This bond market took off in 2020. And it’s all for a good cause | CNN Business (2024)

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Governments are borrowing vast sums of money to cushion the blow to their economies from the pandemic. That’s given social bonds — which fund projects that address social issues such as unemployment or access to healthcare — a chance to shine.

What’s happening: Social bonds have raised more than $163 billion this year, more than 10 times the $13 billion raised in 2019, according to a report from law firm Linklaters. The coronavirus pandemic has been the primary driver of the exponential growth in the asset class.

“Social bonds emerged as a useful tool in the fight against the pandemic by mitigating the socio-economic impact of the crisis,” said Linklaters capital markets partner Richard O’Callaghan.

The European Union was the largest issuer of social bonds, raising $47.3 billion across five deals. Other major fundraisers included the Asian Development Bank, as well as CADES and UNEDIC, bodies that manage France’s social security debt and unemployment insurance system respectively. The pair raised over $42 billion across 11 bonds.

Follow the money: At €17 billion ($20.8 billion), the European Commission’s inaugural Covid-related social bond will go towards its SURE program, which is helping EU member states pay the wages of millions of workers in order to protect jobs.

Investor appetite for these bonds has been enormous, as a growing number of asset managers incorporate environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations into their investment decisions.

The SURE transaction attracted more investor interest than any other bond in history, according to Linklaters, with demand reaching €233 billion ($285 billion) —- nearly 14 times the amount the Commission aimed to raise.

It’s not just governments getting in on the action. Citigroup raised $2.5 billion from a single debt sale in October to build affordable housing in the United States, the largest-ever social bond from a private sector player, according to the bank.

Social bonds take after their more established cousin: green bonds, which have existed for more than a decade and finance environmentally friendly projects combating pollution and climate change. These bonds raised $227.6 billion this year across more than 680 sales, a 21% increase on 2019, according to Linklaters.

Growing investor appetite for these assets is helping finance to take more of a leading role in supporting improved outcomes for people and the planet. But whether or not all this money actually does make the world a better place is difficult to assess.

See here: Even the European Union acknowledges that its ability to report on the impact made by funds allocated through the SURE program will depend largely on the “quality and granularity” of the information supplied by member states, over which it does not have full control.

“The very fact that ‘social impact bonds’ are now a serious (albeit still small) and seemingly permanent feature of the global capital markets means that the sector needs to get serious about defining what ‘social’ means and how best to measure it,” Professor David Kinley, the chair in human rights law at the University of Sydney told me. “It’s the outcome that we are ultimately interested in.”

Looking ahead: Whether or not they function as promised, social bonds are here to stay. The European Commission’s SURE program alone has scope to issue up to €100 billion ($123 billion) in social bonds.

And with the economic impact of the pandemic likely to linger, the problems these funds are meant to address won’t disappear anytime soon. “I don’t think we’re going to see a fall back to the same 2019 levels [in 2021],” O’Callaghan said.

Could companies make vaccines compulsory?

Coronavirus vaccines give businesses battered by the pandemic hope that 2021 will improve their bottom lines.

Companies that have lost billions of dollars in revenue or weathered increased costs related to coronavirus restrictions are understandably keen to get back to operating at full steam. To do that, some are considering requiring their employees to take Covid-19 vaccines.

Wait, what? Almost three quarters of business leaders signaled an openness to vaccine mandates in a poll held at a virtual summit on Tuesday by the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute, reports my CNN Business colleague Matt Egan.

The debate over vaccine mandates comes as health authorities seek to reassure the public about the safety of jabs, which are in the early stages of being rolled out in several major economies, including the United States and Britain, following emergency use authorization by health authorities.

Details, details: The question at the Yale Summit didn’t specify who the mandate would apply to and several CEOs indicated that they first wanted to see how early rounds of vaccinations go.

Still, making the vaccine a condition of employment could be controversial and will likely be met with legal challenge.

Alex Wong/Kevin Dietsch/Pool/Getty Images Related article Joe Biden's financial team could create a giant stock bubble

“There is some legal uncertainty whether you can mandate a vaccine under emergency use authorization,” said Dorit Reiss, a law professor at the University of California, Hastings. “I suspect some employers will go ahead and mandate. It will be challenged and the courts could go either way.”

Some firms may see a vaccine mandate as the best way to get their employees back onto factory floors or facing customers. David Gibbs, the CEO of Pizza Hut and Taco Bell owner Yum Brands, said at the Yale summit that it’s something his company will look into although no decision has yet been made.

Worth remembering: While employers have the right to set workplace health and safety conditions, companies might need to grant exemptions to employees on medical or religious grounds, according to Reiss.

Up Next

Monday: Tesla added to the S&P 500

Tuesday: CarMax earnings

Wednesday: US new home sales, consumer sentiment

Thursday: Initial jobless claims; US durable goods orders

Friday: USand European markets closed

This bond market took off in 2020. And it’s all for a good cause | CNN Business (2024)

FAQs

What caused the bond to sell off? ›

When the Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate, it can cause the bond market to crash. This happens because new bonds offer higher interest rates than previously issued bonds, and that pushes the prices of older bonds down in the secondary market. For bondholders, this is known as interest rate risk.

Why is the bond market doing well? ›

Economic conditions and changing monetary policy are combining to create an environment where high-quality, low-risk investment-grade bonds can deliver higher interest payments than they have in decades and more potential for capital appreciation than stocks or cash offer.

What happens to the bond market in a recession? ›

The short answer is bonds tend to be less volatile than stocks and often perform better during recessions than other financial assets.

When was the worst bond market? ›

Dan Lefkovitz: 2022 was termed by some as the worst bond market ever. We had double-digit losses for core bond indexes, and some advisors and investors concluded that the best way to own bonds is to skip bond funds and purchase individual credits and hold them to maturity instead.

Why am I losing money in the bond market? ›

Bonds are often touted as less risky than stocks—and for the most part, they are—but that does not mean you cannot lose money owning bonds. Bond prices decline when interest rates rise, when the issuer experiences a negative credit event, or as market liquidity dries up.

Are bond funds safe in a market crash? ›

Choosing a fund that invests in high-quality bond issues will help lower your risk. While corporate bond funds are riskier than funds that only hold government-issued bonds, they are still less risky than stock funds.

Is investing in the bond market good or bad? ›

Although they may not necessarily provide the biggest returns, bonds are considered a reliable investment tool. That's because they are known to provide regular income. But they are also considered to be a stable and sound way to invest your money. That doesn't mean they don't come with their own risks.

Is now a good time to buy bonds in 2024? ›

Investment-grade corporate bonds remain attractive given their lower risk and relatively high yields. Long-term investors who can handle volatility might consider high-yield bonds and preferred securities, but we wouldn't suggest large positions in either.

Is it a good time to buy bonds right now? ›

Is now a good time to buy bonds? Many investors have been reluctant to hold bonds for years due to the low interest rate environment, but that should no longer be the case, says Collin Martin, fixed income strategist at Charles Schwab.

How do I protect my 401k during a recession? ›

How to help protect your 401(k) from a stock market downturn
  1. Diversification and asset allocation. ...
  2. Rebalance your portfolio. ...
  3. Keep contributing to your 401(k) ...
  4. Stay calm and disciplined.

What is the best asset class for a recession? ›

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Cash equivalents include short-term, highly liquid assets with minimal risk, such as Treasury bills, money market funds and certificates of deposit. Money market funds and high-yield savings are also places to salt away cash in a downturn.

Should you hold bonds in a recession? ›

In a recession, investors often turn to bonds, particularly government bonds, as safer investments. The shift from stocks to bonds can increase bond prices, reduce portfolio volatility, and provide a predictable income. However, drawbacks include lower yield potential, default risks, and interest rate risks.

Should I sell bonds when interest rates rise? ›

If you sell your bonds as soon as someone hints at the word "hike," you may be jumping the gun. When the market consensus is that a rate increase is right around the corner, it's time to sell and reinvest the proceeds in higher-paying bonds. One caveat applies to short-term holdings or those that are near maturity.

Why is bond market collapsing? ›

What causes bond prices to fall? Bond prices move in inverse fashion to interest rates, reflecting an important bond investing consideration known as interest rate risk. If bond yields decline, the value of bonds already on the market move higher. If bond yields rise, existing bonds lose value.

What is the riskiest bond to invest in? ›

Credit risk: This is the risk that your bond issuer will be unable to make its payments on time -- or at all -- and it depends on the type of bond you own and the borrower's financial health. U.S. Treasuries are considered to have virtually no credit risk, junk bonds the highest.

What causes a bond to sell at a discount? ›

Discounts also occur when the bond supply exceeds demand when the bond's credit rating is lowered, or when the perceived risk of default increases. Conversely, falling interest rates or an improved credit rating may cause a bond to trade at a premium.

What causes bonds to drop in value? ›

Bonds have an inverse relationship to interest rates. When interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice-versa.

What causes a bond to go down? ›

The issuer's financial stability

Investors push the bond's price lower to account for the increased riskiness of the issuer and the likelihood that the issuer can repay only a portion of the bond.

Why did bond funds drop so much? ›

Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall. Bonds with longer maturities tend to be more sensitive to changes in interest rates. Issuer risk is the risk that the value of a security may decline for reasons specific to the issuer, such as changes in its financial condition.

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