What Retirees Should Do When a Bear Market Hits - SmartAsset (2024)

What Retirees Should Do When a Bear Market Hits - SmartAsset (1)

With millions of Americans depending on401(k) and IRAassets for their retirement income, a market downturn can wipe out decades of investment in a single go. And while young workers at least have the time to rebuild their savings after a bear market, it can be a disaster for people on the verge of retirement who were planning on living off the assets in their portfolios.

It doesn’t have to be, though. With proper management, retiring into a bear market does not have to define your financial future. If this is you, consider taking these few basic steps.

A financial advisor can help you create a financial plan for your investment needs and goals.

Avoid Selling Stocks

Whatever you do, try to avoid selling equities.

During a bear market, an investor could be forgiven for believing that these declines were irreversible. It would be understandable to want to liquidate stocks and keep whatever you can.

But from mid-March until June 1, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had almost returned to its mid-February high. It gave up some of those gains during June, but by mid-July the Dow had resumed climbing and was only about four percentage points shy of its June 1 closing. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite set an all-time record high on July 9.

Similar rebounds occurred in the past. By 2013 the stock market had recovered all of the value lost four years earlier to the Great Recession.Investors who held their positions generally recovered all of their losses and then some.By contrast, investors who sell during a market downturn miss the chance to participate in a subsequent recovery. Not only that, but you will have to sell more stock to net the same amount of money, reducing the value of your portfolio further.

If at all possible, do not sell equities.

Adjust Spending

This may seem obvious, but it can be very useful to adjust your spending in the near term.

According to one analysis by T. Rowe Price, withdrawing no more than approximately 4% of your retirement account per year can help it survive a bear market. This is, of course, a variable amount. You will need to judge based on your own needs and the state of the market. However, this is a good place to start, and if you can reduce your spending and lifestyle needs to meet a withdrawal rate of 4% or less, it can help your portfolio weather the storm.

Spend Stable Assets, Protect Income-Generating Assets

By the time you enter retirement, your portfolio should be heavily weighted toward stable assets such as cash, bonds and income-generating investments. Typically, financial advisors recommend that your portfolio be weighted with approximately 50% to 60% stable assets and 40% to 50% equities at this point. Some particularly conservative financial advisors recommend up to 70% stable assets, but at some point too much of a portfolio devoted to income generation could weaken your investment’s ability to grow enough to keep up with your needs.

During a bear market, these are the first assets you should draw down on. In particular, a market downturn that occurs during a recession can result in bonds maintaining their value as investors seek a safe place for their money. As a result, these are investments you can sell for a minimal loss while the rest of your portfolio recovers.

Income-generating investments such as bonds, certificates of deposit, dividend-generating mutual funds and life insurance products likeannuities are also likely to hold their value, although you should be careful before liquidating them. These are one of the most reliable segments of your portfolio over the long term. They tend to resist bear markets, making their payments regardless of market conditions. (This is not a hard and fast rule. Some bonds fall through, some contracts can too, but most will not.) This is a significant reason why those assets tend to maintain their value, but also a good reason not to sell them.

Rebalance Your Portfolio Towards Essential Spending

This is a spending and asset management strategy in which you define your spending according to the asset classes in your portfolio and vice versa.

As you manage your portfolio in retirement, segment your expenses according to how you spend for needs and lifestyle. Your needs are the basics such as housing costs, utilities, health care, food, bills and other expenses. Everything else falls into your lifestyle. This is the spending that you can sacrifice such as travel and entertainment.

To the degree possible, invest and draw down your essential expenses from the stable asset section of your portfolio. Take this money from your bonds, annuities, income-generating investments and other assets that generally weather a market downturn quite well. Rebalance your portfolio so that your asset mix matches this budgetary mix as well. That is, if your budget requires 70% of spending as essential spending, then rebalance your portfolio to have the same percentage of stable investments.

Manage your non-essential, lifestyle expenses through the equities section of your portfolio. If your stocks begin doing well enough to sell without a loss, then you can use money from this section and take that trip to Paris. While the market remains down, you’ll leave those equities alone and wait on non-essential spending until a little later.

Consider Social Security Benefits

Social Security is a difficult question for retirees during a bear market.

You can maximize your benefits under this program by delaying when you begin to collect on Social Security payments. If you wait until age 70 to begin collecting benefits the government will pay you significantly more than if you begin collecting at the earliest opportunity (age 62). For retirees with the cash to supplement their investments, then, this is often a wise decision. By spending more money now, you can supplement a retirement portfolio which has taken a beating through larger Social Security payments down the line.

Of course this may not be an option for everybody. Retirees who cannot afford to wait for Social Security benefits, or who would have to liquidate potentially valuable investments in order to do so, may want to begin collecting benefits soon. It depends entirely on your specific position but, if you can wait, it is worth doing so.

Invest in Equities if Possible

This is a counter-intuitive piece of advice, but it is true nonetheless.

Market downturns are sometimes an excellent time to buy stocks as they are often available at a discount.This is not to suggest that you should spend money that you don’t have, nor should you necessarily rebalance your portfolio towards stocks. There is always the risk that after you have bought shares in a bear market, they can decline even more.

You also shouldn’t take this time to invent new investing strategies, but rather add money according to the equity strategies you already employ. If you are invested in stock-oriented mutual funds, buy more shares. If you have exchanged-traded funds, do the same thing.

Bottom Line

Retiring into a bear market can be scary, but it can be successfully done. Maximize the value of your stable assets such as bonds and income-generating investments and do whatever you can to hold on to your equities while they’re undervalued. Limit your spending and – if possible – wait it out because, ultimately, this too shall pass.

Tips for Retirement Planning

  • Consider talking to a financial advisor about retirement planning.SmartAsset’s free toolmatches you with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can interview your advisor matches at no cost to decide which one is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.
  • A retirement calculator can give you quick insight into how prepared you are for retirement. In our article on the Top 11 Retirement Strategies, we discuss how to approach your portfolio for the long term. Finally, an overall retirement planning guide can be a valuable resource

Photo credit: ©iStock.com/monkeybusinessimages, ©iStock.com/Chainarong Prasertthai, ©iStock.com/RichLegg

What Retirees Should Do When a Bear Market Hits - SmartAsset (2024)

FAQs

What Retirees Should Do When a Bear Market Hits - SmartAsset? ›

Spend Stable Assets, Protect Income-Generating Assets

What should retirees do now in the stock market? ›

60/40 Mix of Stocks and Bonds

Retirees can also get an income advantage with smart portfolio management. That means finding the right balance of stocks and bonds to meet an income goal. You can start that process by building a "60/40" investment portfolio.

Should I move my retirement savings out of the market? ›

Long-term investing

“Don't let a recession deter you from adding money into your 401(k). Don't let yourself make an emotional decision due to a recession or bear market.” Taking money out of the market during times of volatility can have the opposite effect of what you might be trying to accomplish in the long run.

Should you rebalance your 401k when the market is down? ›

Rebalancing your portfolio, or changing how much you have in different assets, is another vital component of protecting retirement savings from crashes. The idea is that over time, some investments may fare better than others, changing the percentage of money in each asset and potentially exposing you to more risk.

How do I protect my 401k from a market crash? ›

Rebalance your portfolio

Along with setting long-term financial plans and helping ensure that your 401(k) is diversified, strategically rebalancing could help reduce your risk to market volatility.

Should a retiree pull money out of stock market? ›

Manage Your Retirement Resources Carefully

While retirees should in most cases be in the stock market, it can be so volatile in times of economic uncertainty. It's always wise to secure other ways to maximize your retirement resources so you don't find yourself in an unpleasant situation.

Should a 70 year old get out of the stock market? ›

Indeed, a good mix of equities (yes, even at age 70), bonds and cash can help you achieve long-term success, pros say. One rough rule of thumb is that the percentage of your money invested in stocks should equal 110 minus your age, which in your case would be 40%. The rest should be in bonds and cash.

Should you retire when the stock market is down? ›

When you are heading into retirement, we recommend a cash buffer that could cover one to two years of spending needs. Having an alternative source available to fund expenses can be particularly helpful in a down market to give you cover until your investments rebound.

What happens to my retirement if the stock market crashes? ›

Your investment is put into various asset options, including stocks. The value of those stocks is directly tied to the stock market's performance. This means that when the stock market is up, so is your investment, and vice versa. The odds are the value of your retirement savings may decline if the market crashes.

Where is the safest place to put your retirement money? ›

Below, you'll find the safest options that also provide a reasonable return on investment.
  1. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds. The federal government raises money by issuing Treasury marketable securities. ...
  2. Bond ETFs. There are many organizations that issue bonds to raise money. ...
  3. CDs. ...
  4. High-yield savings accounts.
May 3, 2024

Should I move my 401k to bonds in 2024? ›

The decision to move a 401k entirely into bonds should be carefully considered, taking into account several key considerations, like age, retirement timeline, risk tolerance, financial goals, the current economic climate, interest rates, tax implications, and inflation rates.

Can I lose my IRA if the market crashes? ›

A recession could result in a lower IRA balance, but that's not guaranteed to happen. If a recession does negatively impact your IRA, your best bet is to do nothing. It's a good idea to have an emergency fund for surprise expenses that could pop up during a recession, so you can let your IRA recover.

What is the stock market prediction for 2024? ›

Overall, Yardeni Research forecasts S&P 500 operating earnings at $250 in 2024, up 12% vs 2023. He puts them at $270 in 2025 (up 8%) and $300 in 2026 (up 11.1%). These figures compare with analysts' consensus forecasts of $244.70 in 2024, $279.70 in 2025 and $314.80 in 2026.

Should I panic if my 401k is losing money? ›

Don't “panic sell” your investments

The stock market historically has bounced back from short-term declines, so pulling your investments could mean missing out on some of the market's best days. Staying invested is usually safer than trying to time the market. Selling is how you realize losses in your account.

Where is the best place to put your 401k during a recession? ›

Income-producing assets like bonds and dividend stocks can be a good option during a recession. Bonds tend to perform well during a recession and pay a fixed income. Similarly, dividend stocks pay regular income regardless of how the stock market is performing.

Should I be aggressive with my 401k right now? ›

If you need a lot of money for retirement or want to live an opulent lifestyle, you should invest more aggressively. If your needs are lower, you can afford to be less aggressive. Ability to save. If you have a strong ability to save money, then you can afford to take less risk and still meet your financial goals.

How much should a 70 year old have in the stock market? ›

If you're 70, you should keep 30% of your portfolio in stocks. However, with Americans living longer and longer, many financial planners are now recommending that the rule should be closer to 110 or 120 minus your age.

How much should a retiree have in stocks? ›

If you're 60, you should only have 40% of your retirement portfolio in stocks, with the rest in bonds, money market accounts and cash. Deploying the 100-minus-your-age investing rule depends on your appetite for risk.

What is a good portfolio for a 75 year old? ›

But now that Americans are living longer, that formula has changed to 110 or 120 minus your age — meaning that if you're 75, you should have 35% to 45% of your portfolio in stocks. Using this formula, if your portfolio totals $100,000, then you should have no less than $35,000 in stocks and no more than $45,000.

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