Startup Failure (2024)

Posted by Elizabeth Pollman (University of Pennsylvania), on

Friday, September 29, 2023

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Elizabeth Pollmanis Professor of Law and Co-Director of the Institute for Law and Economics at the University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School. This post is based on her recentpaper forthcoming in the Duke Law Journal. Related research from the Program on Corporate Governance includes What Matters in Corporate Governance? (discussed on the Forumhere) by Lucian Bebchuk, Alma Cohen and Allen Ferrell.

Venture-backed startups famously aim for “exit.” On the path to building great companies, entrepreneurs raise rounds of venture financing and assemble a team to develop an innovative product or service that can grow fast. Success for startups is often framed as reaching a liquidity event, or exit, that provides financial returns and rewards to the investors, founders, and employees. There are two main ways to do this: sell the company or go public. Each of the two paths to a successful exit—going public or an M&A sale—have been the subject of significant scholarly examination and public debate in recent years.

Most venture-backed startups, however, never reach either of these paths, or if they do it is in a state of distress. Approximately 75% of venture-backed startups fail – the number is difficult to measure, however, and by some estimates it is far greater. In general, a startup can be said to fail when it ultimately falls short of reaching an exit at a valuation that would provide a return to all equity holders. This can occur for a wide variety of reasons—such as running out of cash, problems in the team, shortcomings with product development or business model, getting outcompeted, a lack of market need, or changed circ*mstances. The participants may not expressly call this a “failure”—and indeed they may work mightily to find a “soft landing” that allows them to characterize it otherwise—but it is distinctly an end that is not a going-public transaction or M&A sale that results in returns to all equity holders.

This third and most common path—startup failure—receives little attention in the scholarly literature, yet it is a critical part of the startup and venture capital ecosystem. The ability of startups, and their participants, to fail efficiently and “with honor” helps sustain the system out of which also grows some of the largest successes in the history of U.S. business.

My forthcoming article, StartupFailure, provides a theory of the law and culture facilitating failure and argues that it serves an important role in the startup and venture capital ecosystem. A range of options exists and has not before been explored in the big picture—as a system for dealing with the large number of failed startups that our venture capital ecosystem produces.

Although a developed bankruptcy system is considered crucial to entrepreneurship and the business environment, venture-backed startups are unlikely to turn to the formal bankruptcy process. The article begins by explaining why a formal bankruptcy process does not fit the needs of most distressed venture-backedstartups and what we can learn from the rare exceptions.

Specifically, the typical capital structure of startups does not involve significant commercial liabilities that need to be satisfied. Further, venture-backed startups are, by their nature, melting ice cubes – the team’s talent and technological know-how, intellectual property or other intangible assets, and network effects of a growing enterprise can disappear quickly once it becomes known that the startup is in distress. Not only is the typical startup a melting ice cube, but it is also embedded in a network of reputational concerns and constraints in a venture capital ecosystem. Angel investors, venture capitalists, and venture lenders are all repeat players in venture investing and lending. Venture capitalists invest based on the “power law” that a small number of big hits may drive much of the returns for the fund. A long, drawn-out bankruptcy process is often the last thing that venture capitalists want to be involved in given opportunity costs and potential reputational harm. Particularly in a competitive environment for getting into startup deals, it is not worth squeezing the last dollar back from a startup. All of these reasons are in addition to cost and timing issues. Examples of startup bankruptcies ranging from Solyndra to FTX provide a study of the unusual exceptions that prove the rule: failed startups typically do not favor using the formal bankruptcy process.

What, then, happens to the great number of startups that are failing to achieve their founding dreams? A range of options exists and has not before been explored in the big picture—as a system for dealing with the large number of failed startups that our venture capital ecosystem produces. The alternatives to bankruptcy that venture-backed startups commonly use include M&A sales, acqui-hire transactions, and assignments for the benefit of creditors (ABCs). The low cost, speed, potential for private ordering, and light level of legal formality involved in these options allow venture-backed startup participants to “fail fast” and for assets and talent to be absorbed or redeployed without significant reputational harm.

Putting together the strong social and cultural norms in startup networks and the venture capital business model reveals the modus operandi of Silicon Valley’s approach to startup failures: normalize and redeploy. Entrepreneurs and employees often benefit from being able to take a swing and miss. Failure might result from a lack of luck or other factors beyond an entrepreneur’s control. Knowing that failing will not harm one’s ability to get a “regular” job or try again at entrepreneurship, so long as one aims to treat others well, may help to motivate the decision to launch an innovative startup or go work for one. In many instances, venture capitalists can provide implicit insurance to spread the risk of individual failure by being willing to make introductions to other portfolio companies, early-stage investors, and soft landing opportunities. More broadly, because buttressing entrepreneurs’ willingness to take on risk is integral to venture capital, it often redounds to a VC firm’s benefit to cultivate a reputation for supporting entrepreneurs in this way—whether in good times or in bad.

Notably, several developments are shifting the landscape of venture capital investing and suggest that the system may come under pressure to deal with the size, type, or number of failures. New entrants to venture-backed startup investing, longer timelines of staying private, higher valuations and amounts raised, and looming increased antitrust scrutiny of technology acquisitions all point to change that might test the adaptability of the existing law and culture of startup failure that aims to normalize and redeploy at low social and financial cost.

Therefore, in its final section, the Article sheds light on regulatory and doctrinal opportunities to advance the law’s approach to startup failure. For example, recent years have witnessed a number of legislative proposals and arguments to ratchet up antitrust scrutiny on acquisitions by large technology companies. Attention should be paid to calibrating regulatory responses so as not to impede the flow of dealing with large numbers of startup failures that do not pose significant competition issues. Likewise, state laws could promote efficiencies in dealing with failure by adding doctrinal clarity to challenging but commonplace scenarios that startup boards face in fulfilling their fiduciary duties, and spreading insights from California’s state insolvency procedures to growing startup hubs across the country.

The value of supporting failure often attracts less regulatory and scholarly attention than the shiny allure of success, but the two are entwined in the larger startup and venture capital ecosystem which funds high-risk innovative business and has enormous social and economic impact.

The article, forthcoming in the Duke Law Journal, is available here: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4535089.

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Startup Failure (2024)

FAQs

Is it true that 90% of startups fail? ›

Approximately 10% of startups fail within the first year. According to the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, the startup failure rate increases over time, and the most significant percentage of businesses that fail are younger than 10 years. Over the long run, 90% of startups fail.

What is the quote about startup failure? ›

Don't worry about failure; you only have to be right once.” -Drew Houston, Dropbox Co-Founder, and CEO. The essence of the quote lies in the idea that even if an entrepreneur faces multiple failures, achieving success just once can be enough to make a lasting impact and propel their venture forward.

Why do 95% of startups fail? ›

Key Takeaways

Business owners say they've failed because the money ran out, being in the wrong market, a lack of research, bad partnerships, ineffective marketing, and not being an industry expert. Ways to avoid failing include setting goals, accurate research, loving the work, and not quitting.

What is the number one reason startups fail? ›

Here's how they break down. The top 4 reasons startups fail include: Lack of financing or investors, running out of cash, lack of market demand or poor timing, and people problems.

How many startups survive 5 years? ›

16. Only 30% of startups will survive more than ten years
Years in businessPercentage (failed startups)
Year 120%
Year 230%
Year 550%
Year 1070%
Apr 13, 2024

At what stage do most startups fail? ›

About 90% of startups fail. 10% of startups fail within the first year. Across all industries, startup failure rates seem to be close to the same. Failure is most common for startups during years two through five, with 70% falling into this category.

What is the famous quote about failure? ›

'Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts. ' - Winston Churchill.

Is failure the key to success? ›

Failure allows us to see what went wrong and how we could make a new path to success by not making the same mistake again. Failure is inevitable and it can make us feel bad, but it also gives us the opportunity to clearly evaluate a situation and move beyond any regret.

Is it worse to fail at something or never attempt it in the first place? ›

Trying and failing may seem counterintuitive, but it's actually one of the most effective ways to learn, grow, and achieve success. Every successful person has faced failure at some point in their life, and the only reason they were able to succeed was that they never gave up.

Why do startups fail Tom Eisenmann's summary? ›

Brief summary

Why Startups Fail by Tom Eisenmann is a comprehensive guide to the common mistakes that lead to failure in early-stage startups. Using case studies and analysis, Eisenmann provides insights into how to avoid these pitfalls and increase the chances of success.

What happens to investors' money if a startup fails? ›

Investors form a partnership with the startups they choose to invest in – if the company turns a profit, investors make returns proportionate to their amount of equity in the startup; if the startup fails, the investors lose the money they've invested.

Why do most entrepreneurs fail? ›

Surveys of business owners suggest that poor market research, ineffective marketing, and not being an expert in the target industry were common pitfalls. Bad partnerships and insufficient capital are also big reasons why new companies fail.

What is the #1 mistake startups can make? ›

One of the biggest startup mistakes is poor cash flow management. About 82% of unsuccessful startups fail because they fail to properly manage their cash flow, or how much money is coming in and out of the business.

What happens to founders when startups fail? ›

Most failed startup founders start doing jobs at different established companies. At the same time, some may start a new startup. Working for a larger company can be a great way to hone their skills, learn from experienced professionals and take advantage of the resources that big companies have.

How do you know a startup is failing? ›

Though every startup is unique, there are common warning signs of potential failure. Here are key indicators to watch for: - Financial Trouble: Cash flow issues, high burn rate. - No Market Fit: Low customer adoption, negative feedback. - Team Problems: High turnover, communication issues.

Why do 90% of small businesses fail? ›

Many small businesses fail because they do not conduct thorough market research before launching. This oversight can result in misjudging the market size, customer needs, and competitive dynamics, leading to a product or service that does not meet market demands or differentiates itself sufficiently.

Do 95% of businesses fail? ›

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), approximately 20% of new businesses fail during the first two years of being open, 45% during the first five years, and 65% during the first 10 years. Only 25% of new businesses make it to 15 years or more.

Why do 90% of startups fail in India? ›

Lack of Market Demand: Failing to validate market needs leads to the demise of many startups. Recognizing and meeting consumer demands is pivotal for success. Financial Mismanagement: Insufficient funding and poor financial planning often lead to premature shutdowns.

Why 96 percent of businesses fail within 10 years? ›

The most common reasons you so often read about as to why small businesses fail are things like: poor management, the wrong products or services, cash flow issues, no business plan, a flawed business model or bad leadership skills, etc. And all these reasons certainly do lead to business failure.

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