Solving the Core Fixed Income Conundrum (2024)

May 18, 2023

Solving the Core Fixed Income Conundrum (1)

Solving the Fixed Income Core Conundrum Video

Anne Walsh explains the Guggenheim approach to solving the Core Fixed-Income Conundrum.

In the 2023edition of The Core Conundrum, Guggenheim’s investment team discusses why investors may find better value in fixed-income sectors that are underrepresented in the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index (the Agg), such as structured credit, below investment-grade corporate credit, floating-rate bonds, and municipal bonds.

Key Takeaways:

  • The Agg remains the preeminent performance benchmark for core fixed-income investors, but it is dominated by low-yielding government securities. Traditional return targets are impossible to achieve while staying close to the Agg.
  • At $26.8trillion, the Agg represents less than half of the total U.S. fixed-income universe, leaving out over $28 trillion of non-indexed securities.
  • For example, bank loans and short-duration products have performed well in periods of rising rates, and structured credit has provided compelling returns when investment-grade corporate bond spreads were too low to offset the risk side of the equation.
  • We believe actively managed portfolios have the best potential to harvest attractive risk adjusted returns.

Important Notices and Disclosures

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investments in fixed-income instruments are subject to the possibility that interest rates could rise, causing their values to decline. Investors in asset-backed securities, including collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.

This material is distributed or presented for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.

This material contains opinions of the author, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

© 2023Guggenheim Partners, LLC. All rights reserved. Guggenheim, Guggenheim Partners and Innovative Solutions. Enduring Values. are registered trademarks of Guggenheim Capital, LLC.

Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC an affiliate of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. For more information, visit guggenheiminvestments.com or call 800.345.7999.

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FEATURED PERSPECTIVES

February 22, 2024
First Quarter 2024 Fixed-Income Sector Views

Investing as the Fed prepares to cut rates.

February 20, 2024
Corporate Credit Quarterly Insights - February 2024

Market and portfolio update from our Corporate Credit team

January 29, 2024
Learning from Turning Points in Monetary Policy

The Case for Moving Into Higher-Quality Fixed Income (and Out of Money Markets and Equities) While the Fed Is Paused… and Ahead of Coming Rate Cuts.

VIDEOS AND PODCASTS

Solving the Core Fixed Income Conundrum (5)

Are Fixed-Income Investors Being Compensated for the Risks They Are Taking?

Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist for Guggenheim Investments, joins Asset TV’s Fixed Income Masterclass.

Are Fixed-Income Investors Being Compensated for the Risks They Are Taking?

Macro Markets Podcast Episode 48: Why We Like Structured Credit

Karthik Narayanan and Danny Gibbs give an overview of the structured credit market.

Macro Markets Podcast: Episode #48

Solving the Core Fixed Income Conundrum (7)

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Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

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This website is directed to and intended for use by citizens or residents of the United States of America only. The material provided on this website is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

Solving the Core Fixed Income Conundrum (2024)

FAQs

What is the core fixed income strategy? ›

The Core Fixed Income strategy employs a multi-sector total return approach, investing exclusively in investment grade securities.

What is the difference between core and core plus fixed income? ›

The core plus return profile is typically an 8%-12% annualized return with a similar level of cash flow as a core portfolio, 6% up to 8%. The rest of it is additional growth in the value of the portfolio's assets. Due to the higher risk compared to core, core plus investors have a higher expectation for returns.

What is a fixed income solution? ›

Fixed income is a type of investment security that pays a return to investors on a fixed schedule. At maturity, investors are repaid the principal amount they invested.

Why is fixed income so difficult? ›

The factors that affect the bond markets and interest rates are very complex. Economics, monetary and fiscal policy, business conditions, international trade, currency movements, and capital flows all affect market interest rates.

What is the bullet strategy in fixed-income? ›

As the name suggests, a bullet strategy involves purchasing bonds with a specific maturity target. For instance, an investor might focus exclusively on one-year bonds, or only invest in twenty-year maturities.

What is the fixed-income strategy? ›

Fixed-income investing is generally a conservative strategy where returns are generated from low-risk securities that pay predictable interest.

How do you calculate core income? ›

In short, to derive core earnings, non-core expenses that have been deducted as expenses in the income statement will be added back, and non-core earnings that have been recognised as income in the income statement will be deducted.

What is an example of a core income? ›

Examples include one-time gains from the sale of assets, gains in pension assets, unrealized gains from hedging activities, and proceeds from litigation or insurance settlements. S&P Core Earnings are often viewed as a more conservative measure of profitability than reported net income.

What are examples of core investments? ›

Core holdings are the central investments of a long-term portfolio so it's essential that they have a history of reliable service and consistent returns. An exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks an index fund or a group of blue-chip stocks are examples of core holdings.

What are the 4 C's fixed income? ›

The “4 Cs” of credit—capacity, collateral, covenants, and character—provide a useful framework for evaluating credit risk. Credit analysis focuses on an issuer's ability to generate cash flow.

What is the best fixed income investment? ›

US Treasury notes and bonds are considered the safest fixed-income investments because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government, which has never defaulted on its obligations.

Is fixed income a good investment now? ›

Look for rate-sensitive fixed income

While interest rate sensitivity may have pinched fixed income investors in 2021 and 2022 as inflation soared, fixed income is poised to earn healthy total returns this year. In general, prices rise as yields fall in fixed income.

What is core fixed income? ›

The Core Fixed Income Strategy is an investment grade bond portfolio that seeks to preserve capital and prudently improve returns. This strategy invests in U.S. Treasury, government-related, corporate and securitized sectors and offers broad exposure across the yield curve.

Can fixed income lose money? ›

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed-income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

Does fixed income do well in recession? ›

The short answer is bonds tend to be less volatile than stocks and often perform better during recessions than other financial assets.

What is a core real estate strategy? ›

Core Real Estate Definition

Investment properties that are considered stable and (relatively) low-risk. Hence, among the typical commercial real estate investing strategies, core real estate projects to the lowest risk (variance in outcomes) and lowest potential total return.

What is a core bond strategy? ›

Designed to deliver total return over a market cycle from a portfolio of investment grade intermediate and long-term bonds. Invests primarily in a diversified portfolio of U.S. Treasuries, U.S. Agencies, corporates, mortgage-backed securities, and asset-backed securities.

What is a core strategy in finance? ›

A core investment strategy is by definition low-risk. Core investors tend to take a very long-term approach toward real estate investment, viewing real estate as a bond-substitute with some diversification and inflation hedging characteristics.

What is the fixed-income strat of Morgan Stanley? ›

The Morgan Stanley Global Fixed Income Opportunities Strategy is a value-oriented fixed income strategy that seeks total return including a high level of current income by investing across the fixed income asset spectrum, inclusive of investment-grade and high-yield credit, convertible bonds, securitized assets ...

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