Understanding Risk | #VizRisk: Understanding and communicating disaster risk (2024)

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Understanding Risk | #VizRisk: Understanding and communicating disaster risk (1)

Risk can be hard to see in the world around us. Sometimes it might look like a wobbly ladder or ice on the sidewalk. When it comes to disasters, risk is often invisible on a day-to-day basis. Walking around the neighborhood, it’s hard for the untrained eye to see where a flood might happen, or identify what could get damaged during an earthquake.

Risk is a combination of three components: hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Data from each of these categories can be used to paint a picture of risk in a certain location and over time.

Understanding Risk | #VizRisk: Understanding and communicating disaster risk (2)

Hazard – a potentially destructive physical phenomenon (e.g., an earthquake, a windstorm, a flood). Common natural hazards include floods, volcanic eruptions,, hurricanes, drought, tsunami, landslides, and more.

Exposure – the location, attributes, and value of assets that are important to communities (people, buildings, factories, farmland, etc.) and that could be affected by a hazard.

Vulnerability – the likelihood that assets will be damaged/destroyed/affected when exposed to a hazard. For example, a building with multiple floors may be more vulnerable to shaking from an earthquake and more likely to collapse than a one-story building. Another example, an elderly person may be more vulnerable to the impacts of flooding because s/he has a harder time evacuating or moving quickly.

Examples of risk data

Understanding Risk | #VizRisk: Understanding and communicating disaster risk (3)

This graphic illustrates many of the types of datasets used to determine risk, many of which are geospatial and can be represented on a map. In many places around the world, these datasets do not exist, are not accessible, are incomplete, or are outdated, which makes them less valuable. GFDRR works with many countries to improve the quality, completeness, and access to open risk data.

Risk information is the foundation for good disaster risk management, which is how communities and governments protect people and property from natural hazards. Risk information helps tell the story of what, when, and where a disaster might happen, how severe it could be, and who would be most affected. If we don’t understand risk, we can’t manage it.

But it’s not enough to have the data. The data must be used and communicated in a way that allows decision makers — whether they be an individual member of the public, a government official, or anyone in between — to understand the science and risk information, and act upon it.

As an example, city planners have to understand risk, or else they could accidentally make decisions that increase risk and place more people in harm’s way. This can happen when housing developers are allowed to build in floodplains, or when building codes are not enforced. That’s where risk communication becomes vital. If we can illustrate how a piece of land that seems safe today might not be in a few years, we can keep more people’s homes out of high risk areas.

Historically, the world has suffered immense losses from disasters and spent a lot of money on response, recovery and rebuilding. But what if we didn’t lose so much every time an earthquake or hurricane hits? Communicating risk makes this possible. We know that one dollar spent on disaster mitigation is worth about $6 in response. So it really pays off to understand risk.

Visualizations are an excellent way to communicate information in an engaging, understandable, and accessible way. This is especially true for disaster risk data. Visualizing risk (in a way that’s relevant to your audience) can help people see their cities and communities as they never have before.

Now that you know what risk data are, where can you find them? We recommend starting with these open databases and tools:

  • ThinkHazard.org is a starting point for understanding natural hazards in a location. Search for almost any location in the world and see a ranking of hazards, and download the underlying data.
  • OpenDRI Index of open datasets for risk that have global coverage.
  • GFDRR Labs GeoNode hosts all the data represented in ThinkHazard!
  • HOTOSM Export tool or Overpass Turbo for downloading OpenStreetMap data, including building footprints and characteristics, road networks, areas of interest, and more.
  • Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX) – search by location or specific disaster event (such as Cyclone Idai) to find a compilation of humanitarian data.
  • World Bank Data for socioeconomic information worldwide.
  • Index of all known GeoNode databases.

So, are you up for the challenge? Your data storytelling and interactive maps could help people understand when, where, and how natural hazards might impact a location, encouraging them to learn more and reducing future losses.

Further reading on understanding risk and risk communication:

Understanding Risk |   #VizRisk: Understanding and communicating disaster risk (2024)

FAQs

What is your understanding about disaster risk? ›

Disaster risk is the consequence of the interaction between a hazard and the characteristics that make people and places vulnerable and exposed. Disaster risk is expressed as the likelihood of loss of life, injury or destruction and damage from a disaster in a given period of time.

What is the disaster risk equation? ›

The traditional disaster risk formula (R=H x V) applies in a relatively uncomplicated way in these cases, with the risk (R) of a building's collapse being the function of the magnitude and location of the hazard (H) and the vulnerability (V), or structural integrity, of the building.

Why is it important to understand the risk factors associated with disasters? ›

By understanding and managing risk, we can achieve major reductions in disaster losses. For instance, by strengthening their capacities to absorb and recover from disasters, several countries across the world have reduced mortality risk associated with flooding and tropical cyclones.

What is disaster risk communication? ›

Risk communication is the real-time exchange of information, advice and opinions between experts or officials and people who face a hazard or threat to their survival, health, or economic or social wellbeing.

What is an example of a disaster risk? ›

When a hazard event (such as a drought, flood, cyclone, earthquake or tsunami) occurs, triggering a loss of life and damage to infrastructure, it highlights the reality that society and its assets are vulnerable to such events.

What are the 4 types of disaster risk management? ›

Emergency managers think of disasters as recurring events with four phases: Mitigation, Preparedness, Response, and Recovery.

What is the basic formula for risk? ›

Risk is the combination of the probability of an event and its consequence. In general, this can be explained as: Risk = Likelihood × Impact. In particular, IT risk is the business risk associated with the use, ownership, operation, involvement, influence and adoption of IT within an enterprise.

What are the 3 types of disasters? ›

Disasters are classified into natural disasters, man-made disasters, and hybrid disasters. Man-made disasters are classified into technological disasters, transportation accidents, public places failure, and production failure.

What are the 4 main types of vulnerability? ›

Types of vulnerability include social, cognitive, environmental, emotional or military.

What is the difference between a disaster and a disaster risk? ›

Annotation: The definition of disaster risk reflects the concept of hazardous events and disasters as the outcome of continuously present conditions of risk. Disaster risk comprises different types of potential losses which are often difficult to quantify.

How is disaster risk measured? ›

Annotation: Disaster risk assessments include: the identification of hazards; a review of the technical characteristics of hazards such as their location, intensity, frequency and probability; the analysis of exposure and vulnerability, including the physical, social, health, environmental and economic dimensions; and ...

Why is it important to study disaster risk? ›

Natural hazards (such as extreme weather, wildfires or earthquakes) may be inevitable, but disasters – with loss of life and high economic costs – are not. This is why disaster risk reduction is important. It lowers the probability that a hazard or man-made event has disastrous consequences.

How do we communicate risk? ›

To effectively communicate risks to relevant stakeholders in your business, it's essential to know the following principles:
  1. Know the Audience. ...
  2. Keep It Simple. ...
  3. Be Clear with Your Message. ...
  4. Be Honest. ...
  5. Listen to Your Audience. ...
  6. Communicate the Risk. ...
  7. Monitor the Results of Your Risk Communication Campaign.
May 4, 2024

What are the three goals of risk communication? ›

The three main goals of risk communication are to create trust and credibility, to educate your public, and to involve them in the decision-making process.

What is the best communication during a disaster? ›

Two-way radios: Two-way radios provide extremely reliable communication when all other methods have failed, and form the backbone of disaster communication by public safety agencies. Most two-way radios work by communicating directly with other radios within range.

What is disaster in your own understanding? ›

Disasters are serious disruptions to the functioning of a community that exceed its capacity to cope using its own resources. Disasters can be caused by natural, man-made and technological hazards, as well as various factors that influence the exposure and vulnerability of a community.

What is the definition of risk and disaster? ›

that which is affected by natural disasters, such as people and property. In general, “risk” is defined as the. expectation value of losses (deaths, injuries, property, etc.) that would be caused by a hazard.

How do you identify disaster risk? ›

Annotation: Disaster risk assessments include: the identification of hazards; a review of the technical characteristics of hazards such as their location, intensity, frequency and probability; the analysis of exposure and vulnerability, including the physical, social, health, environmental and economic dimensions; and ...

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