4 Reasons to Buy Nvidia Stock Like There's No Tomorrow | The Motley Fool (2024)

Nvidia (NVDA -5.55%) became a Wall Street darling last year when a boom in artificial intelligence (AI) highlighted the massive potential of its business. Its stock climbed 214% since last February and has shown no signs of slowing, rising 40% since the start of 2024.

The launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT reinvigorated interest in AI and caused countless tech firms to restructure their businesses to prioritize the developing market. Increased demand for AI services boosted graphics processing unit (GPU) sales accordingly, as the chips are crucial for training AI models.

As a leader in GPUs, Nvidia's business exploded over the last year. Meanwhile, the AI market's compound annual growth rate of 37% until at least 2030 suggests GPU demand is unlikely to slow. Consequently, Nvidia remains one of the best ways to invest in the high-growth sector and tech in general.

So, here are four reasons to buy Nvidia stock like there's no tomorrow.

1. Nvidia's meteoric rise over the last year

Nvidia dominated the GPU market for years, significantly ahead of rivals Advanced Micro Devices and Intel. The company's supremacy in the industry positioned it to immediately begin supplying its hardware to countless AI-minded firms right at the start of the AI boom last year.

In its most recent quarter (the third quarter of fiscal 2024 ended Oct. 29), Nvidia's revenue increased by 206% year over year to $18 billion. Meanwhile, operating income jumped 1,600% to more than $10 billion. The monster growth was primarily thanks to a 279% increase in data center revenue, reflecting a spike in AI GPU sales.

In addition to soaring earnings, Nvidia's free cash flow is up 243% in the last year to more than $17 billion, significantly higher than AMD's $1 billion and Intel's negative $14 billion.

So, despite new GPU releases from both chipmakers, Nvidia's head start in AI potentially pushed it further ahead with greater cash reserves to continue investing in its technology and retain its market supremacy.

2. A majority market share will be challenging for rivals

Nvidia achieved an estimated 80% to 95% market share in AI GPUs last year. The company's massive success in the industry motivated several tech firms to venture in as well. In 2024, AMD and Intel will begin shipping new AI GPUs specially designed to challenge Nvidia's offerings. However, chip-market trends indicate Nvidia's supremacy will be challenging for competitors to overcome.

Despite AMD's and Intel's presence in the sector, Nvidia held an over 80% market share in desktop GPUs for years. Intel only entered the industry last year, while AMD's history in desktop GPUs spans decades. Still, AMD's GPUs only account for about 10% of the market.

A similar situation occurred in the central processing unit (CPU) industry. Intel was king of CPUs for years, with an 82% market share at the start of 2017 when AMD landed on the scene with its Ryzen line of CPUs.

AMD managed to steal a significant share from Intel. However, Intel is still responsible for most of the CPU market, with its share above 60% and AMD's at 36%.

Using the CPU market as a base of comparison, Nvidia could lose some AI GPU share to its competitors over the next year. However, it is unlikely to lose its leading position, which will allow it to see major gains from AI for years.

3. Nvidia benefits from a PC market recovery

While a spike in AI GPU sales is mainly responsible for Nvidia's stellar financial growth, the chipmaker is also profiting from an improving PC market.Spikes in inflation prompted steep declines in PC sales, with shipments dipping 16% in 2022 and continuing to fall for most of 2023. However, recent reports indicate the market is finally showing signs of recovery.

Data from Gartner shows PC shipments popped 0.3% in Q4 2023, marking the first increase over a year. Market improvements have reflected in Nvidia's sales, with its PC-centered gaming segment reporting an 81% rise in revenue in Q3 2024.

4. At its best value in 12 months 4 Reasons to Buy Nvidia Stock Like There's No Tomorrow | The Motley Fool (1)

Data by YCharts. PE Ratio = price-to-earnings ratio.

Nvidia's price-to-free cash flow and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios plunged in the last year (as seen in the chart above), indicating its stock is at one of its best-valued positions in 12 months.

P/E is calculated by dividing a company's stock price by its earnings per share. Meanwhile, the price-to-free-cash-flow ratio divides its market cap by free cash flow. These are helpful valuation metrics as they take into account a company's financial health. For both, the lower the figure, the better the value. Nvidia's declining figures could make now the best time to consider adding its stock to your portfolio.

Along with a powerful position in AI and an improving PC market, now is an excellent time to make a long-term investment in Nvidia and buy its stock like there's no tomorrow.

Dani Cook has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Gartner and Intel and recommends the following options: long January 2023 $57.50 calls on Intel, long January 2025 $45 calls on Intel, and short February 2024 $47 calls on Intel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

4 Reasons to Buy Nvidia Stock Like There's No Tomorrow | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Does Motley Fool recommend Nvidia? ›

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Apple, and Nvidia.

Is it a good idea to buy Nvidia stock? ›

In addition to Nvidia's monster potential in AI and tech in general, its stock is too good to ignore for anyone looking for a long-term investment. The company will likely continue profiting from rising chip demand for years as more and more markets require powerful hardware to develop.

How much will Nvidia be worth in 5 years? ›

Assuming Nvidia does hit $184.5 billion in revenue in fiscal 2027, its top line would have increased at a compound annual rate of 45%. If the semiconductor giant's growth tapers off in the two that follow years to, let's say 25% a year, its revenue could reach $288 billion after five years.

Will Nvidia stock reach $1000? ›

Hence, based on current estimates, the chances of Nvidia's share price crossing $1,000 in the next decade appear slim. These projections, however, can change in case Nvidia makes even more dramatic advances in AI technologies in the coming years.

Does Warren Buffett own NVDA? ›

Unsurprisingly, Buffett doesn't own a single share of Nvidia (NVDA -6.36%). So, has he missed out on the artificial intelligence (AI) stock's massive gains over the last few years?

What does Zacks say about Nvidia? ›

Analysts remain optimistic about NVIDIA's future. The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 93.4% year-over-year increase in revenues and a 106.9% rise in earnings for fiscal 2025. Moreover, the long-term earnings growth rate is pegged at an impressive 37.6% compared to the industry average of 18.9%.

Did Nancy Pelosi buy Nvidia stock? ›

Pelosi Buys Nvidia, Sells Microsoft

According to a new disclosure form, Pelosi purchased 10,000 shares of Nvidia on July 26, with the stock trading in a range of about $111 to $116 on the day. Pelosi also disclosed the sale of 5,000 shares of Microsoft valued between $1 million and $5 million.

How high will Nvidia stock go? ›

NVDA Stock 12 Month Forecast

Based on 41 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Nvidia in the last 3 months. The average price target is $144.17 with a high forecast of $200.00 and a low forecast of $100.00. The average price target represents a 43.31% change from the last price of $100.60.

What is a good price for NVDA stock? ›

Stock Price Target
High$200.00
Low$90.00
Average$139.70
Current Price$104.25

What if you invested $1000 in Nvidia 10 years ago? ›

5-years: A $1,000 investment in Nvidia five years ago has compounded at 97.8 percent annually and would be worth $30,270.64 today. 10-years: A $1,000 investment in Nvidia 10 years ago has compounded at 74.5 percent annually and would be worth $261,490.87 today.

Does Nvidia have a future? ›

Nvidia also is one of the Magnificent Seven stocks that led the 2023 stock rally. Some of these tech titans are customers that rely on Nvidia's advanced chips. Nvidia is also one of the stocks that many analysts believe will outperform the market in 2024.

How high will Nvidia go in 2024? ›

Analysts are expecting the company's earnings to increase at an annual rate of 43% for the next five years. Based on its fiscal 2024 earnings of $1.21 per share, Nvidia's bottom line could jump to $7.24 per share after five years.

Will NVDA split again in 2024? ›

So if you held 10 NVDA shares before the split, you'll now hold 100 NVDA shares after the split. Shares will begin trading at their new split-adjusted price on Monday, June 10, 2024.

Is Nvidia a good stock to buy for long term? ›

15 analysts revised their earnings estimate higher in the last 60 days for fiscal 2025, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.29 to $2.68. NVDA also boasts an average earnings surprise of 18.4%. Additionally, Nvidia's earnings are expected to grow 106.2% for the current fiscal year.

Is Nvidia a millionaire maker stock? ›

Despite recent stock growth, its price/earnings-to-growth ratio remains at less than 1, which could mean it is still trading at a value compared to its potential. As a result, Nvidia is a millionaire-maker stock that is too good to pass up in 2024.

What are stock recommendations for Nvidia? ›

Snapshot
Average RecommendationBuy
Current Quarter's Estimate0.64
Current Year's Estimate2.45
Median PE on CY EstimateN/A
Next Fiscal Year Estimate2.90
6 more rows

What semiconductors does the Motley Fool recommend? ›

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends ASML, Apple, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and Intel and recommends the following options: long January 2025 $45 calls on Intel and short August 2024 $35 calls on Intel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Who is the largest investor in Nvidia? ›

Asset managers such as BlackRock and Vanguard are the largest owners of Nvidia stock. These companies hold Nvidia stock in mutual funds and ETFs on behalf of their clients. The largest shareholders among individual investors are company insiders and board members like founder Jensen Huang.

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