The Dow's road to 40,000 in one chart (2024)

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a milestone Thursday that seemed unfathomable a year ago.

The 30-stock benchmark broke above 40,000 for the first time. The move comes as investors cheer the prospects of artificial intelligence boosting corporate profits and the Federal Reserve possibly cutting rates later this year as inflation eases further from its pandemic highs.

It's been a long and winding road for the Dow to climb to these levels. Here's a look at the Dow's trajectory over the past 20,000 points.

The Dow first closed above 20,000 in early 2017, as investors began pricing in lower corporate taxes in the U.S. under former President Donald Trump. Those expectations were met toward the end of that year and also drove the Dow above 25,000 by January 2018.

However, the Dow struggled in 2018 after the excitement around lower taxes faded, with trade tensions between China and the U.S. rising and the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. The Dow finished the year down more than 5%.

In 2019, the stock market recovered as the Fed pivoted away from raising rates. By early 2020, the Dow was nearing 30,000 — reaching a high of 29,551.42 on Feb. 12, 2020.

Then came the Covid-19 pandemic. The Dow tumbled 38% from its February 2020 intraday peak to a low of 18,213.65 in March 2020.

Over the following months, the benchmark would recover as progress on Covid vaccine development ramped up and the Fed and lawmakers took unprecedented measures to support the economy. By November 2020, the Dow had closed above 30,000 for the first time.

The momentum from the Covid lows carried through to 2021, with the Dow breaking above 35,000. However, the good times wouldn't last for much longer, as a bear market knocked the Dow all the way down to 28,660.51 before it recovered. Since reaching that low, the Dow has surged 40%.

— CNBC's Gabriel Cortés contributed reporting.

The Dow's road to 40,000 in one chart (2024)

FAQs

Will Dow hit $40,000 in 2024? ›

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City on May 16, 2024, when the Dow hit 40,000 points for the first time ever. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 40,000 points on Thursday for the first time ever, signaling a strong endorsem*nt of the health of the U.S. economy.

What does it mean when the Dow hits $40,000? ›

Speaking broadly, the Dow hitting a milestone like 40,000 should mean your own well-diversified portfolio is thriving — probably not at the exact rate that the 30 stocks in the index are (unless you own a fund that tracks them), but just in aggregate.

How many times has the Dow been over $40,000? ›

"Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time." Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

What year was one of the Dow's worst losses? ›

19, 1987. The 1987 stock market crash, or Black Monday, is known for being the largest single-day percentage decline in U.S. stock market history. On Oct. 19, the Dow fell 22.6 percent, a shocking drop of 508 points.

Will the Dow ever hit $50,000? ›

On April 12, 1994, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 3,681.69. Over the trailing-30-year period, this widely followed index has increased at an annualized rate of 8.09%! If this superior rate of gains were to persist, the Dow could reach 50,000 before the calendar changes to 2028.

How high will the Dow be in 2025? ›

CoinPriceForecast. CoinPriceForecast analysts expect the Dow Jones to reach $41 693 by mid-2025. By the end of the year, the price will rise to $42 826.

Can the Dow reach $100,000? ›

James Demmert, chief investment officer at Main Street Research, said he believes the S&P 500 could trade at 15,000 or higher within seven to 10 years, while the Dow could rise to 100,000, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite could reach 50,000.

Will the stock market hit $40,000? ›

Here's Where Pros See Stocks Headed Next. It took seven years for the Dow Jones Industrial Average to move from 20,000 to 40,000, and it had to bounce back from an April slump to cross the finish line. The 30-component blue-chip index now joins the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 in making recent highs.

What is the highest Dow close ever? ›

Records
CategoryAll-time highs
Closing41,563.08Friday, August 30, 2024
Intraday41,585.21Friday, August 30, 2024

Has the Dow doubled in 4 years? ›

The Dow Jones Industrial average has doubled every 8.1 years, or 2,969 days, since 1983.

Is the stock market at its highest point ever? ›

Historically, the United States Stock Market Index reached an all time high of 5672.45 in July of 2024. United States Stock Market Index - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 14 of 2024.

When was the first time the Dow Jones closed over $40,000? ›

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 17. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the 40,000 mark Friday for the first time in its 139-year history. The blue-chip index initially crossed the key threshold early Thursday but ended that day lower.

Is the stock market going to crash in 2024? ›

While many experts are making predictions about whether the market will crash in 2024 or how severe the next downturn will be, it's impossible to say with certainty where stock prices will be in the short term. However, the market's long-term performance is all but guaranteed to be positive.

What is the highest stock day in history? ›

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) hit its record high on May 16, 2024, reaching 40,051.05 points during intraday trading. The Dow's all-time high at market close stands at 39,908.00, reached on May 15, 2024.

Has the Dow ever dropped 1,000 points in a day? ›

Dow plunges more than 1,000 points amid fears of U.S. economic slowdown. Stocks in the U.S. plunged for a third consecutive trading day, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbling more than 1,000 points amid growing fears of an economic downturn sparked by a slowdown in hiring and consumer spending.

How high will the Dow Jones go in 2024? ›

Dow Jones price prediction 2024: The Dow Jones price predictions range from 34,000 (-8.5%) to 45,000 (+20%), with most analysts saying more strength in '24 is likely. Earnings continue to surprise to the upside, and balance sheets for corporate America are in great shape.

Will Dow hit $35,000? ›

By November 2020, the Dow had closed above 30,000 for the first time. The momentum from the Covid lows carried through to 2021, with the Dow breaking above 35,000.

What is the Dow Jones on May 10 2024? ›

The S&P 500 rose 8.60 points, or 0.2%, to 5,222.68. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 125.08 points, or 0.3%, to 39,512.84. The Nasdaq composite fell 5.40 points, or less than 0.1%, to 16,340.87.

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