly fees and no minimum deposits.

Marcus by Goldman Sachs High Yield Online Savings

Goldman Sachs Bank USA is a Member FDIC.

  • Annual Percentage Yield (APY)

    4.40% APY

  • Minimum balance

    None

  • Monthly fee

    None

  • Maximum transactions

    At this time, there is no limit to the number of withdrawals or transfers you can make from your online savings account

  • Excessive transactions fee

    None

  • Overdraft fee

    None

  • Offer checking account?

    No

  • Offer ATM card?

    No

Terms apply.

Bottom line

There's no doubt that the Fed has a tough decision to make when raising interest rates to combat high inflation, as there are both pros and cons to doing so. Everyday consumers like you and I can benefit, however, by knowing what these upsides and risks are and altering our personal finances to take advantage as best we can.

Catch up on Select's in-depth coverage ofpersonal finance,tech and tools,wellnessand more, and follow us onFacebook,InstagramandTwitterto stay up to date.

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Editorial Note: Opinions, analyses, reviews or recommendations expressed in this article are those of the Select editorial staff’s alone, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any third party.

Pros and cons of Fed raising interest rates in today's economic conditions—and how you can benefit (2024)

FAQs

What are the pros and cons of raising interest rates? ›

This encourages consumer and business spending and investment and can boost stock prices. Lower rates can also lead to inflation, which undermines the effectiveness of low rates. Higher rates discourage spending and can depress company returns and, therefore, stock prices.

What is the benefit of the Fed raising interest rates? ›

When the Fed raises interest rates — which makes it more expensive for consumers and businesses to borrow money — its goal is to decrease demand and restore price stability.

What are the benefits of increasing interest rates? ›

Higher interest rates increase the return on savings. They also make the cost of borrowing more expensive. Higher interest rates help to slow down price rises (inflation). That's because they reduce how much is spent across the UK.

Who benefits from rising interest rates? ›

With profit margins that actually expand as rates climb, entities like banks, insurance companies, brokerage firms, and money managers generally benefit from higher interest rates. Central bank monetary policies and the Fed's reserver ratio requirements also impact banking sector performance.

What are the pros and cons of negative interest rates? ›

Negative rates fight deflation by making it more costly to hold onto money, incentivising spending. Theoretically, negative interest rates would make it less appealing to keep cash in the bank. But the big problem is instead of earning interest on savings, depositors could be charged a holding fee by the bank.

Why Fed should not raise interest rates? ›

By keeping interest rates low, the Fed can promote continued job creation that leads to tighter labor markets, higher wages, less discrimination, and better job opportunities —especially within those communities still struggling post-recession.

Does raising interest rates help? ›

A higher rate helps decrease inflation and a lower one helps it rise.

How to take advantage of rising interest rates? ›

While rates remain high, financial advisors suggest putting money in high-yield savings accounts and locking in the high rates for the longer term with CDs. Advisors also recommend investors reassess their stock portfolios, as some sectors do better in an environment of high interest rates.

Does the government benefit from higher interest rates? ›

As interest rates on U.S. Treasury securities rise, so too will the federal government's borrowing costs. The United States was able to borrow cheaply to respond to the pandemic because interest rates were historically low.

What are the advantages and disadvantages of high interest rates? ›

Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing, reduce disposable income and therefore limit the growth in consumer spending. Higher interest rates tend to reduce inflationary pressures and cause an appreciation in the exchange rate.

How can today's high interest rates be a disadvantage? ›

Interest Rates and The Stock Market

When interest rates rise it's also more expensive for businesses to borrow money. This often means less growth and lower profit expectations.

Is increasing interest rates effective? ›

By increasing borrowing costs, rising interest rates discourage consumer and business spending, especially on commonly financed big-ticket items such as housing and capital equipment.

Who benefits when the Fed raises rates? ›

Higher interest rates can make borrowing money more expensive for consumers and businesses, while also potentially making it harder to get approved for loans. On the positive side, higher interest rates can benefit savers as banks increase yields to attract more deposits.

What happens to the economy when interest rates rise? ›

A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity. This could potentially result in lower revenues and earnings for a corporation, which could be reflected in a lower stock price.

Who benefits and who is hurt when interest rates rise? ›

Who benefits and who is hurt when interest rates​ rise? Corporations with immediate capital construction needs are worse off. Households with little debt, saving a significant fraction of annual income for retirement, are better off. The federal government running persistent budget deficit is worse off.

What are the negative impacts of increasing interest rates? ›

Rising interest rates affects spending because the cost of borrowing money goes up. So, if you have a mortgage, any type of credit card or a loan, you could end up paying more for the money you originally borrowed. This will mean that you inevitably have less money to spend on goods and services.

What are the risks of rising interest rates? ›

Interest rate risk is the potential that a change in overall interest rates will reduce the value of a bond or other fixed-rate investment: As interest rates rise bond prices fall, and vice versa. This means that the market price of existing bonds drops to offset the more attractive rates of new bond issues.

Why are rising interest rates a problem? ›

A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity. This could potentially result in lower revenues and earnings for a corporation, which could be reflected in a lower stock price.

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