Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (2024)

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (1)

Mortgage charges fall to six.74%

Mortgage charges ticked decrease for the the second-straight week, based on new knowledge from Freddie Mac.

Yahoo Finance’s Gabriella Cruz-Martinez experiences:

More owners raced to refinance this week as mortgage charges continued to drag away from 7%, however that window of alternative could shut quickly.

The common charge on the 30-year mounted mortgage fell to six.74% from 6.88% the week prior, based on Freddie Mac. Rates have now fallen almost 1 / 4 of a p.c in simply two weeks, a optimistic for rate-sensitive debtors on the sidelines.

The easing in charges gave some owners what they’ve lengthy been ready for: an opportunity to refinance, both to hunt a decrease mortgage fee or clear off different money owed. Still, with inflation nonetheless coming in hotter than anticipated this week, all indicators level to charges tilting greater within the weeks to come back.

“In the short-term, mortgage rates are probably not going to fall much further this month,” stated Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS. “But it is all relative. Rates are much lower than they were last fall when they hovered near 8%. Any downward trend in rates later this spring will bring more buyers—and sellers— into the market.”

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (2)

How each Biden and Trump obtained to ‘no’ on the US Steel-Nippon merger

President Joe Biden and Donald Trump are in settlement: US Steel’s $14 billion sale to Japanese big Nippon Steel shouldn’t go ahead.

Yahoo Finance’s Ben Werschkul experiences:

The sitting President made his views clear Thursday with an announcement from Biden saying “it’s critical” for the Pittsburgh metal maker “to stay an American metal firm that’s domestically owned and operated.”

Trump not too long ago promised to dam the merger “instantaneously” if he wins this November after avoiding touch upon the subject for weeks after it was introduced in December.

Former Treasury Sec. Steven Mnuchin says he is seeking to purchase TikTok

Former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is placing collectively a gaggle of buyers looking for to buy TikTok if the social media app’s father or mother firm ByteDance is compelled to promote it off.

Yahoo Finance’s Dan Howley experiences:

Mnuchin made the announcement throughout an look on CNBC’s Squawk Box Thursday.

“I perceive the expertise, it is an awesome business, and I’m going to place collectively a gaggle to purchase TikTok,” he stated.

While Mnuchin would not identify who he is working with to probably purchase the platform, he did say that it includes a mix of various buyers exterior of Big Tech companies.

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (4)

Trending tickers Thursday

Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft inventory was the #1 trending ticker on Yahoo Finance on Thursday. Shares of tech big hit a report excessive, rising greater than 2% to commerce simply above $426 per share.

Year up to now the inventory is up roughly 15%.

Robinhood (HOOD)

Shares of Robinhood Markets rose greater than 7% on Thursday after the brokerage platform posted robust development in belongings underneath custody for February, signaling inventory and crypto buying and selling momentum.

Assets underneath custody (AUC) elevated 16% in February from the earlier month to $118.7 billion.

Fisker (FSR)

Fisker inventory plunged greater than 50% on Thursday after The Wall Street Journal reported the EV startup is exploring the potential of chapter. The report comes two weeks after the corporate warned about “its ability to continue as a going concern” and introduced a 15% headcount discount.

Fed’s cautious method to chopping charges strengthened by new inflation studying

Fresh proof of sticky inflation launched Thursday will probably reinforce the Federal Reserve’s cautious method to charge cuts and will add to questions on whether or not rates of interest will stay elevated for longer than anticipated in 2024.

Yahoo Finance’s Jen Jennifer Schonberger experiences:

“Given the stickier than anticipated nature of inflation, it’s going to be very tough for the Fed to justify a near-term charge discount,” Stifel’s Lindsey Piegza informed Yahoo Finance Live Thursday. “Our base case is that the Fed holds off to the second half of the yr earlier than initiating a change in coverage.”

The new inflation studying Thursday got here from the Labor Department’s Producer Price Index, which tracks the costs businesses pay to fabricate services.

The index rose 0.6% from January to February, up from a 0.3% rise the earlier month. So-called “core” producer costs, excluding risky meals and vitality prices, had been up 0.3% month-over-month. The Fed watches core costs intently.

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (6)

Oil features on falling inventories, drone assaults on Russian refineries

Oil rose greater than 1% on Thursday, including to the prior session’s features amid falling inventories and continued drone assaults on Russian refineries.

On Tuesday, West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) hovered simply above $81 per barrel degree whereas Brent (BZ=F), the worldwide benchmark value, traded above $85 per barrel.

Data from the Energy Information Administration confirmed a drop in US crude inventories final week.

Escalating drone assaults on Russian refineries stemming from the Ukraine-Russia conflict over the previous few days have additionally impacted the oil markets.

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (7)

Stocks roll over on hotter than anticipated inflation print

Stocks opened greater however rapidly turned unfavorable in early buying and selling.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 0.3% whereas the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) additionally declined 0.4%, or about 100 factors. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) additionally slipped under the flatline.

Nvidia (NVDA) opened decrease for the second day in a row. Shares of the chipmaker, together with Tesla (TSLA), dragged shares decrease on Wednesday.

February’s Producer Price Index rose 0.6%, greater than an anticipated rise of 0.3%. Investors had been watching the print because the final main knowledge level forward of subsequent week’s key Federal Reserve coverage assembly.

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (8)

Stocks barely greater regardless of a warmer than anticipated inflation print

Stocks edged up on Thursday regardless of a hotter-than-expected wholesale inflation print.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.1%, whereas the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.3%, or over 100 factors. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) additionally gained 0.2%, rebounding from yesterday’s losses.

Nvidia (NVDA) opened decrease for the second day in a row. Shares of the chipmaker, together with Tesla (TSLA), dragged shares decrease on Wednesday.

February’s Producer Price Index rose 0.6%, greater than an anticipated improve of 0.3%. Investors had been eyeing the print amid expectations that Fed policymakers will reiterate their intention to chop charges someday this yr after subsequent week’s Fed assembly.

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (9)

Retail gross sales rebound

Retail gross sales rebounded in February after seeing their steepest decline in almost a yr through the month prior.

Retail gross sales rose 0.6% in February from the earlier month, based on Census Bureau knowledge. Economists had anticipated a 0.8% improve in spending, based on Bloomberg knowledge. January retail gross sales beforehand posted a shock 1.1% lower.

February gross sales, excluding auto and fuel, elevated by 0.3%, in keeping with estimates.

Stocks hunch after sizzling inflation print (2024)

FAQs

What happens to stocks after inflation? ›

Analysts suggest that the short-term dynamic is less favourable, and that the relationship between equity prices and inflation is (quite frequently) an inverse correlation – ie as inflation rises, stock prices fall, or as inflation falls, stock prices rise.

How inflation reading affect the stock market? ›

Does high inflation affect stocks? Yes. The higher the inflation, the more volatile the investing environment becomes. This means some stocks—especially growth stocks— tend to be worse off in inflationary environments, while staples, such as financial and utility stocks, have historically held up well.

Are stocks good against inflation? ›

Stocks are a good long-term vehicle for hedging against inflation, even if they may get hit by anxious investors in the short term as their worries rise. But not all stocks are equally good inflation hedges.

How does interest rate affect the stock market? ›

Cost of borrowing: Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing for companies, which can reduce their profits and future cash flows. Lower profits can lead to lower stock valuations and stock prices. Consumer spending: Higher interest rates can discourage consumer spending as borrowing becomes more expensive.

What are the worst investments during inflation? ›

Cash, fixed-rate bonds and certain types of stocks are generally seen as poor investment choices during high inflation.

Does the S&P 500 beat inflation? ›

The stock market will barely keep pace with inflation over the next decade. That's the implication of a valuation model based on the ratio of the S&P 500 SPX to the M2 money supply.

Is a high CPI good or bad for the stock market? ›

As inflation rises, indicated by an increasing CPI, it can lead investors to anticipate higher consumer goods and services prices in the future. This expectation can lead to adjustments in investment portfolios, potentially reducing stock market prices due to anticipated reduced purchasing power and demand​​.

Can you have inflation and recession at the same time? ›

In economics, stagflation (or recession-inflation) is a situation in which the inflation rate is high or increasing, the economic growth rate slows, and unemployment remains steadily high.

What is a good rate of inflation? ›

The Fed has stated on numerous occasions that its goal is an annual inflation rate of 2%.

What is the safest investment to beat inflation? ›

6 Inflation Investments for the Future
  • Equities. Equities generally offer a reliable haven during inflationary times. ...
  • Real Estate. Real estate is another tried-and-true inflationary hedge. ...
  • Commodities (Non-Gold) ...
  • Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) ...
  • Savings Bonds. ...
  • Gold.
Mar 1, 2024

What are the best assets to own during inflation? ›

Many investments have been historically viewed as hedges—or protection—against inflation. These include real estate, commodities, and certain types of stocks and bonds. Commodities include raw materials and agricultural products like oil, copper, cotton, soybeans, and orange juice.

What stocks to buy during high inflation? ›

Best Inflation Protection Stocks of July 2024
Company (TICKER)Yearly EPS Growth Estimate (5-Year Average)
AstraZeneca PLC (AZN)13.6%
Cencora, Inc. (COR)9.3%
Church & Dwight Company, Inc. (CHD)9.3%
Procter & Gamble Company (PG)7.9%
6 more rows
Jul 1, 2024

What stocks will go up when interest rates go down? ›

Cyclical stock sectors

The consumer discretionary, technology, real estate, and financial sectors have historically been especially likely to outperform the market when rates fall and earnings rise. Financial stocks look particularly appealing, due to how inexpensive they've recently been.

Will the stock market continue to rise? ›

As the midpoint of 2024 nears, the stock market forecast for the next six months still looks bullish, building on the same layers of support that have pepped up stocks all year.

Who benefits from high interest rates? ›

With profit margins that actually expand as rates climb, entities like banks, insurance companies, brokerage firms, and money managers generally benefit from higher interest rates. Central bank monetary policies and the Fed's reserver ratio requirements also impact banking sector performance.

How does inflation affect dividends? ›

Simply put, as more dollars are required to purchase a particular good or service, more dollars are paid for that particular good and services. Thus, more dividends should be passed along to the investor in a commensurate fashion, assuming that inflation is uniform and the payout ratio is consistent.

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