Volatility (2024)

Anyone who follows the stock market knows that some days market indexes and stock prices move up and other days they move down. This is called volatility. The more dramatic the swings, the higher the level of volatility—and potential risk.

Volatility can spark different reactions in different types of investors. Buy-and-hold investors—those who invest for the long-term—tend to treat volatility like background noise. The ups and downs of markets and individual securities hum in the backseat, while the long-term investor focuses down the road on incremental growth over years, or even decades.

For investors who need short-term liquidity—for example, to purchase a house or a car—volatility can be a liability and source of anxiety. Those who cannot bear the thought of—or cannot afford—locking in losses due to price drops can explore less volatile alternatives that help safeguard funds when they need them. Diversification is one way to manage volatility, and the anxiety that can come with it.

On the other hand, day traders and options traders tend to focus intently on volatility that occurs over much shorter periods of time, a few days or even mere seconds. Their goal is to profit from volatility using a variety of strategies.

There are also complex exchange-traded products that are linked to volatility.

Beta Basics

When it comes to individual stocks, a common measure of volatility relative to the broader market is known as the stock's beta. This number compares the movements of an individual security against those of a benchmark index, which is assigned a beta of 1.

For example, a stock with a beta value of 1.2 has historically moved 120 percent for every 100 percent move in a benchmark index, such as the S&P 500. In other words, it's more volatile than the broader market index. On the other hand, a stock with a beta of .85 has historically been less volatile than the underlying index. “Growth stocks” generally have a higher beta (are more volatile) than “value stocks”—those of larger, more established companies.

Higher beta comes with higher risk but the potential for higher returns. Lower beta, and the reduced risk that comes with it, means reduced potential for short-term return since the stock price is unlikely to increase very much in that time frame. Read more about risks.

Manage Risk—and Emotion

Volatile markets have become more common in recent years. When markets fall sharply, it’s easy to react on impulse, selling off your stock investments or dramatically changing the allocation of your portfolio.

Turbulent markets tend to be a good time to talk to your investment professional. And to consider the broader consequences of any action you are considering. Ask yourself: How does the action I take in the moment impact my portfolio in the future? What are the tax consequences? How would this action impact my long-terminvestment goals?

When stock market volatility is high, manage your overall financial condition by focusing on the following:

  • Set clear, prioritized goals. This will help guide your investment approach, regardless of market conditions.
  • Stay diversified across, and within, the major asset classes, keeping in mind that all investments fluctuate in price.
  • Take advantage of day-to-day opportunities to build your finances: Pay your credit-card debt on time and in full, keep your eye on other financial objectives such as saving for a home or vacation, and maintain an emergency fund.
  • Be on fraud alert. In times of high market volatility, investors may be especially vulnerable to financial scammers touting guarantees of "risk-free" returns. Reduce your risk of fraud by working only with registered investment professionals—using FINRA BrokerCheck to find out if a person is registered to sell securities—and by following your financial plan.

Learn more about key investing topics.

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Volatility (2024)

FAQs

How is volatility calculated? ›

1.1 Calculation of historical volatility. Volatility is calculated by taking the standard deviation of continuously compounded historical returns on underlying stock prices (adjusted to remove shifts on ex-dividend dates) and then annualizing the result.

Do you want high or low volatility? ›

Many day traders like high-volatility stocks since there are more opportunities for large swings to enter and exit over relatively short periods of time. Long-term buy-and-hold investors, however, often prefer low volatility where there are incremental, steady gains over time.

How do you explain volatility? ›

What is volatility? Volatility is the rate at which the price of a stock increases or decreases over a particular period. Higher stock price volatility often means higher risk and helps an investor to estimate the fluctuations that may happen in the future.

How do you get rid of volatility? ›

The first and most crucial tactic is to adhere to your investing strategy. Having a long-term plan based on your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon is necessary. Remember that market volatility is a distinctive aspect of investing and is not a cause to give up on your investment strategy.

Is volatility good or bad? ›

Whether volatility is good or bad depends on what kind of trader you are and what your risk appetite is. For long-term investors, volatility can spell trouble, but for day traders and options traders, volatility often equals trading opportunities.

What is the formula for volatility ratio? ›

VR = TTR/ATR

Here, VR stands for Volatility Ratio. TTR stands for Today's True Range, which is calculated by subtracting the maximum price from the minimum price. The maximum price is the highest price of the current trading day minus the closing price of the previous trading day.

What is the formula for daily volatility? ›

The formula for daily volatility is computed by finding out the square root of the variance of a daily stock price. Further, the annualized volatility formula is calculated by multiplying the daily volatility by a square root of 252.

What is the formula for volatility in Excel? ›

Find the daily standard deviation — daily volatility — of the sample by using the STDEV. S function. Type "=STDEV. S(D4 : D12)" in cell D13 to find the daily volatility of the S&P 500 within the sample data.

What is a good amount of volatility? ›

How Much Market Volatility Is Normal? Markets frequently encounter periods of heightened volatility. As an investor, you should plan on seeing volatility of about 15% from average returns during a given year.

What volatility is too high? ›

With stocks, it's a measure of how much its price changes in a given period of time. When a stock that normally trades in a 1% range of its price on a daily basis suddenly trades 2-3% of its price, it's considered to be experiencing “high volatility.”

What is normal volatility? ›

Volatility averages around 15%, is often within a range of 10-20%, and rises and falls over time. More recently, volatility has risen off historical lows, but has not spiked outside of the normal range.

What is the rule of 16? ›

According to the rule of 16, if the VIX is trading at 16, then the SPX is estimated to see average daily moves up or down of 1% (because 16/16 = 1). If the VIX is at 24, the daily moves might be around 1.5%, and at 32, the rule of 16 says the SPX might see 2% daily moves.

How do you analyze volatility? ›

Volatility analysis works by looking at historical price data over a period of time. Statistical techniques like standard deviation are used to quantify volatility. The more prices deviate from the average, the higher the volatility. Charts like candlesticks also visually show volatility.

What is the best way to deal with volatility? ›

Strategies for dealing with market volatility
  1. Invest regularly — in good and bad times. ...
  2. Avoid jumping in and out of the market. ...
  3. Maintain a diversified portfolio. ...
  4. Don't forget history. ...
  5. Talk with your financial professional.

How can we overcome volatility problem? ›

Here are the top 5 ways one can tackle volatility in stock market
  1. Asset allocation: This is one of the famous strategies every investor must learn to balance out the fluctuation of the equity market. ...
  2. Rebalancing: ...
  3. Diversification: ...
  4. Constant Rupee plan: ...
  5. Position Size and Stop loss:
Apr 10, 2024

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