What Can High Open Interest Indicate About Options? (2024)

Insights

Open interest—the measure of active contracts in a derivatives market—is a useful tool for determining investor interest in an option and for assessing liquidity. On its own, however, open interest cannot predict price action. When paired with other measures like volume and the price of the underlying asset, open interest can be used to understand trends in the options market.

What is Open Interest?

Open interest is a measure unique to the derivatives market. Equities inherently lacks open interest since the number of outstanding shares for a security is generally fixed. With options or futures, the number of available contracts in a market changes daily because new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Open interest reflects these daily shifts. The Options Clearing Corporation reports a tally of all open contracts left at the end of a trading day and provides that information the next morning—the figure is not adjusted during the trading day.

Open interest equals the total number of active, open contracts—it is not a sum of each transaction by every buyer and seller nor does it represent trades executed. Those statistics are instead encompassed in the trading volume metric. Open interest increases when a buyer or seller opens a new contract and decreases when a buyer and seller match and close their positions. If there is a greater volume of options marked “to open” than “to close,” open interest increases and vice versa for decreases.

Indications from High Open Interest

On its own, high open interest simply indicates that the current market trend driving the underlying price is strong or, in other words, that there is investor confidence that the trend will continue. These trends can be bullish or bearish, high open interest just tells you that they trends will likely continue. Open interest does not delineate interest for long or short positions. When analyzed alongside trading volume, high open interest can imply greater liquidity in an option.

Open Interest and Underlying Price

To derive more nuanced information about market movement from open interest, compare it to the price of the stock underlying the option. As the price of the underlying security is increasing, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, new long positions are being taken, and the market is decidedly bullish. If the price of the underlying is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is an indicator that the bearish trend will continue, and traders may respond by taking short positions.

Decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the strength of the bullish trend. The market top may be approaching and with it, a reversal in sentiment. Likewise, low open interest during a bear market indicates uncertainty and that the market bottom may be approaching. Generally, periods of low open interest are a holding period in which investors are trying to predict where the market will go before deciding on new strategies.

Market tops and bottoms typically coincide with slowing or low open interest as opening new contracts can be risky at these points of trend reversal.

Table 1. Open Interest and Market Trends. “ – ” indicates no change.

Open InterestPrice of Underlying AssetMarket TrendTrend Strength
BullishStrong
BearishStrong
BearishWeak
BullishWeak
Impending BottomStrengthening
Impending TopWeakening

Can Open Interest Help Options Traders Save with the SIP?

In equities trading, there is a general consensus that SIP feeds, like the UTP and CTA‘s feeds, are not enough for many traders seeking greater market insight to trade more profitably or to achieve best execution. This sentiment exists because traders lacking market depth have difficulty forecasting short-term market movement.

However, unlike in equities trading, options traders can project movements in the market by using open interest and the BBO on the Options Price Reporting Authority (OPRA) feed. With lower market data fees, the SIP feed becomes a viable and more cost-effective alternative for options traders.

Open interest along with price and trading volume provides insight into market trends—without requiring visibility to full market depth. In this way, options trading firms can reduce costs by only accessing the SIP and forgoing pricier, depth feeds. By using the OPRA feed and analyzing open interest, options traders can cut down on market data costs while still trading competitively.

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What Can High Open Interest Indicate About Options? (2024)

FAQs

What Can High Open Interest Indicate About Options? ›

On its own, high open interest simply indicates that the current market trend driving the underlying price is strong or, in other words, that there is investor confidence that the trend will continue. These trends can be bullish or bearish, high open interest just tells you that they trends will likely continue.

What happens if open interest is high? ›

When open interest increases, it usually means new money is coming into the market for that option. As long as this is happening, the current trend will continue. When open interest decreases, it is usually a sign that the market is liquidating and more investors are leaving.

What does oi indicate in option chain? ›

Open Interest (OI) is a number that tells you how many futures (or Options) contracts are currently outstanding (open) in the market. Remember that there are always 2 sides to a trade – a buyer and a seller.

How to analyse open interest in options? ›

If the buyer or seller passes on their position to a fresh seller or buyer, then the open interest does not change. If the OI has increased, it means that the market is seeing an infusion of money. If the OI is down, it means that the current price trend is nearing its end.

What does open interest indicate in futures market? ›

Open interest is the total number of futures contracts held by market participants at the end of the trading day. It is used as an indicator to determine market sentiment and the strength behind price trends.

Is it good to buy options with high open interest? ›

Liquidity indicator: A higher open interest reveals there's more liquidity for the options contract. This liquidity makes it easier for traders to enter or exit positions at fair market prices.

Is high open interest bullish or bearish? ›

An increase in open interest suggests new money entering the market, indicating potential bullish trends, while a decrease suggests money is flowing out, indicating potential bearish trends. Confirm trends with volume: Combining open interest with trading volume helps confirm trends.

What does increase in OI indicate? ›

If the OI has increased, it indicates that new money is entering the market.

How to predict market direction using option chain? ›

How to predict market using option chain? While not foolproof, option chains offer insights into market sentiment through implied volatility and open interest. High implied volatility suggests expected price swings, while option volumes can indicate potential support or resistance levels.

How to understand option chain analysis? ›

Understanding Option Chain Analysis

You can know the open interest, type (call or put), strike price, premium, and other details for each contract in the option chain. Option chain analysis indicates viewing and interpreting the list of available contracts to make informed decisions.

What does it mean when there is a lot of open interest in options? ›

On its own, high open interest simply indicates that the current market trend driving the underlying price is strong or, in other words, that there is investor confidence that the trend will continue. These trends can be bullish or bearish, high open interest just tells you that they trends will likely continue.

What does a high call oi mean? ›

A substantial increase in open interest for a call option at a specific strike price indicates a noteworthy accumulation of interest among market participants. This surge in open interest suggests a potential resistance level at that strike price.

How to know if the market is bullish or bearish? ›

Key takeaways:
  1. A bullish market is characterised by upward momentum, rising prices, and optimism, while a bearish market sees downward momentum, falling prices, and pessimism. ...
  2. In a bullish market, traders should look to buy low and sell high – identifying upward trends and entering long positions.
Feb 14, 2024

Is open interest a leading indicator? ›

Open interest serves as a reliable indicator of market activity. Low open interest suggests a lack of open positions or that most positions have been closed, signifying reduced interest in a particular contract.

What is the difference between OI and change in OI? ›

The open interest is computed by summing all contracts that have been purchased or sold but have not yet been offset or expired. Change in Open interest is the difference between the current day's open interest and the prior trading session's open interest.

What is max pain in options? ›

Max pain, or the max pain price, is the strike price with the most open contract puts and calls and the price at which the stock would cause financial losses for the largest number of option holders at expiration.

What does it mean when open interest is higher than volume on options? ›

What Does a High Open Interest Mean? An elevated open interest shows that a large number of traders have taken active positions in an options or futures contract. 8 If open interest increases over time, this means that new traders are entering positions and money is likely entering the market.

What happens if interest is too high? ›

When interest rates are rising, both businesses and consumers will cut back on spending. This will cause earnings to fall and stock prices to drop. On the other hand, when interest rates have fallen significantly, consumers and businesses will increase spending, causing stock prices to rise.

What happens when open interest decreases and price increases? ›

Case 3: If price increases and open interest decreases

This is a case of Short Covering which is explained by the reduction in open interest. Existing holders are taking their profits and exiting their positions in the market. Most likely, it is shorts that are being covered.

Can open interest go down? ›

Open interest can both increase and decrease as buyers (holders) and sellers (writers) open and close positions. But let's dig a little deeper into some examples of when open interest can change: When traders close out more positions than were opened on a given day, open interest decreases.

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