Real Estate - United States | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

Analyst Opinion

The Real Estate market in United States has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:

One of the main factors driving the growth in the Real Estate market in United States is the increasing demand for housing. With a growing population and a strong economy, more people are looking to buy homes or invest in real estate properties. Additionally, there has been a shift in customer preferences towards more sustainable and energy-efficient homes. Buyers are now looking for properties that are not only aesthetically pleasing but also environmentally friendly.

Trends in the market:

One of the major trends in the Real Estate market in United States is the rise of urbanization. More people are moving to cities, leading to an increased demand for housing in urban areas. This has resulted in the development of high-rise condominiums and apartment complexes in major cities. Additionally, there is a growing trend of mixed-use developments, where residential, commercial, and retail spaces are combined in a single project. Another trend in the Real Estate market in United States is the increasing popularity of real estate investment trusts (REITs). REITs allow individuals to invest in real estate properties without actually owning them. This has made real estate investment more accessible to a wider range of investors, leading to increased investment in the market.

Local special circ*mstances:

One of the unique aspects of the Real Estate market in United States is the presence of a diverse range of property types. From single-family homes to luxury condominiums, there is a wide variety of options available for buyers. This diversity in the market caters to different customer preferences and budgets. Another special circ*mstance in the Real Estate market in United States is the impact of government policies and regulations. The real estate industry is heavily regulated, with strict zoning laws and building codes. These regulations can have a significant impact on the development and pricing of properties.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:

The growth in the Real Estate market in United States can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. The strong economy and low unemployment rate have increased consumer confidence and purchasing power. Additionally, low interest rates have made borrowing more affordable, encouraging more people to invest in real estate. In conclusion, the Real Estate market in United States is experiencing growth and development due to increasing customer preferences for sustainable and energy-efficient homes, the rise of urbanization, the popularity of REITs, and the presence of diverse property types. The impact of government policies and regulations, as well as underlying macroeconomic factors such as a strong economy and low interest rates, also contribute to the growth of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of residential and commercial real estate, average real estate value, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data from international organizations and industry associations. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Real Estate - United States | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

FAQs

What is the forecast for housing market in US? ›

Our analysts increased their forecast for US home price appreciation to 4.5% this year and 4.4% in 2025, up from previous estimates of 4.2% and 3.2% respectively in April.

What is the current state of the US real estate market? ›

U.S. Housing Market Overview

The national average 30 year fixed rate mortgage rate is at 6.5% and down 0.57 points year over year.… The direction and pace at which home prices are changing are indicators of the strength of the housing market and. The median price of a home in the United States is currently $433,229.…

Is US real estate market slowing down? ›

'The market is slowing down'

“The market is slowing down. Homes are taking longer to sell and that allows inventory to accumulate on the market,” said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin. Yet despite the recent jump in supply, “we're still starved for inventory in the for-sale market,” said Divounguy.

What country has the best real estate market? ›

The 10 Best Real Estate Markets in the World
  1. United Kingdom. A Stable Economy and Strong Property Market. ...
  2. United States. Large, Diverse Market With Strong Economic Fundamentals. ...
  3. Germany. Europe's Largest Economy With Growing Cities. ...
  4. Japan. Abundant Opportunities in Major Cities. ...
  5. Malaysia. ...
  6. UAE. ...
  7. New Zealand. ...
  8. Canada.

Should I buy a house now or wait for a recession? ›

On one hand, buying now may offer advantages such as low interest rates and potential appreciation. On the other hand, waiting for a recession may present opportunities for lower prices and a buyer's market. It's crucial to weigh these pros and cons and assess your personal situation before making a final decision.

Will 2024 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

Where are house prices falling the most in the US? ›

Among America's 50 biggest cities, 20 show annual price declines since last year, and the metro with the steepest drop might surprise you: In Miami, the median home price plummeted 11.2% from a year earlier, to $439,000. Whether any of these softening prices will result in lower housing payments is unclear.

What state has the lowest real estate market? ›

This year, West Virginia has the cheapest homes in the country, with an average house price of $152,373. These low housing prices can be attributed to the state's rural way of life, low property taxes, and low state income tax, which helps keep land and housing prices affordable.

Will US housing ever be affordable again? ›

It could take until 2026 to see a 'normal' real estate market. To get affordability back to a comfortable range will take a combination of higher wages, lower interest rates and stable prices, economists say, and that combination may take until 2026 or later to coalesce.

Will US house prices go down in 2024? ›

California's median home price is forecast to climb 6.2 percent to $860,300 in 2024, following a projected 1.5 percent decrease to $810,000 in 2023 from 2022's $822,300. Housing affordability* is expected to remain flat at 17 percent next year from a projected 17 percent in 2023.

What is the market forecast for 2024? ›

As a whole, analysts are optimistic about the outlook for stock prices in 2024. The consensus analyst price target for the S&P 500 is 5,090, suggesting roughly 8.5% upside from current levels.

Which housing markets are cooling the fastest in 2024? ›

As of April 2024, Upstate New York and the Midwest are heating up fastest, with Rochester, NY, Lake County, IL, and Buffalo, NY leading the way. Florida's Gulf Coast is cooling down fastest, with North Port, Tampa, Cape Coral, and Orlando showing the largest decreases in demand.

What country owns the most US real estate? ›

China has now surpassed Canadian, European, and Mexican citizens to become the number one foreign stakeholders in U.S. real estate. They currently hold 16% of the international market in U.S. homes. Canadians are in second place with 14% of the market.

Where is the most overpriced real estate in the country? ›

Detroit's rise as the most overvalued housing market in the country is likely due to new household formation, said Ken H. Johnson, a real estate economist in FAU's College of Business.

What company owns the most real estate in the world? ›

Top 100 global real estate-owning companies
sortCompanyTotal assets ($bn)
1Evergrande Real Estate273.8
2Brookfield Asset Management256.3
3Country Garden Holdings237.4
4China Vanke222.6
96 more rows
Mar 10, 2020

Will housing prices drop in 2024 usa? ›

Most experts don't believe home prices will drop — though the pace of increases could start to slow in 2024 and 2025.

Should I sell now or wait until 2025? ›

In a recent note, Chief US Economist Michael Gapen and his team revealed that they expect home prices to rise by 4.5% this year and 5% in 2025. Gapen doesn't foresee the market cooling down until 2026 at the earliest. With this in mind, current homeowners can sell for even higher prices down the road.

What is the mortgage rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

The August Housing Forecast from Fannie Mae puts the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.4% by year-end, a slight decline from 6.6% in the third quarter. All told, the mortgage giant predicts mortgage rates will average 6.7% in 2024 and 6% in 2025.

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